A-League · Matchday 4 
Melbourne City vs Western Sydney Wanderers: prediction, stats and form
A-League, Saturday 7 November. The PreviaXI model gives Melbourne City 45%, the draw 27% and Western Sydney Wanderers 28%, with a predicted score of 2-1. Below: recent form, home and away records and head-to-head.
PreviaXI model
Melbourne City45%Draw27%Western Sydney Wanderers28%
Model confidence: Open game
- Predicted score
- 2-1
- Expected goals (model)
- 1.61 – 1.22
- Double chance
- 12 · 73%1X 72% · X2 55%
- Over 2.5 goals
- 54%Over 1.5: 79% · Over 3.5: 32%
- Both teams score
- 58%
- Clean sheet
- 29% – 20%Melbourne City–Western Sydney Wanderers
- Half-time result
- X · 41%1 35% · 2 24%
- Half-time / full-time
- 1/1 · 28%X/X 16% · 2/2 16%
- Expected corners
- 10.05.7 – 4.3 · Over 9.5: 53%
- Expected cards
- 3.71.9 – 1.8 · Over 3.5: 49%
- Most likely scores
- 1-113%
- 2-19%
- 1-08%
- 2-08%
- 1-27%
Statistical model based on expected goals (xG), results and match statistics from the last two seasons. For information only. How our model works →
Why the model leans towards Melbourne City
- Power ratings: Melbourne City +0.09 goals per game (5th of 12 in A-League), Western Sydney Wanderers -0.01 (7th).
- Melbourne City's attack (1.40 goals per game) meets Western Sydney Wanderers's defence (1.52 conceded per game).
- Western Sydney Wanderers's attack (1.51) meets Melbourne City's defence (1.31).
- Home advantage in this competition: home sides score about 22% more goals.
- Put together, the model expects 1.61 – 1.22 goals: Melbourne City 45%, draw 27%, Western Sydney Wanderers 28%.
Match facts
Last matches · Melbourne City
- W Sat 31 Oct H Sydney 2-1
- D Sat 24 Oct A Melbourne Victory 1-1
- L Sat 17 Oct A Auckland 1-3
- D Sat 2 May A Auckland 1-1
- L Sun 26 Apr H Adelaide United 1-2
- W Sat 18 Apr A Brisbane Roar 3-2
Last matches · Western Sydney Wanderers
- D Sat 31 Oct A Macarthur 0-0
- W Sat 24 Oct H Auckland 5-2
- D Fri 16 Oct A Sydney 0-0
- L Sat 25 Apr H Melbourne Victory 0-2
- L Sat 18 Apr A Wellington Phoenix 1-2
- L Sat 11 Apr H Sydney 0-2
Last 10 matches
| · | Melbourne City | Western Sydney Wanderers |
|---|---|---|
| Scored | 1.7 | 1.1 |
| Conceded | 1.2 | 1.9 |
| Points per game | 1.80 | 0.60 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 60% | 60% |
| Both teams score | 80% | 50% |
| Clean sheets | 20% | 20% |
| Failed to score | 0% | 50% |
Home and away record
| · | Melbourne City (H) | Western Sydney Wanderers (A) |
|---|---|---|
| Scored | 1.4 | 1.2 |
| Conceded | 1.0 | 1.6 |
| Points per game | 1.70 | 0.90 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 60% | 70% |
| Both teams score | 60% | 50% |
| Clean sheets | 30% | 40% |
| Failed to score | 20% | 30% |
Home team: last 10 home games. Away team: last 10 away games.
League position
| Pos | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7/12 | Melbourne City | 3 | -1 | 4 |
| 2/12 | Western Sydney Wanderers | 3 | +3 | 5 |
Last meetings
- 2026Melbourne City 3-0 Western Sydney Wanderers
- 2026Western Sydney Wanderers 1-1 Melbourne City
- 2025Western Sydney Wanderers 1-1 Melbourne City
Form, records and head-to-head come from our model data: this competition's matches over the last two seasons (plus the teams' league games for cup and European ties), so some cup matches may be missing.