Talleres Cordoba look to upset Defensa Y Justicia at the Kempes

Talleres have collected just nine points from their 13 Clausura matches, yet they host one of the form teams of the league on Saturday, when Defensa Y Justicia arrive third in the table.

A reversed picture from the Apertura

Both clubs sit in Clausura Group A, and the gap between them is stark. Talleres are 15th of 30 with a goal difference of minus eight, while Defensa are third on 24 points. The picture was almost the opposite in the Apertura, where Talleres finished fourth and Defensa were tenth. For the home side, this is a chance to show that their earlier form was no fluke.

Defensa’s momentum, Talleres’ late wobbles

Defensa have won three of their last five and conceded only three goals in that run. Talleres have struggled more recently, with one win in five and seven goals conceded. At the Kempes, Talleres have won five, drawn four and lost six of their 15 home matches this season, scoring 14 and conceding 16. Twelve of the 34 goals they have shipped came in the final 15 minutes, a habit a patient visitor could exploit.

Talleres’ edge in recent meetings

In five meetings since 2022, Talleres have won twice, drawn twice and lost once. Their most recent victory was a 2-1 win at Defensa’s ground in April, a result that will give the home side belief.

Our prediction

PreviaXI’s model favours Talleres by the narrowest of margins. The reasoning rests on home advantage: Talleres have been more dangerous in front of their own supporters and are more likely to carry the greater threat in the final third, while Defensa’s away record, with five defeats in 14 trips, is far from dominant. Expect a tight, physical match in which neither side opens up early, and in which a single moment could decide the outcome.

Talleres Cordoba 1-0 Defensa Y Justicia