Liga Profesional Argentina · Clausura - 14

1–0 Full time Wednesday 28 October

Our pick1–0Exact score

Argentinos Juniors vs Independiente Rivadavia: a top-half test in the Clausura

Rivadavia's 3-1 win in April is the latest chapter in a rivalry that has favoured the visitors. Argentinos Juniors want to turn it around at home while keeping their place in the leading pack.

📍 Diego Armando Maradona

Preview written: Tue 27 Oct 00:59

All Clausura, matchday 14 matches Full head-to-head

Match report

Argentinos JRS beat Independ. Rivadavia 1-0 in the Liga Profesional Argentina Clausura - 14. The only goal came in the 67th minute when Sebastián Prieto scored from a Gastón Verón assist. There were no red cards.

The stats underline a narrow but controlled home performance: 54% possession, 6 shots on target to 3 and an xG of 1.32 to 0.65, with Argentinos also winning the corner count 9-3. Top-rated player was É. Godoy (7.7). PreviaXI’s model had predicted a 1-0 home win, with a 47% chance for the home side, 29% draw and 24% away win, matching the outcome.

Goals

67'Sebastián Prieto · Gastón Verón · Argentinos JRS

Cards

4'Nicolas Oroz · Argentinos JRS
37'Jose Ignacio Florentin · Independ. Rivadavia
42'Gastón Verón · Argentinos JRS
49'Facundo Carrizo · Argentinos JRS
75'Matías Fernández · Independ. Rivadavia
83'Kevin Coronel · Argentinos JRS
86'Diego Rodrigo Porcel · Argentinos JRS
89'Leonel Bucca · Independ. Rivadavia
89'Mateo Mendoza · Argentinos JRS

Match stats

Argentinos JRSIndepend. Rivadavia

54%Possession46%

18Shots13

6Shots on target3

1.32Expected goals (xG)0.65

9Corners3

11Fouls16

0Offsides5

3Saves5

⭐ Top-rated player: É. Godoy (Argentinos JRS) 7.7

Ratings and statistics: API-Football.

Confirmed lineups

Argentinos JRS · 4-3-3

25B. CortésG
17F. ParedesD
16F. ÁlvarezD
6F. VázquezD
20S. PrietoD
5Facundo CarrizoM
15K. GutiérrezM
11N. OrozM
7D. PorcelF
9G. VerónF
19M. GiménezF

Coach: N. Diez

Independ. Rivadavia · 4-2-3-1

30Nicolás BolcatoG
28A. VigoD
2L. CostaD
13A. OsellaD
3J. ElordiD
5T. BottariM
25J. FlorentínM
11G. RíosM
10M. FernándezM
80M. RealiM
9A. ArceF

Coach: A. Berti

Match facts

Recent form

Argentinos JRSDLWDW

Independ. RivadaviaWWDLD

Last 5 league games, latest on the right

Goals per game

·	Scored	Conceded
Argentinos JRS	1.2	0.8
Independ. Rivadavia	1.6	1.3

League position

Pos	Team	P	GD	Pts
1	Independ. Rivadavia	16	+14	34
2	Argentinos JRS	13	+6	25
3	Argentinos JRS	16	+4	29
9	Independ. Rivadavia	13	-4	19

Last meetings

2026Independ. Rivadavia3-1Argentinos JRS
2025Independ. Rivadavia2-2Argentinos JRS
2025Independ. Rivadavia2-1Argentinos JRS
2025Argentinos JRS0-0Independ. Rivadavia
2024Independ. Rivadavia2-1Argentinos JRS

PreviaXI model

Argentinos JRS47%Draw29%Independ. Rivadavia24%

Model confidence: Open game

Predicted score: 1-0
Expected goals (model): 1.42 – 0.95
Double chance: 1X · 76%12 71% · X2 53%
Over 2.5 goals: 42%Over 1.5: 69% · Over 3.5: 22%
Both teams score: 47%
Clean sheet: 39% – 24%Argentinos JRS–Independ. Rivadavia
Half-time result: X · 45%1 34% · 2 21%
Half-time / full-time: 1/1 · 28%X/X 19% · X/1 17%
Expected corners: 9.56.8 – 2.7 · Over 9.5: 47%
Expected cards: 5.42.0 – 3.4 · Over 3.5: 79%
Most likely scores: 1-113%
1-012%
0-010%
2-09%
2-19%

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG), results and match statistics from the last two seasons. For information only. How our model works →

Rivadavia’s 3-1 win over Argentinos Juniors in April is the most recent meeting between these two, and it is a result the home side will want to put right at the Diego Armando Maradona. This round-14 Clausura fixture is about more than three points. Argentinos sit second in the Clausura group table on 25 points from 13 matches, and a victory would keep them firmly in the leading pack.

Rivadavia are in a different position this phase, ninth on 19 points, but they have been one of the strongest sides over the season. They lead the Apertura group table on 34 points, five ahead of Argentinos.

Two sides in similar form

Both have collected eight points from their last five league matches. Argentinos’ run reads win, draw, win, loss, draw, while Rivadavia have gone draw, loss, draw, win, win.

The home side have been reliable on their own patch, winning 12 of 17 home matches, losing only once and keeping nine clean sheets. They also have a habit of scoring late, with 16 of their 38 goals this season coming after the 60th minute. Rivadavia’s away return is less dominant, with five wins, five draws and four defeats in 14 trips, but they have been the more prolific side overall, scoring 47 times in 30 matches against Argentinos’ 38 in 32.

Rivadavia’s grip on the rivalry

Rivadavia hold the upper hand in recent meetings. They have won three of the last five, beating Argentinos 2-1 in December 2024 and again in August 2025, as well as the 3-1 result in April. The other two were a goalless draw in February 2025 and a 2-2 draw in the Copa Argentina in November. Argentinos have not won any of those five meetings, so ending that run on home soil would carry extra meaning.

Our prediction

PreviaXI’s model favours Argentinos Juniors, and that lean makes sense on the football. The home side have the more reliable attack at the Maradona, averaging 1.4 goals per home game, and they concede far less at home (10 goals in 17 matches) than Rivadavia do on their travels (16 in 14). Expect a tight, fairly cagey contest in which one moment could decide it, with the hosts just edging it.

Argentinos Juniors 1-0 Independiente Rivadavia

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