Major League Soccer · Matchday 33 
Our pick2–1Correct result
Vancouver–Seattle: recent rivalry meetings point to goals and twists
Vancouver Whitecaps lead the Western Conference, while Seattle Sounders sit eighth, but their recent meetings have swung sharply in both directions. The Whitecaps’ latest win in Seattle offers a fresh reminder of their threat.
📍 BC Place
Preview written:
All Matchday 33 matchesFull head-to-head
Match report
Vancouver Whitecaps beat Seattle Sounders 5-1. Brian White opened the scoring in the first minute, assisted by Bruno Caicedo, before Ryan Gauld made it 2-0 in the ninth with Édier Ocampo providing the assist. Mathías Laborda added a third in the 43rd minute, assisted by Gauld. White scored again in the 53rd, with Caicedo again setting him up. Jordan Morris pulled one back for Seattle in the 62nd, assisted by Albert Rusnák, but Aleksa Cvetkovic restored Vancouver’s four-goal lead in the 70th, assisted by Cheikh Sabaly. There were no red cards.
Vancouver recorded 18 shots to Seattle’s 13 and had the higher expected-goals total, 2.2 to 1.08. Seattle had more possession, 52% to 48%, and more corners, 6-2. B. White was the top-rated player, with a rating of 9.4. The result was more emphatic than the pre-match model’s predicted 2-1 Vancouver win, though it had also favoured Vancouver, giving them a 58% chance of victory, compared with 23% for a draw and 19% for Seattle.
Goals
- 1'Brian White · Bruno Caicedo · Vancouver Whitecaps
- 9'Ryan Gauld · Édier Ocampo · Vancouver Whitecaps
- 43'Mathías Laborda · Ryan Gauld · Vancouver Whitecaps
- 53'Brian White · Bruno Caicedo · Vancouver Whitecaps
- 62'Jordan Morris · Albert Rusnák · Seattle Sounders
- 70'Aleksa Cvetkovic · Cheikh Sabaly · Vancouver Whitecaps
Cards
- 45+3'Jesús Ferreira · Seattle Sounders
- 45+2'Bruno Caicedo · Vancouver Whitecaps
Match stats
⭐ Top-rated player: B. White (Vancouver Whitecaps) 9.4
Ratings and statistics: API-Football.
Confirmed lineups
Vancouver Whitecaps · 4-2-3-1
- 1Y. TakaokaG
- 18É. OcampoD
- 2M. LabordaD
- 33T. BlackmonD
- 28T. JohnsonD
- 23A. CvetkovićM
- 8O. LarrazM
- 77Y. DiabyM
- 25R. GauldM
- 14Bruno Steven Caicedo QuiñonezM
- 24B. WhiteF
Coach: J. Sørensen
Seattle Sounders · 4-2-3-1
- 26A. ThomasG
- 85K. Kossa-RienziD
- 16A. RoldanD
- 25J. RagenD
- 5N. ToloD
- 37S. BrunellM
- 7C. RoldanM
- 27J. FerreiraM
- 11A. RusnákM
- 13J. MorrisM
- 9D. JoveljićF
Coach: B. Schmetzer
Match facts
Recent form
Last 5 league games, latest on the right
Goals per game
| · | Scored | Conceded |
|---|---|---|
| Vancouver Whitecaps | 2.1 | 1.0 |
| Seattle Sounders | 1.3 | 1.3 |
League position
| Pos | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vancouver Whitecaps | 32 | +34 | 58 |
| 8 | Seattle Sounders | 32 | +1 | 43 |
Last meetings
- 2026Seattle Sounders0-2Vancouver Whitecaps
- 2026Seattle Sounders2-1Vancouver Whitecaps
- 2026Vancouver Whitecaps0-3Seattle Sounders
- 2025Seattle Sounders2-2Vancouver Whitecaps
- 2025Vancouver Whitecaps3-0Seattle Sounders
Absences
Vancouver Whitecaps
- OutS. Adekugbe · Muscle Injury
- OutK. G. Cabrera Nakamura · Foot Injury
- OutA. Cubas · Ankle Injury
- OutR. Elloumi · Red Card
- OutB. Halbouni · Knee Injury
- OutE. Sabbi · Leg Injury
- DoubtfulT. Blackmon · Injury
- DoubtfulR. Modesto · Muscle Injury
Seattle Sounders
- OutY. Gomez Andrade · Hamstring Injury
- OutP. Kingston · Yellow Cards
- OutN. Petkovic · Knee Injury
- OutP. de La Vega · Calf Injury
- DoubtfulD. Musovski · Head Injury
- DoubtfulP. Rothrock · Hamstring Injury
PreviaXI model
Model confidence: Medium
- Predicted score
- 2-1
- Expected goals (model)
- 1.94 – 1.05
- Double chance
- 1X · 81%12 77% · X2 42%
- Over 2.5 goals
- 57%Over 1.5: 80% · Over 3.5: 35%
- Both teams score
- 56%
- Clean sheet
- 35% – 14%Vancouver Whitecaps–Seattle Sounders
- Half-time result
- 1 · 43%X 38% · 2 19%
- Half-time / full-time
- 1/1 · 37%X/1 18% · X/X 13%
- Expected corners
- 10.86.8 – 4.0 · Over 9.5: 62%
- Expected cards
- 3.71.7 – 2.0 · Over 3.5: 50%
- Most likely scores
- 1-111%
- 2-110%
- 2-010%
- 1-09%
- 3-16%
Statistical model based on expected goals (xG), results and match statistics from the last two seasons. For information only. How our model works →
The Western Conference picture
Vancouver Whitecaps sit top of the Western Conference with 58 points from 32 matches and a goal difference of +34. Seattle Sounders are eighth on 43 points, with a +1 goal difference. With both sides deep into the regular season, the standings give Vancouver the stronger platform, but recent meetings suggest this rivalry rarely follows a simple script.
Vancouver arrive with the edge
The Whitecaps have won three, drawn one and lost one of their last five matches, scoring seven goals and conceding four. Their home record is a notable strength: 10 wins in 16 matches at BC Place, with 39 goals scored.
Seattle’s last five have brought one win, two draws and two defeats. They have scored six and conceded five over that span. The Sounders’ season record includes 11 wins and 10 draws from 32 matches, but their away return is four wins from 16.
Recent meetings have swung both ways
The latest league meeting, in August, went Vancouver’s way, with a 2-0 win away at Seattle. But the teams also met twice in the CONCACAF Champions League in March: Seattle won 2-1 at home after Vancouver had taken the first leg 3-0.
Their two earlier league meetings in this five-match sample also underline the contrast. Seattle and Vancouver drew 2-2 in September 2025, while the Whitecaps won 3-0 at home that June. Across those five encounters, Vancouver have two wins, Seattle have two, and one ended level. The pattern is not dominance by either side so much as momentum shifting from one meeting to the next.
Absences could shape the contest
Vancouver are without S. Adekugbe, K. G. Cabrera Nakamura, A. Cubas, R. Elloumi, B. Halbouni and E. Sabbi. T. Blackmon and R. Modesto are questionable.
Seattle are missing Y. Gomez Andrade, P. Kingston, N. Petkovic and P. de La Vega, while D. Musovski and P. Rothrock are questionable.
Vancouver’s home threat
The Whitecaps have scored 39 goals in 16 home matches, averaging 2.4 per game. That attacking output, combined with Seattle’s four away wins all season, gives the leaders a clear route to put the visitors under pressure. Yet Seattle have scored in four of the five recent meetings, so Vancouver cannot assume the contest will be one-sided.
Our prediction
Vancouver’s home scoring record and stronger season position point to the hosts having the better chance of controlling the game. Seattle’s recent head-to-head results show they can still make this a close contest, but the balance leans toward another Whitecaps victory.
Vancouver Whitecaps 2-1 Seattle Sounders
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