Gent vs Anderlecht: Top-of-the-table clash with title stakes
Leaders Gent face Anderlecht on Sunday in a match that could shape the early contours of the Jupiler Pro League title and qualification race.
📍 Planet Group Arena
All Matchday 9 matchesFull head-to-head
Match facts
Recent form
Last 5 league games, latest on the right
Goals per game
| · | Scored | Conceded |
|---|---|---|
| Gent | 1.9 | 0.5 |
| Anderlecht | 1.1 | 0.8 |
PreviaXI model
- Predicted score
- 1-0
- Expected goals (model)
- 1.51 – 1.15
- Double chance
- 12 · 73%1X 72% · X2 55%
- Over 2.5 goals
- 49%Over 1.5: 75% · Over 3.5: 28%
- Both teams score
- 54%
- Clean sheet
- 32% – 22%Gent–Anderlecht
- Half-time result
- X · 42%1 34% · 2 24%
- Half-time / full-time
- 1/1 · 27%X/X 16% · 2/2 16%
- Expected corners
- 10.24.6 – 5.6 · Over 9.5: 57%
- Expected cards
- 4.31.9 – 2.4 · Over 3.5: 61%
- Most likely scores
- 1-113%
- 1-010%
- 2-19%
- 2-08%
- 0-18%
Statistical model based on expected goals (xG), results and match statistics from the last two seasons. For information only. How our model works →
Why the model leans towards Gent
- Power ratings: Gent +0.27 goals per game (5th of 18 in Jupiler Pro League), Anderlecht +0.15 (7th).
- Gent's attack (1.47 goals per game) meets Anderlecht's defence (1.36 conceded per game).
- Anderlecht's attack (1.51) meets Gent's defence (1.20).
- Home advantage in this competition: home sides score about 20% more goals.
- Put together, the model expects 1.51 – 1.15 goals: Gent 45%, draw 27%, Anderlecht 28%.
Chance to score
Gent
- J. Y. Vergara Ortega4 goals in 13 games19%
- I. Cisse3 goals in 12 games13%
- M. Sonko2 goals in 15 games10%
Anderlecht
- T. Bentayeb3 goals in 8 games19%
- M. Winkler3 goals in 10 games18%
- M. CvetkoviÄ2 goals in 16 games8%
Model estimate: each player’s season goals per minute compared with his team’s, applied to the model’s expected goals for this match and his usual minutes. Players listed as out are left out.
Trends
- Gent are unbeaten in their last 11 home matches.
- Gent have won their last 4 home matches.
- At least one side failed to score in 6 of Anderlecht’s last 8 matches.
Season stats
| · | Gent | Anderlecht | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| · | All | Home | All | Away |
| Won-drawn-lost | 7-1-0 | 4-0-0 | 5-1-2 | 2-0-2 |
| Goals scored per game | 1.88 | 1.75 | 1.12 | 0.75 |
| Goals conceded per game | 0.50 | 0.50 | 0.75 | 1.25 |
| xG per game | 1.20 | 1.21 | 1.52 | 1.09 |
| xG against per game | 0.67 | 0.66 | 0.84 | 1.03 |
| Scored in | 100% | 100% | 62% | 50% |
| Clean sheets | 50% | 50% | 50% | 25% |
| Failed to score | 0% | 0% | 38% | 50% |
| Both teams scored | 50% | 50% | 25% | 25% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 88% | 75% | 50% | 50% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 50% | 50% | 50% | 50% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Shots per game | 12.4 | 13.5 | 15.9 | 13.2 |
| Shots on target per game | 5.1 | 5.8 | 5.1 | 4.2 |
| Shots on target | 41% | 43% | 32% | 32% |
| Possession | 47% | 45% | 62% | 62% |
| Passes per game | 458.8 | 433.5 | 572.6 | 559.8 |
| Pass accuracy | 84% | 84% | 86% | 84% |
| Corners per game | 4.5 | 5.0 | 6.8 | 6.2 |
| Corners against per game | 4.2 | 3.2 | 3.2 | 5.0 |
| Cards per game | 1.6 | 1.8 | 2.1 | 2.2 |
| Fouls per game | 10.4 | 11.5 | 13.0 | 16.0 |
League matches this season (Jupiler Pro League). Per-game averages; % = share of matches.
When goals come
Gent
- 0-152 / 1
- 16-301 / 1
- 31-454 / 2
- 46-602 / 1
- 61-750 / 0
- 76-90+5 / 0
Usual formation: 3-4-2-1
Anderlecht
- 0-150 / 2
- 16-300 / 0
- 31-453 / 2
- 46-602 / 1
- 61-751 / 0
- 76-90+3 / 1
Usual formation: 4-4-2
Goals scored (green) and conceded (orange) by 15-minute period, league matches this season.
Jupiler Pro League table
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 8 | +11 | 22 | |
| 2 | 8 | +15 | 21 | |
| 3 | 9 | +6 | 21 | |
| 4 | 8 | +18 | 20 | |
| 5 | 8 | +3 | 16 | |
| 6 | 9 | +3 | 14 | |
| 7 | 8 | +4 | 12 | |
| 8 | 9 | 0 | 12 | |
| 9 | 8 | 0 | 11 | |
| 10 | 9 | -2 | 11 | |
| 11 | 9 | -5 | 10 | |
| 12 | 9 | -6 | 10 | |
| 13 | 8 | -1 | 8 | |
| 14 | 9 | -7 | 7 | |
| 15 | 8 | -8 | 6 | |
| 16 | 9 | -8 | 6 | |
| 17 | 8 | -16 | 3 | |
| 18 | 8 | -7 | 3 |
Next matches
Gent
- Sun 1 NovLommel United – GentJupiler Pro League
- Thu 5 NovKuPS – GentUEFA Europa Conference League
- Sun 8 NovGent – KortrijkJupiler Pro League
Anderlecht
- Sat 31 OctAnderlecht – KVC WesterloJupiler Pro League
- Thu 5 NovAnderlecht – Red Bull SalzburgUEFA Europa League
- Sun 8 NovClub Brugge KV – AnderlechtJupiler Pro League
Head-to-head: last 10 meetings
Gent 2 wins · 1 draws · Anderlecht 7 wins
- 10/05/2026Gent1-1AnderlechtJupiler Pro League
- 12/04/2026Anderlecht3-1GentJupiler Pro League
- 18/01/2026Gent4-2AnderlechtJupiler Pro League
- 15/01/2026Anderlecht1-0GentCup
- 23/09/2025Anderlecht1-0GentJupiler Pro League
- 27/04/2025Gent0-1AnderlechtJupiler Pro League
- 23/04/2025Anderlecht5-0GentJupiler Pro League
- 02/02/2025Gent1-0AnderlechtJupiler Pro League
- 24/11/2024Anderlecht6-0GentJupiler Pro League
- 04/02/2024Anderlecht1-0GentJupiler Pro League
A six-point gap at the summit
Gent’s grip on the top of the Jupiler Pro League is on the line when Anderlecht travel to Planet Group Arena on Sunday, and a visiting win would cut the gap to three points.
Gent sit first on 22 points after eight matches, with a goal difference of +11. Anderlecht, fifth on 16 points, have a +3 goal difference and need results like this to stay in contention for the places at the top. Dropped points on either side would reshape the early picture of both the title and qualification battles.
Gent’s home record, Anderlecht’s away resilience
Gent have been close to flawless on their own ground this season, winning all four home matches and conceding nothing. Their last five matches have brought nine goals and only two against. They also have a habit of finishing strongly: five of their 15 goals this season have arrived in the final 15 minutes.
Anderlecht arrive in solid form of their own. They have conceded just once in their last five matches and scored seven. Yet their away record is less convincing, with two defeats from four trips, so this is no straightforward assignment.
Recent meetings lean towards the visitors
Anderlecht have had the upper hand in recent meetings. They have won three of the last five, including a 3-1 victory at home in April and a 1-0 cup win in January. Gent’s only success in that run was a 4-2 win in January, while the most recent meeting, in May, ended 1-1.
Our prediction
PreviaXI’s model favours Gent, and the reasons are easy to see on the pitch. Gent’s home solidity and their ability to find goals in the closing stages make them the more reliable side on their own ground. Anderlecht are well organised at the back, though, and the recent head-to-head suggests this will be a tight, physical contest rather than an open one, where a single goal could settle the match.
Gent 1-0 Anderlecht

