Major League Soccer · Matchday 33 
Our pick2–1Missed
Minnesota United seek a standings lift against Los Angeles FC
Minnesota United arrive on a five-match unbeaten run and need points to climb the Western Conference table. Los Angeles FC have home advantage and a stronger position, but their recent results have included three draws.
📍 Banc of California Stadium
Preview written:
All Matchday 33 matchesFull head-to-head
Match report
Minnesota United FC beat Los Angeles FC 3-1. Joaquín Pereyra opened the scoring in the 29th minute, then Cherrion Valerius made it 2-0 five minutes later, assisted by Kelvin Yeboah. Pereyra added his second in the 81st minute, with Mauricio González Carabalí providing the assist. Los Angeles FC scored through Sergio Vasquez in the 89th minute, but the late goal did not change the result. There were no red cards.
Los Angeles FC had more of the ball, with 60% possession, and led 22-6 in total shots and 7-3 in shots on target. Minnesota United FC, however, had the three goals despite recording 0.68 xG to Los Angeles FC’s 0.85. J. Pereyra was the top-rated player, with an 8.4 rating. The result differed from the pre-match model’s 2-1 prediction for Los Angeles FC, which gave the home side a 56% win chance, a draw 23% and an away win 21%.
Goals
- 29'Joaquín Pereyra · Minnesota United FC
- 34'Cherrion Valerius · Kelvin Yeboah · Minnesota United FC
- 81'Joaquín Pereyra · Mauricio González Carabalí · Minnesota United FC
- 89'Sergio Vasquez · Los Angeles FC
Cards
- 45+1'Igor Jesus · Los Angeles FC
- 45+5'Joaquín Pereyra · Minnesota United FC
- 58'Eddie Segura · Los Angeles FC
- 60'Jefferson Abel Díaz Beleño · Minnesota United FC
- 74'Morris Duggan · Minnesota United FC
- 84'Tyler Boyd · Los Angeles FC
- 90+3'Nectarios Triantis · Minnesota United FC
Match stats
⭐ Top-rated player: J. Pereyra (Minnesota United FC) 8.4
Ratings and statistics: API-Football.
Confirmed lineups
Los Angeles FC · 4-2-3-1
- 1H. LlorisG
- 14Sergi PalenciaD
- 5R. PorteousD
- 33A. LongD
- 4E. SeguraD
- 66M. ChoinièreM
- 6Igor JesusM
- 81L. WaltaM
- 7Son Heung-MinM
- 9A. SiebM
- 99D. BouangaF
Coach: Xavi Tamarit
Minnesota United FC · 3-4-3
- 12D. CallenderG
- 28J. DíazD
- 52Cherrion ValeriusD
- 23M. DugganD
- 18M. GonzalezM
- 25N. TriantisM
- 30O. GeneM
- 13A. MarkanichM
- 26J. PereyraF
- 9K. YeboahF
- 8T. ChancalayF
Coach: C. Knowles
Match facts
Recent form
Last 5 league games, latest on the right
Goals per game
| · | Scored | Conceded |
|---|---|---|
| Los Angeles FC | 1.6 | 1.1 |
| Minnesota United FC | 1.6 | 1.8 |
League position
| Pos | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Los Angeles FC | 32 | +15 | 47 |
| 13 | Minnesota United FC | 32 | -6 | 38 |
Last meetings
- 2026Minnesota United FC0-1Los Angeles FC
- 2025Minnesota United FC0-1Los Angeles FC
- 2025Los Angeles FC1-0Minnesota United FC
- 2024Los Angeles FC2-0Minnesota United FC
- 2024Minnesota United FC2-0Los Angeles FC
Absences
Los Angeles FC
- DoubtfulC. Carter · Arm Injury
- DoubtfulT. Tillman · Pelvis Injury
Minnesota United FC
- OutP. Stroud · Muscle Injury
- OutW. Trapp · Concussion
PreviaXI model
Model confidence: Medium
- Predicted score
- 2-1
- Expected goals (model)
- 1.89 – 1.09
- Double chance
- 1X · 79%12 77% · X2 44%
- Over 2.5 goals
- 57%Over 1.5: 80% · Over 3.5: 35%
- Both teams score
- 57%
- Clean sheet
- 34% – 15%Los Angeles FC–Minnesota United FC
- Half-time result
- 1 · 42%X 38% · 2 20%
- Half-time / full-time
- 1/1 · 35%X/1 17% · X/X 13%
- Expected corners
- 11.16.6 – 4.5 · Over 9.5: 65%
- Expected cards
- 3.71.4 – 2.3 · Over 3.5: 50%
- Most likely scores
- 1-111%
- 2-110%
- 1-09%
- 2-09%
- 3-16%
Statistical model based on expected goals (xG), results and match statistics from the last two seasons. For information only. How our model works →
Minnesota’s climb meets LA’s home edge
Minnesota United FC come into this Major League Soccer meeting unbeaten in five, with three draws in that sequence. They travel to Los Angeles FC on Monday looking to turn that steady run into a stronger push up the Western Conference standings.
After 32 matches, Minnesota sit 13th on 38 points, while Los Angeles FC are sixth with 47. The gap gives the visitors a clear target: a win would help them close on the teams above. LA, meanwhile, will look to protect their higher position, with home results a notable strength: nine wins from 16 league matches at home.
Form points to an open contest
Minnesota have scored 10 goals across their last five matches, conceding seven. Their recent unbeaten run is built on four draws and one win, and their overall record stands at nine wins, 11 draws and 12 defeats.
Los Angeles FC have taken three wins, one draw and one defeat in their last five, scoring seven and conceding six. They have 12 wins overall, and their home scoring average of 1.9 goals per match contrasts with Minnesota’s 2.2 goals conceded per away match.
LA have edged recent meetings
Los Angeles FC won the latest encounter 1-0 in April and have taken all three of the most recent meetings, each by a one-goal margin. Minnesota’s most recent win in this series came in March 2024, when they prevailed 2-0.
Two absences for Minnesota
P. Stroud is set to miss the match with a muscle injury, while W. Trapp is also unavailable following a concussion. Los Angeles FC list C. Carter and T. Tillman as questionable, with arm and pelvis injuries respectively.
Goals from both sides in focus
Minnesota’s 10 goals in their last five show they can threaten, but their away defensive record presents a challenge: they have conceded 35 goals in 16 road matches. LA have scored 31 times at home and kept eight clean sheets there, making their ability to control the match a key factor.
Our prediction
Los Angeles FC’s stronger home record and Minnesota’s away defensive numbers point toward the hosts having the edge. Minnesota’s recent scoring form could still make this competitive, but the balance favours LA to win a match in which both sides find the net.
Los Angeles FC 2-1 Minnesota United FC
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