Major League Soccer · Matchday 33 
Our pick1–2Missed
Sporting Kansas City under pressure as FC Dallas arrive
Sporting Kansas City’s 4-3 defeat to FC Dallas in September extended a run of poor results that has left them bottom of the Western Conference. Dallas return in stronger form, sitting second after 32 matches.
📍 Children's Mercy Park
Preview written:
All Matchday 33 matchesFull head-to-head
Match report
Sporting Kansas City and FC Dallas shared the points in a 1-1 draw. FC Dallas took the lead in the 19th minute through Herman Johansson, assisted by Ran Binyamin. Sporting Kansas City levelled in first-half stoppage time, with Jansen Miller scoring in the 45+2 minute after an assist from Owen Wolff. Neither side found another goal, and there were no red cards.
Sporting Kansas City had 55% possession and four shots on target, compared with FC Dallas’s two. FC Dallas recorded more total shots, 10 to eight, and led the expected-goals count 1.76 to 1.03. H. Johansson of FC Dallas was the top-rated player, with a rating of 7.5. The 1-1 result differed from the pre-match model’s predicted 1-2, which gave FC Dallas a 49% chance of winning, Sporting Kansas City 27%, and a draw 24%.
Goals
- 19'Herman Johansson · Ran Binyamin · FC Dallas
- 45+2'Jansen Miller · Owen Wolff · Sporting Kansas City
Cards
- 26'Lalas Abubakar · FC Dallas
- 39'Jacob Bartlett · Sporting Kansas City
- 52'Sebastien Ibeagha · FC Dallas
- 58'Owen Wolff · Sporting Kansas City
- 64'Jacob Davis · Sporting Kansas City
- 83'Osaze Urhoghide · FC Dallas
- 89'Samuel Sarver · FC Dallas
Match stats
⭐ Top-rated player: H. Johansson (FC Dallas) 7.5
Ratings and statistics: API-Football.
Confirmed lineups
Sporting Kansas City · 4-4-2
- 30S. ClevelandG
- 8J. DavisD
- 15Jansen MillerD
- 28Wyatt MeyerD
- 18E. KarićD
- 11André LuizM
- 16J. BartlettM
- 33O. WolffM
- 7CapitaM
- 19T. CalheiraF
- 24R. RamosF
Coach: R. Wicky
FC Dallas · 3-4-2-1
- 40J. SiroisG
- 25S. IbeaghaD
- 3O. UrhoghideD
- 5L. AbubakarD
- 14H. JohanssonM
- 55KaickM
- 17RamiroM
- 6R. BinyaminM
- 21J. ValienteM
- 7D. JobM
- 10S. MorenoF
Coach: Eric Quill
Match facts
Recent form
Last 5 league games, latest on the right
Goals per game
| · | Scored | Conceded |
|---|---|---|
| Sporting Kansas City | 1.2 | 2.5 |
| FC Dallas | 1.8 | 1.5 |
League position
| Pos | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | FC Dallas | 32 | +9 | 54 |
| 15 | Sporting Kansas City | 32 | -42 | 22 |
Last meetings
- 2026FC Dallas4-3Sporting Kansas City
- 2025Sporting Kansas City2-4FC Dallas
- 2025FC Dallas2-1Sporting Kansas City
- 2024FC Dallas2-1Sporting Kansas City
- 2024Sporting Kansas City2-1FC Dallas
Absences
Sporting Kansas City
- OutO. Blorian · Chest Injury
- OutDiego Borges · Groin Injury
- OutM. Mosquera · Hamstring Injury
- OutS. Reid · Hamstring Injury
- OutJ. Reynolds · Muscle Injury
- DoubtfulZ. Bassong · Hamstring Injury
- DoubtfulL. Johnsen · Hamstring Injury
FC Dallas
- OutS. Moore · Yellow Cards
- OutN. Norris · Yellow Cards
- DoubtfulL. Farrington · Lower-Body Injury
- DoubtfulGeovane Jesus · Knee Injury
PreviaXI model
Model confidence: Medium
- Predicted score
- 1-2
- Expected goals (model)
- 1.31 – 1.85
- Double chance
- 12 · 76%1X 51% · X2 73%
- Over 2.5 goals
- 61%Over 1.5: 83% · Over 3.5: 39%
- Both teams score
- 62%
- Clean sheet
- 16% – 27%Sporting Kansas City–FC Dallas
- Half-time result
- X · 38%1 24% · 2 38%
- Half-time / full-time
- 2/2 · 31%X/2 16% · 1/1 15%
- Expected corners
- 10.26.0 – 4.2 · Over 9.5: 56%
- Expected cards
- 4.11.9 – 2.2 · Over 3.5: 58%
- Most likely scores
- 1-111%
- 1-210%
- 0-17%
- 0-27%
- 2-17%
Statistical model based on expected goals (xG), results and match statistics from the last two seasons. For information only. How our model works →
September’s seven-goal warning
The most recent meeting offered a dramatic reminder of the threat FC Dallas pose: they beat Sporting Kansas City 4-3 on September 6. Sporting scored three but still left empty-handed, a result that captures the defensive problems facing the hosts ahead of Saturday’s rematch at Children’s Mercy Park.
Pressure mounting in Kansas City
Sporting Kansas City have lost four of their last five league matches, with the other ending in a draw. They have conceded 15 goals across that run, an average of three per game, and their season record stands at six wins, four draws and 22 defeats from 32 fixtures.
The standings underline the pressure. Sporting are 15th in the 15-team Western Conference on 22 points, with a goal difference of minus 42. FC Dallas, by contrast, are second on 54 points. Dallas have won 15 of 32 matches and arrive with a markedly better recent record: two wins, two draws and one defeat in their last five.
A one-sided recent rivalry
Dallas have won all four of the teams’ most recent MLS meetings, including a 4-2 victory in Kansas City in June 2025. Sporting’s last win in the five-match sequence came in the 2024 US Open Cup, when they prevailed 2-1. The September thriller was the latest chapter, but it did little to ease the hosts’ current concerns.
Absences add to Sporting’s task
Sporting are set to be without O. Blorian, Diego Borges, M. Mosquera, S. Reid and J. Reynolds. Z. Bassong and L. Johnsen are listed as questionable, both with hamstring injuries.
FC Dallas will miss S. Moore and N. Norris through yellow-card suspensions. L. Farrington and Geovane Jesus are questionable.
Goals at both ends
Sporting have scored six times in their last five matches, but their 15 goals conceded tell the sharper story. Dallas have struck eight times in that span while allowing seven, and have kept eight clean sheets across the season compared with Sporting’s one.
The previous meeting suggests Sporting can trouble Dallas going forward, but the hosts need a far more secure defensive display to turn that promise into points.
Our prediction
FC Dallas have the stronger recent form, a much better season record and a clear advantage in the standings. Sporting’s home attack may find a way through, but their defensive record makes it difficult to back them to stop Dallas.
Sporting Kansas City 1-2 FC Dallas
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