Major League Soccer · Matchday 33
Colorado Rapids
2–4 Full time
Chicago Fire

Our pick1–2Correct result

Colorado Rapids’ injury crisis puts Chicago Fire opportunity in focus

Colorado have five players either ruled out or questionable, including goalkeeper Zack Steffen, as they prepare to face Chicago. The Rapids’ home strength offers resistance, but the visitors arrive with a nine-point advantage in the Eastern Conference.

📍 Dick's Sporting Goods Park

Preview written:

Match report

Colorado Rapids took the lead in the 22nd minute through Morgan Whittaker, assisted by Georgi Minoungou. Chicago Fire levelled in the 41st minute with Jonathan Bamba’s goal, then Bamba scored again in the 56th minute, assisted by Jonathan Dean. Paxten Aaronson equalised for Colorado two minutes later, with Minoungou providing the assist. Robert Lewandowski put Chicago back in front in the 74th minute, assisted by Philip Zinckernagel, and Puso Dithejane sealed the 4-2 win in the 88th minute, assisted by Lewandowski.

Colorado had more possession, 57% to 43%, while both teams recorded 14 shots. Chicago led 6-4 in shots on target and 2.37-1.45 in expected goals. Jonathan Bamba was the top-rated player, with a rating of 9.3. The result differed from the pre-match model’s 2-1 prediction for Chicago, despite its 37% chance of an away win, compared with 37% for a Colorado win and 26% for a draw.

Goals

  • 22'Morgan Whittaker · Georgi Minoungou · Colorado Rapids
  • 41'Jonathan Bamba · Chicago Fire
  • 56'Jonathan Bamba · Jonathan Dean · Chicago Fire
  • 58'Paxten Aaronson · Georgi Minoungou · Colorado Rapids
  • 74'Robert Lewandowski · Philip Zinckernagel · Chicago Fire
  • 88'Puso Dithejane · Robert Lewandowski · Chicago Fire

Cards

  • 45+1'Noah Allen · Chicago Fire
  • 51'Miguel Navarro · Colorado Rapids
  • 68'Hamzat Ojediran · Colorado Rapids
  • 70'Theodore Ku-DiPietro · Colorado Rapids
  • 90'Rob Holding · Colorado Rapids
  • 90+2'Andrew Gutman · Chicago Fire

Match stats

Colorado RapidsChicago Fire
57%Possession43%
14Shots14
4Shots on target6
1.45Expected goals (xG)2.37
5Corners6
11Fouls13
0Offsides5
2Saves2

⭐ Top-rated player: J. Bamba (Chicago Fire) 9.3

Ratings and statistics: API-Football.

Confirmed lineups

Colorado Rapids · 4-2-3-1

  1. 41N. DefreitasG
  2. 2K. RosenberryD
  3. 6R. HoldingD
  4. 5Loïc WilliamsD
  5. 29M. NavarroD
  6. 13W. Frederick IIM
  7. 8H. OjediranM
  8. 7M. WhittakerM
  9. 10P. AaronsonM
  10. 93G. MinoungouM
  11. 77D. YapiF

Coach: Matt Wells

Chicago Fire · 4-4-2

  1. 1C. BradyG
  2. 24J. DeanD
  3. 3J. ElliottD
  4. 4M. MbokaziD
  5. 32N. AllenD
  6. 11P. ZinckernagelM
  7. 6A. SalétrosM
  8. 42T. D'AvillaM
  9. 19J. BambaM
  10. 18J. GómezF
  11. 7M. Haile-SelassieF

Coach: G. Berhalter

Match facts

Recent form

Colorado RapidsDDDWD
Chicago FireWLLWD

Last 5 league games, latest on the right

Goals per game

·ScoredConceded
Colorado Rapids1.41.3
Chicago Fire1.81.5

League position

PosTeamPGDPts
4Chicago Fire32+952
7Colorado Rapids32+143

Last meetings

  • 2019Chicago Fire4-1Colorado Rapids
  • 2018Colorado Rapids2-2Chicago Fire
  • 2017Chicago Fire3-0Colorado Rapids
  • 2016Colorado Rapids2-1Chicago Fire
  • 2015Chicago Fire0-1Colorado Rapids

Absences

Colorado Rapids

  • OutJ. Atencio · Yellow Cards
  • OutZ. Steffen · Shoulder Injury
  • OutK. Thompson · Red Card
  • DoubtfulR. Cannon · Leg Injury
  • DoubtfulA. Fadal · Injury
  • DoubtfulY. Maziz · Leg Injury
  • DoubtfulI. Sadiq · Leg Injury

Chicago Fire

  • DoubtfulR. Lod · Lower-Body Injury
  • DoubtfulS. Rogers · Lower-Body Injury

PreviaXI model

Colorado Rapids37%Draw26%Chicago Fire37%

Model confidence: Open game

Predicted score
1-2
Expected goals (model)
1.45 – 1.45
Double chance
12 · 74%1X 63% · X2 63%
Over 2.5 goals
55%Over 1.5: 79% · Over 3.5: 33%
Both teams score
59%
Clean sheet
23% – 24%Colorado Rapids–Chicago Fire
Half-time result
X · 40%1 30% · 2 30%
Half-time / full-time
1/1 · 22%2/2 22% · X/X 15%
Expected corners
9.35.4 – 3.9 · Over 9.5: 45%
Expected cards
4.62.2 – 2.4 · Over 3.5: 68%
Most likely scores
  1. 1-112%
  2. 1-28%
  3. 2-18%
  4. 0-18%
  5. 1-08%

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG), results and match statistics from the last two seasons. For information only. How our model works →

A nine-point gap, a depleted squad

Colorado Rapids have five players ruled out or questionable for this match, a significant concern as they take on Chicago Fire in Major League Soccer. The Rapids sit seventh in the Western Conference with 43 points from 32 games, while Chicago are fourth in the Eastern Conference on 52 points. With both clubs deep into the regular season, Colorado’s absences could shape a contest between sides with contrasting strengths.

The Rapids have been reliable at home, winning 10 of 16 matches there and conceding just 15 goals. Chicago, meanwhile, have scored 27 times in 16 away games, making Colorado’s defensive resilience especially important.

Similar recent returns

Both sides have taken a similar share of points across their last five matches. Colorado have scored six goals and conceded five in that span, while Chicago have found the net eight times but allowed nine. The Rapids’ recent conference form reads five successive draws; Chicago’s last five include two wins, a draw and two defeats.

Old meetings offer little separation

The most recent meeting in the supplied head-to-head record was a 4-1 Chicago victory in 2019. Across the five listed encounters, each side has won twice, with one draw. Those results are distant enough to offer only limited guidance for this meeting.

Colorado’s absences pile up

Colorado will miss J. Atencio through yellow-card suspension, K. Thompson through a red-card suspension and Z. Steffen because of a shoulder injury. Four others—R. Cannon, A. Fadal, Y. Maziz and I. Sadiq—are questionable, with leg injuries listed for Cannon, Maziz and Sadiq.

Chicago have two players listed as questionable: R. Lod and S. Rogers, both with lower-body injuries. Colorado’s longer list, particularly the confirmed absence of Steffen, leaves the home side with less room for disruption as they try to protect their strong record at Dick’s Sporting Goods Park.

Chicago’s away threat

Chicago have scored 57 goals this season, compared with Colorado’s 44, and have been more productive on the road than the Rapids have away from home. The Rapids’ home defence has been much sturdier than their overall record suggests, but Chicago’s attacking output gives them a clear route to test it.

Our prediction

Colorado’s home record should keep this close, but the injuries and suspensions weaken their options against a Chicago side with a stronger season goal return. PreviaXI’s model leans to the visitors, and a narrow away win is the call.

Colorado Rapids 1-2 Chicago Fire

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