Major League Soccer · Matchday 33 
Our pick2–1Missed
New England Revolution and Inter Miami battle for second in the East
Just two points separate second-placed New England Revolution and third-placed Inter Miami. A win would strengthen either side’s position in the closing stretch of the regular season.
📍 Boston Stadium
Preview written:
All Matchday 33 matchesFull head-to-head
Match report
New England Revolution took the lead in the 53rd minute when Dániel Gazdag scored, assisted by Ilay Feingold. Inter Miami levelled in the 69th minute through Germán Berterame, with Lionel Messi providing the assist. Messi then scored in the 83rd minute, assisted by Telasco Segovia, to complete a 2-1 away win. There were no red cards.
The match was closely balanced by several measures: New England had 54% possession and seven corners, while Inter Miami recorded 14 shots to the hosts’ 13 and led the expected-goals count 1.55 to 1.25. Inter Miami also had twice as many shots on target, six to three. Messi was the top-rated player, with a rating of 9.0. The result differed from the pre-match model’s predicted 2-1 win for New England, which gave the hosts a 39% win chance, a draw 23%, and Inter Miami 38%.
Goals
- 53'Dániel Gazdag · Ilay Feingold · New England Revolution
- 69'Germán Berterame · Lionel Messi · Inter Miami
- 83'Lionel Messi · Telasco Segovia · Inter Miami
Cards
- 25'Gonzalo Lujan · Inter Miami
- 75'Matías Galarza · Inter Miami
- 85'Telasco Segovia · Inter Miami
- 90+6'Luca Daniel·Langoni · New England Revolution
Match stats
⭐ Top-rated player: L. Messi (Inter Miami) 9
Ratings and statistics: API-Football.
Confirmed lineups
New England Revolution · 4-2-3-1
- 30M. TurnerG
- 12I. FeingoldD
- 22E. KohlerD
- 66J. WynderD
- 23W. SandsD
- 8M. PolsterM
- 21B. RainesM
- 25P. MillerM
- 10Carles GilM
- 16D. GazdagM
- 99D. TurgemanF
Coach: M. Mićović
Inter Miami · 4-3-3
- 97D. St. ClairG
- 17I. FrayD
- 5CasemiroD
- 16MicaelD
- 2G. LujánD
- 7R. De PaulM
- 42Y. BrightM
- 8T. SegoviaM
- 10L. MessiF
- 11Riquelme FillipiF
- 19G. BerterameF
Coach: Kily González
Match facts
Recent form
Last 5 league games, latest on the right
Goals per game
| · | Scored | Conceded |
|---|---|---|
| New England Revolution | 1.7 | 1.4 |
| Inter Miami | 2.3 | 1.7 |
League position
| Pos | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | New England Revolution | 32 | +10 | 58 |
| 3 | Inter Miami | 32 | +20 | 56 |
Last meetings
- 2026Inter Miami1-1New England Revolution
- 2025Inter Miami4-1New England Revolution
- 2025New England Revolution1-2Inter Miami
- 2024Inter Miami6-2New England Revolution
- 2024New England Revolution1-4Inter Miami
Absences
New England Revolution
- OutL. Campana · Hamstring Injury
- OutJ. Harrison · Lower-Body Injury
- OutA. Yusuf · Muscle Injury
Inter Miami
- OutT. Allende · Knee Injury
- OutF. Caicedo · Lower-Body Injury
- OutM. Silvetti · Injury
PreviaXI model
Model confidence: Open game
- Predicted score
- 2-1
- Expected goals (model)
- 1.80 – 1.77
- Double chance
- 12 · 77%1X 62% · X2 61%
- Over 2.5 goals
- 69%Over 1.5: 87% · Over 3.5: 48%
- Both teams score
- 70%
- Clean sheet
- 17% – 17%New England Revolution–Inter Miami
- Half-time result
- X · 35%1 33% · 2 32%
- Half-time / full-time
- 1/1 · 24%2/2 23% · X/1 12%
- Expected corners
- 8.94.4 – 4.5 · Over 9.5: 40%
- Expected cards
- 4.11.7 – 2.4 · Over 3.5: 57%
- Most likely scores
- 1-19%
- 2-18%
- 1-28%
- 2-27%
- 3-15%
Statistical model based on expected goals (xG), results and match statistics from the last two seasons. For information only. How our model works →
Second place is within reach
Only two points separate New England Revolution, second in the Eastern Conference on 58 points, from third-placed Inter Miami on 56, with both teams having played 32 matches. The winner will strengthen its grip on a top-two position and stay in touch with the conference leaders; a defeat would give its rival a chance to widen the gap.
New England’s home record offers a strong platform: 11 wins from 16 league games at Boston Stadium, where they have scored 30 goals and conceded 18. Inter Miami have been productive away from home too, with nine wins in 16 matches on the road.
Recent momentum
New England arrive with four wins in their last five, scoring nine goals and conceding eight. Inter Miami have also won four of their last five, but have been more efficient at both ends, scoring 11 and letting in five.
The recent figures point to a close contest between two sides in good form. New England’s home strength meets an Inter Miami team that has scored 32 away goals in the league.
A goal-heavy rivalry
The most recent meeting ended 1-1 in April, but the previous four encounters were far more open: Inter Miami won three, including a 6-2 victory in October 2024, while New England’s only win in that run was a 1-2 result in July 2025.
That history makes another lively game plausible, though the latest draw shows the gap between the teams can be narrow.
Absences on both sides
New England will be without L. Campana, J. Harrison and A. Yusuf. Inter Miami are missing T. Allende, F. Caicedo and M. Silvetti.
Attacking threats
Inter Miami’s 75 goals across 32 league matches give them the stronger overall scoring record, while New England have been particularly effective at home, averaging 1.9 goals per game there. Both attacks have produced consistently in their last five outings, making the quality of their finishing a key factor in a tight race for second.
Our prediction
New England’s home record gives them a slight edge, but Inter Miami’s recent defensive numbers and strong away scoring make this a finely balanced matchup. PreviaXI’s model narrowly favours the hosts, with both teams likely to find chances.
New England Revolution 2-1 Inter Miami
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