Our pick Home win Missed
Santa Clara’s defensive edge meets GIL Vicente’s stubbornness
Santa Clara arrive with the stronger league record and a six-point cushion, while GIL Vicente have conceded only three goals across their last five matches. Their recent meetings have been tight, including a 1-0 Santa Clara win in March.
📍 Estádio de São Miguel
Preview written:
All Matchday 11 matches Full head-to-head
Match report
Final result: Santa Clara 1-2 GIL Vicente.
Match statistics (home team first). Shots: 9–20; Shots on target: 0–4; Corners: 1–9; Expected goals: 0.79–1.21.
Goals
- 29' Antonio Espigares (o.g.) · Santa Clara
- 52' Walace França · Murilo Souza · GIL Vicente
- 81' Murilo Souza · GIL Vicente
Cards
- 3' Lucas Soares · Santa Clara
- 27' Diogo Prioste · GIL Vicente
- 42' Luis Fernando Santos Oliveira · Santa Clara
- 59' Emanuel Moreira · Santa Clara
- 62' Pedro Pacheco · Santa Clara
- 79' António João Gonçalves Infante · Santa Clara
- 87' Mohamed Kaba · GIL Vicente
Match stats
⭐ Top-rated player: Murilo (GIL Vicente) 9
Ratings and statistics: API-Football.
Confirmed lineups
Santa Clara · 4-3-3
- 12NenecaG
- 42Lucas SoaresD
- 4Pedro PachecoD
- 21Emanuel FernandesD
- 85A. InfanteD
- 8José Luís Rocha TavaresM
- 41Daniel BorgesM
- 17João VasconcelosM
- 10Brenner Lucas Gonçalves SantosF
- 7Luis Fernando Santos OliveiraF
- 70Vinícius LopesF
Coach: Petit
GIL Vicente · 4-2-3-1
- 30LucãoG
- 47Ricardo EsgaioD
- 39Jonathan BuatuD
- 3EspigaresD
- 45David MoreiraD
- 12A. LausenM
- 86Diogo Ferreira PriosteM
- 77MuriloM
- 10Santi GarcíaM
- 20Gil Pinto MartinsM
- 9WalaceF
Coach: Luís Pinto
Match facts
Recent form
Last 5 league games, latest on the right
Goals per game
| · | Scored | Conceded |
|---|---|---|
| Santa Clara | 1.5 | 0.6 |
| GIL Vicente | 0.8 | 0.7 |
League position
| Pos | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Santa Clara | 10 | +9 | 21 |
| 7 | GIL Vicente | 10 | +1 | 15 |
Last meetings
- 2026 Santa Clara 1-0 GIL Vicente
- 2025 GIL Vicente 1-0 Santa Clara
- 2025 GIL Vicente 0-1 Santa Clara
- 2024 Santa Clara 2-1 GIL Vicente
- 2023 Santa Clara 3-2 GIL Vicente
PreviaXI model
Model confidence: Open game
- Expected goals (model)
- 1.00 – 0.92
- Double chance
- 12 · 70%1X 67% · X2 63%
- Over 2.5 goals
- 30%Over 1.5: 56% · Over 3.5: 13%
- Both teams score
- 37%
- Clean sheet
- 40% – 37%Santa Clara–GIL Vicente
- Half-time result
- X · 50%1 26% · 2 24%
- Half-time / full-time
- X/X · 22%1/1 21% · 2/2 18%
- Expected corners
- 8.74.3 – 4.4 · Over 9.5: 37%
- Expected cards
- 5.22.5 – 2.7 · Over 3.5: 73%
Statistical model based on expected goals (xG), results and match statistics from the last two seasons. For information only. How our model works →
A six-point gap to protect
Santa Clara are fourth in the Primeira Liga with 21 points after 10 matches, six points and three places ahead of seventh-placed GIL Vicente. The contrast is clear: Santa Clara have scored 15 league goals and conceded six, while GIL Vicente have scored eight and conceded seven. The visitors’ more modest attack has been offset by a recent run of defensive resilience.
Two compact recent records
Santa Clara’s last five league matches brought three wins, a draw and a defeat, with six goals scored and three conceded. They have won their most recent league match and have six clean sheets across 10 league games. At home, their record is two wins, two draws and a defeat from five, with three clean sheets.
GIL Vicente have two wins, two draws and a defeat in their last five, scoring four and conceding three. Their latest league outing ended in a draw. Away from home, they have two wins, a draw and a defeat in four matches, and have kept two clean sheets.
March’s narrow Santa Clara win
The most recent meeting came in March, when Santa Clara beat GIL Vicente 1-0. Santa Clara have won four of the last five meetings, with GIL Vicente winning one and no draws. Three of those five matches had two goals or fewer, underlining the potential for another close contest.
Defensive foundations in focus
Santa Clara’s six clean sheets and just six goals conceded across the league campaign give them a strong platform, while GIL Vicente’s three goals against in their last five suggest they can make the home side work for openings. Santa Clara’s higher scoring total is the key difference, but GIL Vicente’s compact recent record could keep the margin narrow.
Our prediction
Santa Clara’s stronger overall scoring record and home advantage give them a slight edge, though GIL Vicente’s recent defensive form points towards a tight game. PreviaXI’s model also leans narrowly towards the hosts, with a low-scoring result the most likely outcome.
Santa Clara 1-0 GIL Vicente

