A-League · Matchday 4 
Auckland vs Wellington Phoenix: prediction, stats and form
A-League, Saturday 7 November. The PreviaXI model gives Auckland 48%, the draw 25% and Wellington Phoenix 27%, with a predicted score of 2-1. Below: recent form, home and away records and head-to-head.
PreviaXI model
Auckland48%Draw25%Wellington Phoenix27%
Model confidence: Medium
- Predicted score
- 2-1
- Expected goals (model)
- 1.84 – 1.35
- Double chance
- 12 · 75%1X 73% · X2 52%
- Over 2.5 goals
- 62%Over 1.5: 84% · Over 3.5: 40%
- Both teams score
- 63%
- Clean sheet
- 26% – 16%Auckland–Wellington Phoenix
- Half-time result
- 1 · 38%X 38% · 2 24%
- Half-time / full-time
- 1/1 · 30%2/2 16% · X/1 15%
- Expected corners
- 10.45.6 – 4.8 · Over 9.5: 59%
- Expected cards
- 3.21.7 – 1.5 · Over 3.5: 39%
- Most likely scores
- 1-111%
- 2-19%
- 2-07%
- 1-27%
- 1-07%
Statistical model based on expected goals (xG), results and match statistics from the last two seasons. For information only. How our model works →
Why the model leans towards Auckland
- Power ratings: Auckland +0.29 goals per game (1st of 12 in A-League), Wellington Phoenix +0.13 (4th).
- Auckland's attack (1.66 goals per game) meets Wellington Phoenix's defence (1.47 conceded per game).
- Wellington Phoenix's attack (1.60) meets Auckland's defence (1.37).
- Home advantage in this competition: home sides score about 22% more goals.
- Put together, the model expects 1.84 – 1.35 goals: Auckland 48%, draw 25%, Wellington Phoenix 27%.
Match facts
Last matches · Auckland
- D Fri 30 Oct A Brisbane Roar 1-1
- L Sat 24 Oct A Western Sydney Wanderers 2-5
- W Sat 17 Oct H Melbourne City 3-1
- W Sat 23 May H Sydney 1-0
- W Fri 15 May A Adelaide United 3-0
- D Sat 9 May H Adelaide United 1-1
Last matches · Wellington Phoenix
- W Sat 31 Oct A Newcastle Jets 3-0
- W Sun 25 Oct H Central Coast Mariners 2-0
- W Sun 18 Oct H Melbourne Victory 2-1
- L Fri 24 Apr A Macarthur 0-4
- W Sat 18 Apr H Western Sydney Wanderers 2-1
- L Sun 12 Apr A Melbourne City 0-2
Last 10 matches
| · | Auckland | Wellington Phoenix |
|---|---|---|
| Scored | 1.6 | 1.5 |
| Conceded | 1.4 | 1.0 |
| Points per game | 1.40 | 2.20 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 50% | 50% |
| Both teams score | 70% | 40% |
| Clean sheets | 20% | 40% |
| Failed to score | 10% | 20% |
Home and away record
| · | Auckland (H) | Wellington Phoenix (A) |
|---|---|---|
| Scored | 1.5 | 1.5 |
| Conceded | 1.0 | 1.4 |
| Points per game | 1.60 | 1.70 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 50% | 60% |
| Both teams score | 60% | 40% |
| Clean sheets | 30% | 40% |
| Failed to score | 10% | 20% |
Home team: last 10 home games. Away team: last 10 away games.
League position
| Pos | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6/12 | Auckland | 3 | -1 | 4 |
| 1/12 | Wellington Phoenix | 3 | +6 | 9 |
Last meetings
- 2026Wellington Phoenix 0-5 Auckland
- 2025Auckland 3-1 Wellington Phoenix
- 2025Wellington Phoenix 1-2 Auckland
Form, records and head-to-head come from our model data: this competition's matches over the last two seasons (plus the teams' league games for cup and European ties), so some cup matches may be missing.