Our pick2–1Correct result
Austin seek standings boost against Los Angeles Galaxy
Austin travel to Los Angeles looking to improve their position in the Western Conference, while the Galaxy aim to build on their advantage in the standings. Both teams have conceded 12 goals across their last five matches.
📍 Dignity Health Sports Park
Preview written:
All Matchday 33 matchesFull head-to-head
Match report
Los Angeles Galaxy beat Austin 4-1. Klauss opened the scoring in the 10th minute, assisted by Harbor Miller, before Hirving Lozano made it 2-0 in the 38th minute with Marco Reus providing the assist. Robert Taylor extended the lead in the 48th minute, again assisted by Reus. Austin pulled one back through Ervin Torres in the 54th minute, assisted by Micah Burton, but Sergi Roberto restored the three-goal advantage in the 66th minute, with Reus supplying his third assist. Žan Kolmanič was sent off for Austin in stoppage time, at 90+5.
The numbers showed Los Angeles Galaxy with 56% possession and 10 shots on target to Austin’s two. Galaxy also led 2.44 to 1.27 on expected goals. Marco Reus was the top-rated player, with a 9.1 rating. The 4-1 result was more decisive than the pre-match model’s 2-1 prediction; the model gave Los Angeles Galaxy a 53% chance of winning, a draw 23%, and Austin a 24% chance.
Goals
- 10'Klauss · Harbor Miller · Los Angeles Galaxy
- 38'Hirving Lozano · Marco Reus · Los Angeles Galaxy
- 48'Robert Taylor · Marco Reus · Los Angeles Galaxy
- 54'Ervin Torres · Micah Burton · Austin
- 66'Sergi Roberto · Marco Reus · Los Angeles Galaxy
Cards
- 23'Besard Sabovic · Austin
- 87'Marco Reus · Los Angeles Galaxy
- 90+5'Žan Kolmanič · Austin
Match stats
⭐ Top-rated player: M. Reus (Los Angeles Galaxy) 9.1
Ratings and statistics: API-Football.
Confirmed lineups
Los Angeles Galaxy · 4-3-3
- 12J. MarcinkowskiG
- 26Harbor MillerD
- 25C. GarcésD
- 15J. HaakD
- 14J. NelsonD
- 17P. RuizM
- 18M. ReusM
- 6Sergi RobertoM
- 11H. LozanoF
- 99KlaussF
- 28J. PaintsilF
Coach: Greg Vanney
Austin · 3-4-3
- 12D. LasG
- 3M. DeslerD
- 6Ilie SánchezD
- 29Guilherme BiroD
- 32M. BurtonM
- 14B. ŠabovićM
- 38Ervin TorresM
- 24Jorge AlastueyM
- 77P. PłachetaF
- 21C. RamirezF
- 17J. GallagherF
Coach: D. Arnaud
Match facts
Recent form
Last 5 league games, latest on the right
Goals per game
| · | Scored | Conceded |
|---|---|---|
| Los Angeles Galaxy | 1.4 | 1.7 |
| Austin | 1.3 | 1.8 |
League position
| Pos | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Los Angeles Galaxy | 32 | -9 | 41 |
| 14 | Austin | 32 | -18 | 34 |
Last meetings
- 2026Austin1-2Los Angeles Galaxy
- 2025Los Angeles Galaxy1-2Austin
- 2025Austin1-0Los Angeles Galaxy
- 2025Los Angeles Galaxy1-1Austin
- 2024Los Angeles Galaxy2-1Austin
Absences
Los Angeles Galaxy
- OutR. Puig · Knee Injury
- DoubtfulK. Furuhashi · Hamstring Injury
- DoubtfulJ. Glesnes · Injury
- DoubtfulH. Lozano · Hamstring Injury
- DoubtfulI. Parente · Ankle Injury
- DoubtfulM. Reus · Illness
Austin
- DoubtfulC. Applewhite · Muscle Injury
- DoubtfulJ. Bell · Abdominal strain
- DoubtfulE. Torres · Injury
PreviaXI model
Model confidence: Medium
- Predicted score
- 2-1
- Expected goals (model)
- 1.93 – 1.24
- Double chance
- 12 · 77%1X 76% · X2 47%
- Over 2.5 goals
- 61%Over 1.5: 83% · Over 3.5: 39%
- Both teams score
- 61%
- Clean sheet
- 29% – 14%Los Angeles Galaxy–Austin
- Half-time result
- 1 · 41%X 37% · 2 22%
- Half-time / full-time
- 1/1 · 34%X/1 16% · 2/2 14%
- Expected corners
- 10.06.2 – 3.8 · Over 9.5: 54%
- Expected cards
- 4.42.2 – 2.2 · Over 3.5: 65%
- Most likely scores
- 1-110%
- 2-110%
- 2-08%
- 1-08%
- 3-16%
Statistical model based on expected goals (xG), results and match statistics from the last two seasons. For information only. How our model works →
Austin’s chance to climb
Austin head to Dignity Health Sports Park on Sunday with a clear objective: make up ground in the Western Conference. They sit 14th on 34 points after 32 matches, seven points behind 10th-placed Los Angeles Galaxy, who have played the same number of games. The Galaxy also hold the better goal difference, at -9 compared with Austin’s -18.
There is a gap to close, but Austin’s immediate task is to halt a difficult run. Los Angeles, meanwhile, can protect their position and put pressure on the teams above them with a home win.
Recent form points to goals
The Galaxy have won two, drawn one and lost two of their last five, scoring 11 goals and conceding 12. Austin have taken one win in that span, alongside four defeats; they have scored six and let in 12. Both defences have therefore faced a busy recent stretch, while Los Angeles have been more productive in front of goal.
Season figures also underline the home side’s advantage at Dignity Health Sports Park: the Galaxy have scored 22 and conceded 20 in 16 home league matches. Austin have scored 19 and conceded 36 in 16 away games.
A recent split between the sides
The latest meeting went the Galaxy’s way, with a 2-1 win away at Austin in April. But the most recent matchup in Los Angeles, in July 2025, ended 2-1 to Austin. Across the five listed meetings, each side has recorded two wins, with one draw.
Absences to monitor
R. Puig is listed as missing for Los Angeles with a knee injury. K. Furuhashi, J. Glesnes, H. Lozano, I. Parente and M. Reus are questionable for the Galaxy, with hamstring, injury, ankle and illness concerns listed.
Austin have three players marked questionable: C. Applewhite with a muscle injury, J. Bell with an abdominal strain and E. Torres with an injury.
Late goals could matter
Austin’s season scoring pattern stands out: 17 of their 41 goals have come between the 76th and 90th minutes. That late threat could test a Galaxy side that has also scored regularly in the closing stages, with 12 of its 45 goals arriving in that period.
Our prediction
The Galaxy’s stronger recent attack and home record make them the likelier side to control the match, while Austin’s late scoring threat gives the visitors a route to respond. PreviaXI’s model favours Los Angeles, and a narrow home win looks the most plausible outcome.
Los Angeles Galaxy 2-1 Austin

