River Plate's recent edge over Racing Club under the Monumental lights

River Plate come into this Clausura fixture on the back of a solid spell: eight goals scored and only four conceded in their last five matches. That run has helped them climb to sixth in the Clausura table with 20 points from 13 games.

River’s steady run meets Racing’s shaky away form

Racing Club have not been as reliable. They have scored seven and conceded seven in their last five, and their recent results have swung between defeat and win. Away from home they have won only five of their 16 league matches this season, and they sit 13th in the Clausura standings with 12 points.

What the last five meetings tell us

The recent history between these clubs is close, but River have had the upper hand. Of the last five meetings, River have won three and Racing two, with nine goals in total. River’s most recent visit to Racing ended 2-0 in April, and they also won the Copa Argentina tie 1-0 at the same ground last October.

Racing’s wins came in November, when they edged a 3-2 thriller, and in December 2024, when they won 1-0. The pattern is clear: Racing have struggled to find the net against River, failing to score in two of the last three meetings. Whoever takes the first goal in these games has often controlled what follows.

Our prediction

PreviaXI’s model favours River Plate, and the football behind that lean is easy to see. River have been the more potent side in recent meetings and have the better defensive record over the last five games, while Racing have found goals hard to come by on their travels. A game between these two looks likely to be tight and physical rather than open, with home advantage tipping the balance. Expect River to be patient and to grind out a narrow win.

River Plate 1-0 Racing Club