A-League – Matchday 4: predictions & previews
All 6 matches of A-League Matchday 4 (6 November – 8 November 2026): the PreviaXI model's win, draw and loss probabilities and predicted score for every game, the key numbers of the round, results as they come in, and links to each preview.
Key numbers
- Biggest favourite: Auckland (48% to win against Wellington Phoenix).
- Closest on paper: Adelaide United – Melbourne Victory (36% vs 37%, draw 27%).
- Most goals expected: Perth Glory – Newcastle Jets (3.6 expected goals); fewest: Macarthur – Brisbane Roar (2.3).
- Both teams to score is more likely than not in 4 of 5 matches.
- The model expects about 15 goals in these 5 matches (2.97 per match).
All matches
| · | Match | 1 | X | 2 | DC | O 2.5 | BTTS | Corners | Cards | Result | · |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Sydney Central Coast Mariners | – | ||||||||||
| · | Match | 1 | X | 2 | DC | O 2.5 | BTTS | Corners | Cards | Result | · |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Auckland Wellington Phoenix | 48% | 25% | 27% | 1275% | 62% | 63% | 10.45.6–4.8 | 3.21.7–1.5 | Stats | ||
 Melbourne City Western Sydney Wanderers | 45% | 27% | 28% | 1273% | 54% | 58% | 10.05.7–4.3 | 3.71.9–1.8 | Stats | ||
 Perth Glory Newcastle Jets | 41% | 24% | 35% | 1276% | 70% | 70% | 9.24.3–4.9 | 3.51.9–1.6 | Stats |
| · | Match | 1 | X | 2 | DC | O 2.5 | BTTS | Corners | Cards | Result | · |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Macarthur Brisbane Roar | 39% | 31% | 30% | 1X70% | 40% | 47% | 10.45.5–4.9 | 4.62.3–2.3 | Stats | ||
 Adelaide United Melbourne Victory | 36% | 27% | 37% | 1273% | 57% | 61% | 10.85.9–4.9 | 3.81.7–2.1 | Stats |
Matches marked – are outside our model window or were played before the archive started; they link once a preview exists.
Doha time