A-League · Matchday 4 
Perth Glory vs Newcastle Jets: prediction, stats and form
A-League, Saturday 7 November. The PreviaXI model gives Perth Glory 41%, the draw 24% and Newcastle Jets 35%, with a predicted score of 2-1. Below: recent form, home and away records and head-to-head.
PreviaXI model
Perth Glory41%Draw24%Newcastle Jets35%
Model confidence: Open game
- Predicted score
- 2-1
- Expected goals (model)
- 1.88 – 1.72
- Double chance
- 12 · 76%1X 65% · X2 59%
- Over 2.5 goals
- 70%Over 1.5: 88% · Over 3.5: 49%
- Both teams score
- 70%
- Clean sheet
- 18% – 15%Perth Glory–Newcastle Jets
- Half-time result
- X · 35%1 34% · 2 31%
- Half-time / full-time
- 1/1 · 26%2/2 21% · X/1 13%
- Expected corners
- 9.24.3 – 4.9 · Over 9.5: 44%
- Expected cards
- 3.51.9 – 1.6 · Over 3.5: 46%
- Most likely scores
- 1-110%
- 2-18%
- 1-28%
- 2-27%
- 3-15%
Statistical model based on expected goals (xG), results and match statistics from the last two seasons. For information only. How our model works →
Why the model leans towards Perth Glory
- Power ratings: Perth Glory -0.14 goals per game (10th of 12 in A-League), Newcastle Jets +0.03 (6th).
- Perth Glory's attack (1.42 goals per game) meets Newcastle Jets's defence (1.76 conceded per game).
- Newcastle Jets's attack (1.79) meets Perth Glory's defence (1.56).
- Home advantage in this competition: home sides score about 22% more goals.
- Put together, the model expects 1.88 – 1.72 goals: Perth Glory 41%, draw 24%, Newcastle Jets 35%.
Match facts
Last matches · Perth Glory
- W Sun 1 Nov H Adelaide United 4-0
- L Fri 23 Oct A Brisbane Roar 1-2
- L Sat 17 Oct A Macarthur 1-2
- W Sat 25 Apr H Brisbane Roar 2-1
- D Sat 18 Apr A Sydney 0-0
- W Sun 12 Apr H Macarthur 3-1
Last matches · Newcastle Jets
- L Sat 31 Oct H Wellington Phoenix 0-3
- L Tue 27 Oct A Kyoto Sanga 2-5
- D Sat 24 Oct H Macarthur 1-1
- D Sat 17 Oct A Central Coast Mariners 2-2
- L Tue 13 Oct H Gamba Osaka 1-3
- L Tue 15 Sept A Kashima 1-7
Last 10 matches
| · | Perth Glory | Newcastle Jets |
|---|---|---|
| Scored | 1.6 | 1.5 |
| Conceded | 1.3 | 2.5 |
| Points per game | 1.30 | 0.80 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 70% | 70% |
| Both teams score | 70% | 80% |
| Clean sheets | 20% | 10% |
| Failed to score | 20% | 10% |
Home and away record
| · | Perth Glory (H) | Newcastle Jets (A) |
|---|---|---|
| Scored | 1.7 | 1.8 |
| Conceded | 1.1 | 2.4 |
| Points per game | 1.60 | 1.30 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 70% | 80% |
| Both teams score | 60% | 90% |
| Clean sheets | 20% | 10% |
| Failed to score | 20% | 10% |
Home team: last 10 home games. Away team: last 10 away games.
League position
| Pos | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8/12 | Perth Glory | 3 | +2 | 3 |
| 11/12 | Newcastle Jets | 3 | -3 | 2 |
Last meetings
- 2026Perth Glory 1-3 Newcastle Jets
- 2025Newcastle Jets 1-2 Perth Glory
Form, records and head-to-head come from our model data: this competition's matches over the last two seasons (plus the teams' league games for cup and European ties), so some cup matches may be missing.