Primeira Liga · Matchday 11
Rio Ave
0–1 Full time
SC Braga

Our pick Away win Correct result

Rio Ave seek a standings climb against SC Braga

Rio Ave sit 16th after 10 matches and are looking to improve their position, but face an SC Braga side eight places and seven points above them. Braga arrive off a win, while Rio Ave have lost their last two league games.

📍 Estádio dos Arcos

Preview written:

Match report

Final result: Rio Ave 0-1 SC Braga.

Match statistics (home team first). Shots: 4–13; Shots on target: 3–2; Corners: 0–8; Expected goals: 0.26–1.91.

Goals

  • 67' Ricardo Horta (pen.) · SC Braga

Cards

  • 53' Diogo Nascimento · Rio Ave
  • 67' Diogo Bezerra · Rio Ave
  • 79' Fra Navarro · SC Braga

Match stats

Rio AveSC Braga
53%Possession47%
4Shots13
3Shots on target2
0.26Expected goals (xG)1.91
0Corners8
12Fouls22
2Offsides3
1Saves3

⭐ Top-rated player: Vitor Carvalho (SC Braga) 7

Ratings and statistics: API-Football.

Confirmed lineups

Rio Ave · 4-2-3-1

  1. 99E. van der GouwG
  2. 20João ToméD
  3. 13J. LombotoD
  4. 39Gustavo ManchaD
  5. 17M. VrousaiD
  6. 79M. PatricioM
  7. 54G. LiavasM
  8. 7Diogo BezerraM
  9. 90Diogo NascimentoM
  10. 80S. ClemmensenM
  11. 11J. BlesaF

Coach: Vasco Seabra

SC Braga · 3-4-3

  1. 31Bernardo FontesG
  2. 14G. LagerbielkeD
  3. 37A. BarišićD
  4. 26B. Arrey-MbiD
  5. 7Diogo TravassosM
  6. 29J. GorbyM
  7. 8João MoutinhoM
  8. 77Gabri MartínezM
  9. 10Pau VictorF
  10. 9Fran NavarroF
  11. 21Ricardo HortaF

Coach: Franclim Carvalho

Match facts

Recent form

Rio Ave DLWLL
SC Braga DLLLW

Last 5 league games, latest on the right

Goals per game

·ScoredConceded
Rio Ave0.92.3
SC Braga1.21.1

League position

PosTeamPGDPts
8SC Braga10 +114
16Rio Ave10 -147

Last meetings

  • 2026 SC Braga 3-0 Rio Ave
  • 2025 Rio Ave 2-2 SC Braga
  • 2025 Rio Ave 2-1 SC Braga
  • 2024 SC Braga 4-0 Rio Ave
  • 2024 Rio Ave 0-0 SC Braga

PreviaXI model

Rio Ave19% Draw22% SC Braga59%

Model confidence: Medium

Expected goals (model)
0.89 – 1.79
Double chance
X2 · 81%1X 41% · 12 78%
Over 2.5 goals
50%Over 1.5: 74% · Over 3.5: 28%
Both teams score
49%
Clean sheet
17% – 41%Rio Ave–SC Braga
Half-time result
2 · 43%1 17% · X 40%
Half-time / full-time
2/2 · 37%X/2 19% · X/X 13%
Expected corners
9.23.3 – 5.9 · Over 9.5: 44%
Expected cards
4.72.7 – 2.0 · Over 3.5: 66%

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG), results and match statistics from the last two seasons. For information only. How our model works →

A chance to climb

Rio Ave have conceded 23 goals in 10 Primeira Liga matches, the highest total in this preview’s two-team comparison, and go into Round 11 seeking to climb the standings. They are 16th of 18 on seven points, while SC Braga occupy eighth with 14 points and a goal difference of +1. The visitors are eight places and seven points ahead.

Rio Ave’s home record offers both encouragement and concern: they have won once and drawn once in five matches at Estádio dos Arcos, but have also conceded 15 goals there and are yet to keep a clean sheet. Braga have taken one win and two draws from five away games.

Recent results point to contrasting moods

Rio Ave have lost their last two league matches. Across their last five, they have recorded one win, one draw and three defeats, scoring seven goals and conceding 12. Their most recent league outing ended in defeat.

Braga’s latest match brought a win, though their last five league games also include one win, one draw and three defeats. They have scored five and conceded six over that stretch, and their four clean sheets in 10 league matches underline a defensive record that is notably stronger than Rio Ave’s.

Braga have had the edge lately

Across the last five meetings, Braga have won twice, Rio Ave once and the other two ended level. The most recent encounter, in February 2026, finished 3-0 to Braga. Rio Ave did win the previous meeting at home, 2-1, so the hosts have a recent result to draw on as they try to halt their current slide.

Rio Ave need more protection

Rio Ave’s 23 goals conceded in 10 matches are a clear obstacle to a standings climb, and their home fixtures have been especially difficult defensively: 15 goals against in five games. Braga have conceded 11 overall and kept four clean sheets, giving them a more reliable platform even after an uneven run of results.

Defensive records in focus

Rio Ave have scored seven times in their last five league matches, but conceding 12 in that span has made it difficult to turn goals into points. Braga’s last-five total is lower at five goals, yet they have conceded only six. That balance, combined with their stronger season-long defensive figures, gives the visitors reason to expect opportunities to control the contest.

Our prediction

Rio Ave’s need to climb the table should bring urgency, but their recent defensive record and lack of a home clean sheet leave little margin for error. Braga’s sturdier defence and advantage in the standings point towards a narrow away win.

Rio Ave 0-1 SC Braga

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