Liga Profesional Argentina · Clausura - 14
Instituto Cordoba
1–0 Full time
Deportivo Riestra

Our pick1–0Exact score

Riestra's uphill task: can Deportivo Riestra trouble Instituto Cordoba?

Deportivo Riestra travel to Avellaneda without a win in their last five matches, facing a Instituto Cordoba side that sits top of Clausura Group A. It is a classic favourite-versus-underdog test.

📍 Estadio Presidente Peron

Preview written:

Match report

Instituto Cordoba beat Deportivo Riestra 1-0 in the Liga Profesional Argentina. The only goal came from a penalty by Jeremías Ezequiel Lázaro in the 84th minute; there were no assists recorded and no red cards shown in the match.

The statistics underline Instituto Cordoba's control: 77% possession, 18 total shots (4 on target) and an xG of 1.93 compared with Riestra's 0.19, while Instituto also had 13 corners to Riestra's 1. F. Alarcón was the top-rated player with an 8.0. PreviaXI’s model had predicted a 1-0 score and gave the home side a 43% chance to win, 35% for a draw and 22% for an away win, so the result matched that forecast.

Goals

  • 84'Jeremías Ezequiel Lázaro (pen.) · Instituto Cordoba

Cards

  • 12'Alex Luna · Instituto Cordoba
  • 42'Gabriel Obredor · Deportivo Riestra
  • 42'Jonathan Galván · Instituto Cordoba
  • 50'Nicolas Benegas · Deportivo Riestra
  • 76'Milton Celiz · Deportivo Riestra
  • 82'Facundo Miño · Deportivo Riestra

Match stats

Instituto CordobaDeportivo Riestra
77%Possession23%
18Shots5
4Shots on target2
1.93Expected goals (xG)0.19
13Corners1
9Fouls17
1Offsides0
2Saves2

⭐ Top-rated player: F. Alarcón (Instituto Cordoba) 8

Ratings and statistics: API-Football.

Confirmed lineups

Instituto Cordoba · 3-4-2-1

  1. 29M. LedesmaG
  2. 30J. GalvánD
  3. 26L. MosevichD
  4. 6F. AlarcónD
  5. 2H. De La FuenteM
  6. 55G. AbregúM
  7. 15M. GallardoM
  8. 3D. SosaM
  9. 21J. LázaroM
  10. 10A. LunaM
  11. 17M. TisseraF

Coach: Diego Flores

Deportivo Riestra · 5-3-2

  1. 23M. ArzamendiaG
  2. 36M. BracamonteD
  3. 24F. MiñoD
  4. 2C. QuintanaD
  5. 22C. PazD
  6. 5P. RamírezD
  7. 8M. CélizM
  8. 40G. ObredorM
  9. 16N. WatsonM
  10. 9N. BenegasF
  11. 29M. GranerosF

Coach: G. Duró

Match facts

Recent form

Instituto CordobaWWWDW
Deportivo RiestraLDDLD

Last 5 league games, latest on the right

Goals per game

·ScoredConceded
Instituto Cordoba1.30.9
Deportivo Riestra0.50.9

League position

PosTeamPGDPts
1Instituto Cordoba13+1029
9Instituto Cordoba16021
13Deportivo Riestra13-312
15Deportivo Riestra16-711

Last meetings

  • 2026Deportivo Riestra0-1Instituto Cordoba
  • 2025Deportivo Riestra1-0Instituto Cordoba
  • 2025Instituto Cordoba3-0Deportivo Riestra
  • 2024Instituto Cordoba2-1Deportivo Riestra
  • 2024Instituto Cordoba0-0Deportivo Riestra

PreviaXI model

Instituto Cordoba43%Draw35%Deportivo Riestra22%

Model confidence: Open game

Predicted score
1-0
Expected goals (model)
1.03 – 0.65
Double chance
1X · 78%12 65% · X2 57%
Over 2.5 goals
24%Over 1.5: 51% · Over 3.5: 9%
Both teams score
32%
Clean sheet
52% – 36%Instituto Cordoba–Deportivo Riestra
Half-time result
X · 54%1 29% · 2 17%
Half-time / full-time
X/X · 27%1/1 24% · X/1 17%
Expected corners
9.06.5 – 2.5 · Over 9.5: 41%
Expected cards
6.22.3 – 3.9 · Over 3.5: 86%
Most likely scores
  1. 0-020%
  2. 1-018%
  3. 1-113%
  4. 0-111%
  5. 2-010%

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG), results and match statistics from the last two seasons. For information only. How our model works →

Deportivo Riestra arrive in Avellaneda without a win in their last five matches, collecting three draws and two defeats in that spell. Their task is a daunting one: Instituto Cordoba lead Clausura Group A on 29 points from 13 games, while Riestra are 13th in the same group with 12.

Riestra’s uphill task at the top

The gap between the two sides is stark. Instituto have won 15 of their 29 league matches this season, against three wins for Riestra, who have drawn 14 of their games. Riestra’s away record is the clearest warning sign: no victory in 14 trips this season, with six draws and eight defeats. The question for the visitors is whether their stubborn habit of avoiding defeat can survive a team that has scored freely of late.

Form: a leader in rhythm, a side stuck in stalemate

Instituto have been the more consistent side. They have won four of their last five matches, scoring 12 goals and conceding five in that run. Their home form has been solid too, with nine wins from 14 matches at home this season.

Riestra’s recent run has been tighter but also less productive. They have scored only two goals in their last five games and conceded six. Clean sheets have been shared evenly across the season, with each side keeping ten, but Riestra’s problem has been finding the net.

Head-to-head: Instituto hold the recent edge

The sides have met five times in recent seasons. Instituto have won three of those meetings, Riestra have taken one, and one ended goalless. Riestra won the October 2025 fixture 1-0 at home, but Instituto responded with a 1-0 win in the most recent meeting in April 2026, a result that underlines how narrowly these games tend to be decided.

Our prediction

PreviaXI’s model favours Instituto, and the football logic supports it. Instituto create more chances, carry the greater attacking threat and have the better away-and-home balance this season, while Riestra have struggled to score on the road. Still, the underdog’s record of stubborn draws suggests a tight, low-scoring contest rather than a rout. A narrow Instituto win looks the most likely outcome, with Riestra needing an early break to change the script.

Instituto Cordoba 1-0 Deportivo Riestra

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