Primeira Liga · Matchday 11 
Our pick Away win Correct result
FC Porto’s perfect run faces a test at Vitória SC
FC Porto arrive in Guimarães with ten consecutive league wins and a five-from-five away record. Vitória SC have been more difficult to beat at home, but sit 12 places and 21 points behind the leaders.
📍 Estádio D. Afonso Henriques
Preview written:
All Matchday 11 matches Full head-to-head
Match report
Final result: Vitória SC 1-2 FC Porto.
Match statistics (home team first). Shots: 16–12; Shots on target: 6–4; Corners: 4–5; Expected goals: 0.74–1.64.
Goals
- 38' Borja Sainz · Alberto Costa · FC Porto
- 77' Alan de Souza Guimarães · Gustavo Silva · Vitória SC
- 86' Martim Fernandes · Eduardo Gabriel Aquino Cossa · FC Porto
Cards
- 19' Tiago Miguel Carvalho Margarido · Vitória SC
- 33' João Mendes · Vitória SC
- 33' Toni Borevković · Vitória SC
- 38' Borja Sainz · FC Porto
- 43' Pablo Rosario · FC Porto
- 67' Hwang In-Beom · FC Porto
- 90+7' Alan Gonzalo Varela · FC Porto
Match stats
⭐ Top-rated player: Alan (Vitória SC) 7.9
Ratings and statistics: API-Football.
Confirmed lineups
Vitória SC · 4-2-3-1
- 98Lucas FurtadoG
- 23T. StrataD
- 21T. BorevkovićD
- 5A. SidibéD
- 13João MendesD
- 8Gonçalo NogueiraM
- 16BeniM
- 11GustavoM
- 20SamuM
- 7O. CamaraM
- 9A. JakupovicF
Coach: Tiago Margarido
FC Porto · 4-3-3
- 99Diogo CostaG
- 20Alberto BaioD
- 5J. BednarekD
- 4J. KiwiorD
- 12Z. SanusiD
- 8Victor Mow FroholdtM
- 13P. RosarioM
- 10Gabri VeigaM
- 11Pepê AquinoF
- 9SamuF
- 17Borja SainzF
Coach: F. Farioli
Match facts
Recent form
Last 5 league games, latest on the right
Goals per game
| · | Scored | Conceded |
|---|---|---|
| Vitória SC | 1.0 | 1.0 |
| FC Porto | 2.5 | 0.4 |
League position
| Pos | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Porto | 10 | +21 | 30 |
| 13 | Vitória SC | 10 | 0 | 9 |
Last meetings
- 2026 Vitória SC 0-1 FC Porto
- 2025 FC Porto 1-3 Vitória SC
- 2025 FC Porto 3-0 Vitória SC
- 2025 FC Porto 1-1 Vitória SC
- 2024 Vitória SC 0-3 FC Porto
PreviaXI model
Model confidence: Medium
- Expected goals (model)
- 0.77 – 1.67
- Double chance
- X2 · 82%1X 41% · 12 77%
- Over 2.5 goals
- 44%Over 1.5: 69% · Over 3.5: 23%
- Both teams score
- 43%
- Clean sheet
- 19% – 46%Vitória SC–FC Porto
- Half-time result
- X · 42%1 16% · 2 42%
- Half-time / full-time
- 2/2 · 37%X/2 20% · X/X 15%
- Expected corners
- 8.33.7 – 4.6 · Over 9.5: 32%
- Expected cards
- 4.72.5 – 2.2 · Over 3.5: 67%
Statistical model based on expected goals (xG), results and match statistics from the last two seasons. For information only. How our model works →
Vitória’s home form sets the scene
Vitória SC’s recent league form has brought a win, two draws and two defeats across their last five matches, with seven goals scored and five conceded. Their latest league outing ended in a draw, and at home they have taken two wins and two draws from five matches, losing once.
That solid home record now meets FC Porto’s extraordinary momentum. Porto have won all ten of their league matches, scored 25 goals and conceded only four. They have also won each of their five away games, with 12 goals scored and just two conceded.
A wide gap at the top
The sides are separated by 12 places and 21 points after ten matches. FC Porto lead the Primeira Liga with 30 points and a goal difference of +21, while Vitória SC are 13th on nine points, with their goal difference level.
For Porto, the immediate challenge is to keep an unbeaten league record intact and extend a winning streak that has already reached ten matches. Vitória’s home performances offer a potential obstacle: they have conceded only twice in five league games at Estádio D. Afonso Henriques.
Recent meetings favour Porto
FC Porto have won three of the last five meetings with Vitória SC, who have won once, with one draw. The most recent encounter was a 1-0 Porto victory in the Primeira Liga in January 2026. Two of those five meetings featured two goals or fewer, suggesting the fixture has not always produced a high-scoring contest.
Porto’s goals and Vitória’s resistance
Porto’s last five league matches have brought five wins, 14 goals scored and three conceded. Their attack has been productive, while six clean sheets across ten league games underline how difficult they have been to break down.
Vitória have scored seven and conceded five in their last five league matches. At home, they have kept three clean sheets in five league games, a record that will be important if they are to slow the league leaders.
Porto have the momentum
Vitória’s home resilience gives them a route into the contest, but Porto’s ten-match winning run, strong away record and defensive control make them the more convincing side. The expectation is for a close game, with the visitors’ greater attacking output proving decisive.
Our prediction
Porto’s form and ability to limit opponents point towards another narrow win, while Vitória’s home record should keep the margin down. Vitória SC 0-1 FC Porto
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