A-League · Matchday 4 
Macarthur vs Brisbane Roar: prediction, stats and form
A-League, Sunday 8 November. The PreviaXI model gives Macarthur 39%, the draw 31% and Brisbane Roar 30%, with a predicted score of 1-0. Below: recent form, home and away records and head-to-head.
PreviaXI model
Macarthur39%Draw31%Brisbane Roar30%
Model confidence: Open game
- Predicted score
- 1-0
- Expected goals (model)
- 1.24 – 1.04
- Double chance
- 1X · 70%12 69% · X2 61%
- Over 2.5 goals
- 40%Over 1.5: 68% · Over 3.5: 20%
- Both teams score
- 47%
- Clean sheet
- 35% – 29%Macarthur–Brisbane Roar
- Half-time result
- X · 47%1 30% · 2 23%
- Half-time / full-time
- 1/1 · 23%X/X 20% · 2/2 17%
- Expected corners
- 10.45.5 – 4.9 · Over 9.5: 58%
- Expected cards
- 4.62.3 – 2.3 · Over 3.5: 67%
- Most likely scores
- 1-115%
- 0-012%
- 1-011%
- 0-19%
- 2-18%
Statistical model based on expected goals (xG), results and match statistics from the last two seasons. For information only. How our model works →
Why the model leans towards Macarthur
- Power ratings: Macarthur -0.03 goals per game (9th of 12 in A-League), Brisbane Roar -0.01 (8th).
- Macarthur's attack (1.31 goals per game) meets Brisbane Roar's defence (1.26 conceded per game).
- Brisbane Roar's attack (1.25) meets Macarthur's defence (1.34).
- Home advantage in this competition: home sides score about 22% more goals.
- Put together, the model expects 1.24 – 1.04 goals: Macarthur 39%, draw 31%, Brisbane Roar 30%.
Match facts
Last matches · Macarthur
- D Sat 31 Oct H Western Sydney Wanderers 0-0
- D Sat 24 Oct A Newcastle Jets 1-1
- W Sat 17 Oct H Perth Glory 2-1
- W Fri 24 Apr H Wellington Phoenix 4-0
- L Sun 19 Apr A Adelaide United 1-3
- L Sun 12 Apr A Perth Glory 1-3
Last matches · Brisbane Roar
- D Fri 30 Oct H Auckland 1-1
- W Fri 23 Oct H Perth Glory 2-1
- L Sat 25 Apr A Perth Glory 1-2
- L Sat 18 Apr H Melbourne City 2-3
- D Fri 10 Apr A Central Coast Mariners 2-2
- D Thu 2 Apr H Sydney 0-0
Last 10 matches
| · | Macarthur | Brisbane Roar |
|---|---|---|
| Scored | 1.6 | 1.2 |
| Conceded | 1.8 | 1.5 |
| Points per game | 1.40 | 0.80 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 80% | 60% |
| Both teams score | 80% | 80% |
| Clean sheets | 20% | 10% |
| Failed to score | 10% | 20% |
Home and away record
| · | Macarthur (H) | Brisbane Roar (A) |
|---|---|---|
| Scored | 2.0 | 1.0 |
| Conceded | 1.9 | 1.5 |
| Points per game | 1.50 | 0.90 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 90% | 60% |
| Both teams score | 60% | 70% |
| Clean sheets | 20% | 10% |
| Failed to score | 30% | 30% |
Home team: last 10 home games. Away team: last 10 away games.
League position
| Pos | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3/12 | Macarthur | 3 | +1 | 5 |
| 4/12 | Brisbane Roar | 2 | +1 | 4 |
Last meetings
- 2025Macarthur 2-1 Brisbane Roar
- 2025Brisbane Roar 1-0 Macarthur
Form, records and head-to-head come from our model data: this competition's matches over the last two seasons (plus the teams' league games for cup and European ties), so some cup matches may be missing.