A-League – Matchday 3: predictions & previews
All 6 matches of A-League Matchday 3 (30 October – 1 November 2026): the PreviaXI model's win, draw and loss probabilities and predicted score for every game, the key numbers of the round, results as they come in, and links to each preview.
Key numbers
- Biggest favourite: Melbourne Victory (61% to win against Central Coast Mariners).
- Closest on paper: Brisbane Roar – Auckland (36% vs 37%, draw 27%).
- Most goals expected: Newcastle Jets – Wellington Phoenix (3.8 expected goals); fewest: Melbourne City – Sydney (2.3).
- Both teams to score is more likely than not in 5 of 6 matches.
- The model expects about 18 goals in these 6 matches (2.98 per match).
All matches
Finished matches (90 min): 6 · most likely result correct: 1 (17%) · over/under 2.5 correct: 3 (50%) · both teams to score correct: 2 (33%)
| · | Match | 1 | X | 2 | DC | O 2.5 | BTTS | Corners | Cards | Result | · |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Brisbane Roar Auckland | 36% | 27% | 37% | 1273% | 49% | 54% | 9.55.1–4.4 | 4.62.4–2.2 | 1-1❌ | Preview |
| · | Match | 1 | X | 2 | DC | O 2.5 | BTTS | Corners | Cards | Result | · |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Newcastle Jets Wellington Phoenix | 50% | 22% | 28% | 1278% | 73% | 72% | 10.85.5–5.3 | 3.11.5–1.6 | 0-3❌ | ||
 Melbourne City Sydney | 37% | 30% | 33% | 1270% | 40% | 47% | 9.96.0–3.9 | 4.02.1–1.9 | 2-1✅ | ||
 Macarthur Western Sydney Wanderers | 43% | 25% | 32% | 1275% | 58% | 61% | 10.65.7–4.9 | 3.82.1–1.7 | 0-0❌ |
| · | Match | 1 | X | 2 | DC | O 2.5 | BTTS | Corners | Cards | Result | · |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Melbourne Victory Central Coast Mariners | 61% | 21% | 18% | 1X82% | 59% | 56% | 11.27.9–3.3 | 3.41.5–1.9 | 1-1❌ | Preview | |
 Perth Glory Adelaide United | 35% | 25% | 40% | 1275% | 59% | 62% | 8.83.6–5.2 | 4.02.3–1.7 | 4-0❌ | Preview |
Doha time