Primeira Liga · Matchday 11
Estrela
2–3 Full time
Benfica

Our pick Away win Correct result

Estrela under pressure as Benfica arrive in Amadora

Estrela are on a run of four consecutive defeats and have gone five league matches without a win. Benfica come into the Primeira Liga meeting on a three-game winning streak.

📍 Estadio Jose Gomes

Preview written:

Match report

Final result: Estrela 2-3 Benfica.

Match statistics (home team first). Shots: 7–15; Shots on target: 2–5; Corners: 1–10; Expected goals: 1.35–1.09.

Goals

  • 26' Gianluca Prestianni · Claudio Echeverri · Benfica
  • 48' Lovro Zvonarek · Rafa Soares · Estrela
  • 68' Bernardo Schappo (o.g.) · Benfica
  • 76' Leandro Antonetti · Joan Jordan · Estrela
  • 90+4' Vangelis Pavlidis · Andreas Schjelderup · Benfica

Cards

  • 50' Marco Alexandre Saraiva da Silva · Benfica
  • 51' Lovro Zvonarek · Estrela
  • 53' Pedro Miguel Marques da Costa Filipe · Estrela
  • 89' Alisson Souza · Estrela

Match stats

EstrelaBenfica
38%Possession62%
7Shots15
2Shots on target5
1.35Expected goals (xG)1.09
1Corners10
15Fouls12
0Offsides2
3Saves0

⭐ Top-rated player: V. Pavlidis (Benfica) 8.2

Ratings and statistics: API-Football.

Confirmed lineups

Estrela · 4-2-3-1

  1. 24Léo LinckG
  2. 21M. ScholzeD
  3. 5S. LekovićD
  4. 30Patrick LuanD
  5. 55Rafa SoaresD
  6. 78Santiago SerraM
  7. 6K. Höög JanssonM
  8. 99A. MarcusM
  9. 14L. ZvonarekM
  10. 10I. StoicaM
  11. 37L. AntonettiF

Coach: Pepa

Benfica · 4-2-3-1

  1. 24Samuel SoaresG
  2. 6A. BahD
  3. 44Tomás AraújoD
  4. 2C. LengletD
  5. 26S. DahlD
  6. 10H. SudakovM
  7. 36João PalhinhaM
  8. 27RafaM
  9. 30C. EcheverriM
  10. 25G. PrestianniM
  11. 14V. PavlidisF

Coach: Marco Silva

Match facts

Recent form

Estrela DLLLL
Benfica WLWWW

Last 5 league games, latest on the right

Goals per game

·ScoredConceded
Estrela1.51.9
Benfica2.70.8

League position

PosTeamPGDPts
2Benfica10 +1925
12Estrela10 -410

Last meetings

  • 2026 Benfica 4-0 Estrela
  • 2025 Estrela 0-1 Benfica
  • 2025 Estrela 2-3 Benfica
  • 2024 Benfica 7-0 Estrela
  • 2024 Benfica 1-0 Estrela

PreviaXI model

Estrela13% Draw17% Benfica70%

Model confidence: Strong

Expected goals (model)
0.90 – 2.34
Double chance
X2 · 87%1X 30% · 12 83%
Over 2.5 goals
63%Over 1.5: 83% · Over 3.5: 41%
Both teams score
53%
Clean sheet
10% – 41%Estrela–Benfica
Half-time result
2 · 52%1 14% · X 34%
Half-time / full-time
2/2 · 47%X/2 19% · X/X 10%
Expected corners
10.12.7 – 7.4 · Over 9.5: 54%
Expected cards
5.43.1 – 2.3 · Over 3.5: 75%

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG), results and match statistics from the last two seasons. For information only. How our model works →

Estrela need a response

Estrela’s four consecutive defeats have put the focus firmly on their next challenge, with Benfica visiting Amadora in round 11 of the Primeira Liga. The home side have gone five league matches without a win and sit 12th, on 10 points after 10 games. Second-placed Benfica have 25 points, putting them ten places and 15 points above Estrela.

A worrying run meets winning momentum

Estrela’s last five league matches have brought a draw and four defeats, with four goals scored and 10 conceded. They have managed only one win in five at home, where they have conceded nine times and are yet to keep a clean sheet.

Benfica arrive with three successive league wins. They have won four of their last five, scoring nine goals and conceding five, and have taken four wins from five away matches. Their away record includes 17 goals scored and three clean sheets.

Benfica have dominated recent meetings

Benfica have won all five of the teams’ last five meetings, while Estrela have no wins and there have been no draws. The most recent encounter ended 4-0 to Benfica in January 2026. Two of those five matches featured two goals or fewer.

The players’ task

Estrela have scored 15 goals and conceded 19 in 10 league games, with no clean sheets. Their home record—six goals scored and nine conceded in five matches—underlines the challenge of containing a Benfica side that has scored 27 and let in just eight across the league campaign.

Our prediction

Benfica’s stronger league record, three-match winning run and away scoring form make them favourites to control the contest. Estrela’s recent defensive struggles leave little margin for error, and PreviaXI’s model also favours the visitors.

Estrela 0-2 Benfica

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