Level on Points, Split by Goals: Estudiantes Look for an Edge in Santa Fe

Estudiantes L.P. travel to Santa Fe in a position that mirrors their hosts almost exactly. Both sides have 14 points from 13 Clausura matches, with Estudiantes tenth and Union Santa Fe eleventh. The gap is goal difference alone: Estudiantes sit at +1, Union at -4. In a table this tight, three points would do more than move a team up a place. It would open a clear distance between two sides fighting for the same space in the middle of the table.

Union’s slide against a steadier visitor

Union have been struggling. Their last five league games brought one draw and four defeats, with three goals scored and ten conceded. Estudiantes have been more balanced over the same period, with two wins, a draw and two defeats, nine goals scored and seven conceded.

Over the season, Union have been far more convincing at home. They have won six of their 14 matches there, drawn four and lost four, scoring 22 and conceding 15. Estudiantes have struggled to find the net on the road, managing 11 goals in 14 away games, but they have kept five clean sheets there.

Estudiantes hold the upper hand

The recent history favours the visitors. Estudiantes have won three of the last five meetings, Union one, with one goalless draw. The most recent clash, on 11 April 2026, ended 2-1 in Estudiantes’ favour. Across those five games, Estudiantes scored six goals to Union’s three.

Our prediction

PreviaXI’s model favours the home side, though only narrowly, and the numbers point to a tight, low-scoring contest. Union’s home record gives them the better chance of controlling the midfield and creating the openings, while Estudiantes have found goals hard to come by on the road. In a match where both sides are chasing the same small margin, one goal may be enough to decide who gains the edge.

Union Santa Fe 1-0 Estudiantes L.P.