A-League · Matchday 3 
Our pick0–1Missed
Auckland edged the last time they met — tiny gaps in the table promise a tight rematch
Their most recent meeting ended 0-2 in Auckland's favour; the two sides sit level on points and are separated by goal difference and a single place in the A-League table. Small margins could decide this one at Suncorp Stadium.
📍 Suncorp Stadium
Preview written:
All Matchday 3 matchesFull head-to-head
Match report
Auckland took the lead in the 12th minute through H. Sakai, leaving Brisbane Roar to chase the game. The visitors held their advantage until stoppage time, when T. Aldred scored for Brisbane Roar in the 90+5th minute to make it 1-1. The late goal settled the match as a draw, with no red cards recorded.
Brisbane Roar had 69% possession and led the shot count 19-12, including four shots on target to Auckland’s one. The home side also won 12 corners, compared with three for Auckland. Joel King of Brisbane Roar was the top-rated player, with a rating of 8.7. The 1-1 result differed from the pre-match model’s predicted 0-1, which gave both teams a 36% chance of winning and the draw a 28% chance.
Goals
- 12'H. Sakai · Auckland
- 90+5'T. Aldred · Brisbane Roar
Cards
- 21'J. Vidic · Brisbane Roar
- 53'S. James Ngor · Brisbane Roar
- 78'F. De Vries · Auckland
Match stats
⭐ Top-rated player: Joel King (Brisbane Roar) 8.7
Ratings and statistics: API-Football.
Confirmed lineups
Brisbane Roar · 4-2-3-1
- 40George PlusninG
- 13Tate RussellD
- 5Tom AldredD
- 77Milorad StajićD
- 16Joel KingD
- 6Noah MaieroniM
- 8Tyrese FrancoisM
- 19Sabit James NgorM
- 10Tae Hee NamM
- 9Virgiliu PostolachiM
- 17Justin VidicF
Auckland · 4-4-2
- 1Michael WoudG
- 2Hiroki SakaiD
- 23Ronan WynneD
- 4Nando PijnakerD
- 15Francis De VriesD
- 27Logan RogersonM
- 22Jake BrimmerM
- 8Felipe GallegosM
- 35Jonty BidoisM
- 77Lachlan BrookF
- 10Lachlan BaylissF
Match facts
Recent form
Last 5 league games, latest on the right
Goals per game
| · | Scored | Conceded |
|---|---|---|
| Brisbane Roar | 2.0 | 1.0 |
| Auckland | 2.5 | 3.0 |
League position
| Pos | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Brisbane Roar | 1 | +1 | 3 |
| 6 | Auckland | 2 | -1 | 3 |
Last meetings
- 2026Brisbane Roar0-2Auckland
- 2025Auckland1-1Brisbane Roar
- 2025Brisbane Roar2-2Auckland
- 2025Brisbane Roar0-2Auckland
- 2024Auckland2-0Brisbane Roar
Absences
Brisbane Roar
- OutD. Valkanis · Leg Injury
Auckland
- OutA. Calver · Ankle Injury
- OutC. Howieson · Calf Injury
- OutO. Middleton · Knee Injury
PreviaXI model
Model confidence: Open game
- Predicted score
- 0-1
- Expected goals (model)
- 1.30 – 1.33
- Double chance
- 12 · 72%1X 64% · X2 64%
- Over 2.5 goals
- 49%Over 1.5: 74% · Over 3.5: 27%
- Both teams score
- 54%
- Clean sheet
- 27% – 27%Brisbane Roar–Auckland
- Half-time result
- X · 43%1 28% · 2 29%
- Half-time / full-time
- 2/2 · 22%1/1 21% · X/X 17%
- Expected corners
- 9.55.1 – 4.4 · Over 9.5: 48%
- Expected cards
- 4.62.4 – 2.2 · Over 3.5: 66%
- Most likely scores
- 1-113%
- 0-19%
- 1-09%
- 1-28%
- 2-18%
Statistical model based on expected goals (xG), results and match statistics from the last two seasons. For information only. How our model works →
Auckland’s January win still matters
The last time these teams met, on 9 January 2026, Auckland beat Brisbane Roar 2-0 in an A-League fixture. That result provides fresh context: the visitors travel to Suncorp Stadium with recent success against their hosts and a belief they can nick another decisive result.
A tiny gap in the table
Brisbane Roar are fifth in the A-League with 3 points from one game and a +1 goal difference; Auckland sit directly below them in sixth with 3 points but a -1 goal difference after two matches. With both sides having already collected a win this season, the encounter looks like a battle for a slender edge in early standings rather than a runaway clash — every goal and every point will be meaningful.
Momentum and recent form
Brisbane have played once and won, scoring twice and conceding once; their goals so far have come in the second and final 15-minute segments of the first half. Auckland arrive off a mixed set of results in their two matches (one win, one loss) but have been more prolific overall, averaging 2.5 goals in their last two outings while conceding three. Both teams have yet to keep a clean sheet this campaign.
Recent meetings favour Auckland
Looking at the last five meetings across competitions, Auckland have the upper hand: three wins and two draws/defeats include two 2-0 wins and a 1-1 draw. That recent head-to-head suggests Brisbane will need to be wary of Auckland’s ability to take results at their expense.
Team news that matters
Brisbane are missing D. Valkanis through a leg injury. Auckland arrive without A. Calver (ankle), C. Howieson (calf) and O. Middleton (knee). The visitors’ list of absentees is longer, which could influence squad rotation and match tactics at Suncorp.
Our prediction
This is a narrow game on paper — standings, form and recent meetings point to a fixture decided by small margins. Both sides have shown attacking intent but defensive lapses too; Auckland’s recent success versus Brisbane and their greater goals tally recently tilt the balance. PreviaXI’s model singles out a late, slim away win as the likeliest outcome given how evenly matched the teams are overall.
Brisbane Roar 0-1 Auckland
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