Club Brugge arrive on a winning run: can it continue against St. Truiden?
Club Brugge have won seven of their last eight league games and have scored freely at home. St. Truiden have struggled to find any rhythm this season, but they have already given Brugge a tough time this campaign.
📍 Jan Breydel Stadion
All Matchday 9 matchesFull head-to-head
Match facts
Recent form
Last 5 league games, latest on the right
Goals per game
| · | Scored | Conceded |
|---|---|---|
| Club Brugge KV | 2.4 | 0.5 |
| St. Truiden | 1.9 | 2.0 |
PreviaXI model
- Predicted score
- 2-1
- Expected goals (model)
- 2.23 – 1.28
- Double chance
- 1X · 80%12 79% · X2 41%
- Over 2.5 goals
- 68%Over 1.5: 87% · Over 3.5: 46%
- Both teams score
- 65%
- Clean sheet
- 28% – 11%Club Brugge KV–St. Truiden
- Half-time result
- 1 · 45%X 35% · 2 20%
- Half-time / full-time
- 1/1 · 38%X/1 17% · 2/2 12%
- Expected corners
- 10.86.4 – 4.4 · Over 9.5: 63%
- Expected cards
- 3.51.4 – 2.1 · Over 3.5: 46%
- Most likely scores
- 2-110%
- 1-19%
- 2-07%
- 3-17%
- 1-06%
Statistical model based on expected goals (xG), results and match statistics from the last two seasons. For information only. How our model works →
Why the model leans towards Club Brugge KV
- Power ratings: Club Brugge KV +1.09 goals per game (1st of 18 in Jupiler Pro League), St. Truiden +0.42 (3rd).
- Club Brugge KV's attack (2.25 goals per game) meets St. Truiden's defence (1.31 conceded per game).
- St. Truiden's attack (1.73) meets Club Brugge KV's defence (1.16).
- Home advantage in this competition: home sides score about 20% more goals.
- Put together, the model expects 2.23 – 1.28 goals: Club Brugge KV 59%, draw 21%, St. Truiden 20%.
Chance to score
Club Brugge KV
- N. Tresoldi8 goals in 11 games40%
- H. Vetlesen5 goals in 11 games27%
- Carlos Forbs3 goals in 10 games19%
St. Truiden
- S. Baždar5 goals in 10 games22%
- I. Sebaoui5 goals in 12 games21%
- R. Merlen3 goals in 12 games13%
Model estimate: each player’s season goals per minute compared with his team’s, applied to the model’s expected goals for this match and his usual minutes. Players listed as out are left out.
Trends
- Club Brugge KV have scored in each of their last 30 matches.
- Club Brugge KV have won their last 5 matches.
- 7 of Club Brugge KV’s last 8 matches had over 2.5 goals.
- At least one side failed to score in 6 of St. Truiden’s last 8 matches.
Season stats
| · | Club Brugge KV | St. Truiden | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| · | All | Home | All | Away |
| Won-drawn-lost | 7-0-1 | 4-0-0 | 2-2-4 | 1-1-2 |
| Goals scored per game | 2.38 | 2.50 | 1.88 | 2.50 |
| Goals conceded per game | 0.50 | 0.25 | 2.00 | 2.50 |
| xG per game | 2.44 | 2.58 | 1.85 | 1.90 |
| xG against per game | 1.24 | 1.52 | 1.71 | 1.84 |
| Scored in | 100% | 100% | 62% | 75% |
| Clean sheets | 62% | 75% | 12% | 0% |
| Failed to score | 0% | 0% | 38% | 25% |
| Both teams scored | 38% | 25% | 50% | 75% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 75% | 75% | 100% | 100% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 75% | 75% | 62% | 75% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 25% | 25% | 50% | 75% |
| Shots per game | 19.0 | 20.5 | 17.2 | 15.0 |
| Shots on target per game | 6.2 | 7.0 | 4.6 | 5.2 |
| Shots on target | 33% | 34% | 27% | 35% |
| Possession | 64% | 68% | 56% | 53% |
| Passes per game | 610.6 | 644.2 | 526.6 | 470.8 |
| Pass accuracy | 89% | 88% | 83% | 80% |
| Corners per game | 8.1 | 8.0 | 5.4 | 4.0 |
| Corners against per game | 3.1 | 2.8 | 3.8 | 4.8 |
| Cards per game | 1.5 | 1.2 | 2.0 | 2.5 |
| Fouls per game | 7.9 | 5.5 | 10.8 | 9.8 |
League matches this season (Jupiler Pro League). Per-game averages; % = share of matches.
When goals come
Club Brugge KV
- 0-152 / 0
- 16-302 / 1
- 31-454 / 2
- 46-604 / 0
- 61-753 / 1
- 76-90+3 / 1
Usual formation: 4-2-3-1
St. Truiden
- 0-152 / 0
- 16-301 / 3
- 31-454 / 2
- 46-603 / 5
- 61-754 / 2
- 76-90+4 / 1
Goals scored (green) and conceded (orange) by 15-minute period, league matches this season.
Jupiler Pro League table
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 8 | +11 | 22 | |
| 2 | 8 | +15 | 21 | |
| 3 | 9 | +6 | 21 | |
| 4 | 8 | +18 | 20 | |
| 5 | 8 | +3 | 16 | |
| 6 | 9 | +3 | 14 | |
| 7 | 8 | +4 | 12 | |
| 8 | 9 | 0 | 12 | |
| 9 | 8 | 0 | 11 | |
| 10 | 9 | -2 | 11 | |
| 11 | 9 | -5 | 10 | |
| 12 | 9 | -6 | 10 | |
| 13 | 8 | -1 | 8 | |
| 14 | 9 | -7 | 7 | |
| 15 | 8 | -8 | 6 | |
| 16 | 9 | -8 | 6 | |
| 17 | 8 | -16 | 3 | |
| 18 | 8 | -7 | 3 |
Next matches
Club Brugge KV
- Fri 30 OctZulte Waregem – Club Brugge KVJupiler Pro League
- Wed 4 NovPSV Eindhoven – Club Brugge KVUEFA Champions League
- Sun 8 NovClub Brugge KV – AnderlechtJupiler Pro League
St. Truiden
- Sun 1 NovSt. Truiden – OH LeuvenJupiler Pro League
- Thu 5 NovSt. Truiden – BrannUEFA Europa Conference League
- Sun 8 NovSt. Truiden – Zulte WaregemJupiler Pro League
Head-to-head: last 10 meetings
Club Brugge KV 4 wins · 3 draws · St. Truiden 3 wins
- 09/05/2026Club Brugge KV2-0St. TruidenJupiler Pro League
- 11/04/2026St. Truiden1-2Club Brugge KVJupiler Pro League
- 06/12/2025St. Truiden3-2Club Brugge KVJupiler Pro League
- 21/09/2025Club Brugge KV2-0St. TruidenJupiler Pro League
- 15/02/2025St. Truiden2-2Club Brugge KVJupiler Pro League
- 23/11/2024Club Brugge KV7-0St. TruidenJupiler Pro League
- 17/03/2024St. Truiden2-1Club Brugge KVJupiler Pro League
- 01/10/2023Club Brugge KV1-1St. TruidenJupiler Pro League
- 19/01/2023St. Truiden1-1Club Brugge KVJupiler Pro League
- 21/12/2022Club Brugge KV1-4St. TruidenCup
Club Brugge have made their autumn look easy. Seven wins from eight Pro League games, four wins from four at the Jan Breydel, and only one defeat in their last five outings tell the story of a side in full flow. The question for Sunday is whether that momentum survives a visit from St. Truiden, who have been far less convincing.
Context and stakes
Brugge sit second in the table with 21 points from eight matches and a goal difference of +15. St. Truiden are 13th out of 18 with 8 points and a negative goal difference. For the home side, this is about staying close to the top of the table. For the visitors, it is a chance to build some belief after a difficult start.
Form
Brugge’s attack has been the engine of their run. They have scored 12 goals in their last five games and conceded only four, and they have yet to drop a point at home this season. Their form on home soil is the strongest part of their campaign.
St. Truiden have had a harder time. They have won two and drawn two of their eight league games, and their last five matches have produced seven goals scored and eleven conceded. Their away record reads one win and one draw from four, and their recent league results have been mostly defeats.
Head-to-head
The recent meetings have leaned toward Brugge. They have won three of the last five, including a 2-0 home win in September and a 2-0 home win in May. Their most recent trip to St. Truiden ended in a 2-1 win in April, although the visitors did come out on top in a 3-2 win in December.
Our prediction
PreviaXI’s model favours Club Brugge, and the football logic supports that view. Brugge’s home form and their ability to create chances give them the edge, while St. Truiden have shown they can score but have conceded too many goals on the road. Expect a game with plenty of openings, but Brugge’s control at home should be enough to see them through.
Club Brugge KV 2-1 St. Truiden

