Atalanta's injury crisis shapes the clash with Frosinone

Frosinone arrive in Bergamo sitting sixth in Serie A with 13 points from seven matches, a position built on a steady run of results. Atalanta, eleventh on nine points, face them with a squad stretched by injuries, and that problem is likely to shape the whole afternoon.

Context and stakes

Frosinone have a goal difference of +4, while Atalanta are at -1. For a side that has spent much of the campaign hovering in the lower half, a win at New Balance Arena would be a clear statement. For Atalanta, dropping points at home would deepen a difficult start to the season.

Form: Atalanta’s slide, Frosinone’s momentum

Atalanta have struggled recently, winning just one of their last five league matches and conceding ten goals in that spell. Their home record is more encouraging: three wins from four games in Bergamo this season.

Frosinone have been the sharper side in recent weeks. They have scored ten goals in their last five, with three wins in that run and only one defeat in their last five outings, and their away form has been solid enough to keep them in the upper reaches of the table.

Head-to-head: Atalanta’s grip on this fixture

The recent meetings tilt heavily towards Atalanta. In their last five Serie A encounters, Atalanta have won three, drawn one and lost one, scoring 15 goals and conceding only two. Their most recent meeting ended 5-0 in Bergamo in January 2024, and Frosinone’s only success came in a 2-1 win in August 2023.

Team news: a long list of absences

Atalanta are missing a significant group of players. Ibrahim Hien (muscle), Sead Kolasinac, Odilon Kossounou and Gianluca Raspadori (all thigh) and Kwadwo Sulemana (knee) are all out. Freddy Kessie (calf) and Gleison Scalvini (thigh) are doubts. Frosinone are without Filip Grillitsch, who is sidelined by a thigh problem.

Our prediction

PreviaXI’s model favours Atalanta, and we agree that the hosts should edge a contest that could be open and physical. Atalanta have been far more productive at home this season and have the stronger record in this fixture, even with their defensive problems. Frosinone’s recent attacking form means they are unlikely to go quietly, so both sides could find the net, but Atalanta’s experience in these meetings should be enough to see them through.

Atalanta 2-1 Frosinone