Our pick1–0Exact score
Riestra's uphill task: can Deportivo Riestra trouble Instituto Cordoba?
Deportivo Riestra travel to Avellaneda without a win in their last five matches, facing a Instituto Cordoba side that sits top of Clausura Group A. It is a classic favourite-versus-underdog test.
📍 Estadio Presidente Peron
Preview written:
All Clausura, matchday 14 matchesFull head-to-head
Match report
Instituto Cordoba beat Deportivo Riestra 1-0 in the Liga Profesional Argentina. The only goal came from a penalty by Jeremías Ezequiel Lázaro in the 84th minute; there were no assists recorded and no red cards shown in the match.
The statistics underline Instituto Cordoba's control: 77% possession, 18 total shots (4 on target) and an xG of 1.93 compared with Riestra's 0.19, while Instituto also had 13 corners to Riestra's 1. F. Alarcón was the top-rated player with an 8.0. PreviaXI’s model had predicted a 1-0 score and gave the home side a 43% chance to win, 35% for a draw and 22% for an away win, so the result matched that forecast.
Goals
- 84'Jeremías Ezequiel Lázaro (pen.) · Instituto Cordoba
Cards
- 12'Alex Luna · Instituto Cordoba
- 42'Gabriel Obredor · Deportivo Riestra
- 42'Jonathan Galván · Instituto Cordoba
- 50'Nicolas Benegas · Deportivo Riestra
- 76'Milton Celiz · Deportivo Riestra
- 82'Facundo Miño · Deportivo Riestra
Match stats
⭐ Top-rated player: F. Alarcón (Instituto Cordoba) 8
Ratings and statistics: API-Football.
Confirmed lineups
Instituto Cordoba · 3-4-2-1
- 29M. LedesmaG
- 30J. GalvánD
- 26L. MosevichD
- 6F. AlarcónD
- 2H. De La FuenteM
- 55G. AbregúM
- 15M. GallardoM
- 3D. SosaM
- 21J. LázaroM
- 10A. LunaM
- 17M. TisseraF
Coach: Diego Flores
Deportivo Riestra · 5-3-2
- 23M. ArzamendiaG
- 36M. BracamonteD
- 24F. MiñoD
- 2C. QuintanaD
- 22C. PazD
- 5P. RamírezD
- 8M. CélizM
- 40G. ObredorM
- 16N. WatsonM
- 9N. BenegasF
- 29M. GranerosF
Coach: G. Duró
Match facts
Recent form
Last 5 league games, latest on the right
Goals per game
| · | Scored | Conceded |
|---|---|---|
| Instituto Cordoba | 1.3 | 0.9 |
| Deportivo Riestra | 0.5 | 0.9 |
League position
| Pos | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Instituto Cordoba | 13 | +10 | 29 |
| 9 | Instituto Cordoba | 16 | 0 | 21 |
| 13 | Deportivo Riestra | 13 | -3 | 12 |
| 15 | Deportivo Riestra | 16 | -7 | 11 |
Last meetings
- 2026Deportivo Riestra0-1Instituto Cordoba
- 2025Deportivo Riestra1-0Instituto Cordoba
- 2025Instituto Cordoba3-0Deportivo Riestra
- 2024Instituto Cordoba2-1Deportivo Riestra
- 2024Instituto Cordoba0-0Deportivo Riestra
PreviaXI model
Model confidence: Open game
- Predicted score
- 1-0
- Expected goals (model)
- 1.03 – 0.65
- Double chance
- 1X · 78%12 65% · X2 57%
- Over 2.5 goals
- 24%Over 1.5: 51% · Over 3.5: 9%
- Both teams score
- 32%
- Clean sheet
- 52% – 36%Instituto Cordoba–Deportivo Riestra
- Half-time result
- X · 54%1 29% · 2 17%
- Half-time / full-time
- X/X · 27%1/1 24% · X/1 17%
- Expected corners
- 9.06.5 – 2.5 · Over 9.5: 41%
- Expected cards
- 6.22.3 – 3.9 · Over 3.5: 86%
- Most likely scores
- 0-020%
- 1-018%
- 1-113%
- 0-111%
- 2-010%
Statistical model based on expected goals (xG), results and match statistics from the last two seasons. For information only. How our model works →
Deportivo Riestra arrive in Avellaneda without a win in their last five matches, collecting three draws and two defeats in that spell. Their task is a daunting one: Instituto Cordoba lead Clausura Group A on 29 points from 13 games, while Riestra are 13th in the same group with 12.
Riestra’s uphill task at the top
The gap between the two sides is stark. Instituto have won 15 of their 29 league matches this season, against three wins for Riestra, who have drawn 14 of their games. Riestra’s away record is the clearest warning sign: no victory in 14 trips this season, with six draws and eight defeats. The question for the visitors is whether their stubborn habit of avoiding defeat can survive a team that has scored freely of late.
Form: a leader in rhythm, a side stuck in stalemate
Instituto have been the more consistent side. They have won four of their last five matches, scoring 12 goals and conceding five in that run. Their home form has been solid too, with nine wins from 14 matches at home this season.
Riestra’s recent run has been tighter but also less productive. They have scored only two goals in their last five games and conceded six. Clean sheets have been shared evenly across the season, with each side keeping ten, but Riestra’s problem has been finding the net.
Head-to-head: Instituto hold the recent edge
The sides have met five times in recent seasons. Instituto have won three of those meetings, Riestra have taken one, and one ended goalless. Riestra won the October 2025 fixture 1-0 at home, but Instituto responded with a 1-0 win in the most recent meeting in April 2026, a result that underlines how narrowly these games tend to be decided.
Our prediction
PreviaXI’s model favours Instituto, and the football logic supports it. Instituto create more chances, carry the greater attacking threat and have the better away-and-home balance this season, while Riestra have struggled to score on the road. Still, the underdog’s record of stubborn draws suggests a tight, low-scoring contest rather than a rout. A narrow Instituto win looks the most likely outcome, with Riestra needing an early break to change the script.
Instituto Cordoba 1-0 Deportivo Riestra

