Premiership · Matchday 11
ST Mirren
1–1 Full time
Hibernian

Our pick0–1Missed

St Mirren vs Hibernian: Hibs Under Mounting Pressure at the Foot of the Table

Hibernian sit rock bottom of the Premiership with a run of defeats weighing on them as they travel to Paisley. St Mirren, sixth, will look to take advantage.

📍 The SMiSA Stadium

Preview written:

Match report

ST Mirren and Hibernian drew 1-1 in the Premiership. Hibernian opened the scoring in the 78th minute through Marko Ivezic, assisted by Owen Elding. Five minutes later, in the 83rd, Jason Kerr scored an own goal to level for ST Mirren. There were no red cards.

The stats show Hibernian dominated possession (58%) and also had fewer shots on target (1) than ST Mirren (3), while expected goals were 1.42 for Hibernian and 1.8 for ST Mirren. M. Ivezić was the top-rated player with a 7.5. Before kick-off the PreviaXI model had predicted a 0-1 with 31% home win, 29% draw and 40% away win.

Goals

  • 78'Marko Ivezic · Owen Elding · Hibernian
  • 83'Jason Kerr (o.g.) · ST Mirren

Cards

  • 37'Chris Mochrie · ST Mirren
  • 39'Josh Mulligan · Hibernian
  • 66'Alexander Gogić · ST Mirren
  • 89'Fraser Taylor · ST Mirren
  • 90+2'Paul Nsio · ST Mirren
  • 90+2'Azeem Abdulai · Hibernian
  • 90+4'Killian Phillips · ST Mirren

Match stats

ST MirrenHibernian
42%Possession58%
11Shots9
3Shots on target1
1.80Expected goals (xG)1.42
3Corners5
13Fouls14
3Offsides1
0Saves3

⭐ Top-rated player: M. Ivezić (Hibernian) 7.5

Ratings and statistics: API-Football.

Confirmed lineups

ST Mirren · 4-2-3-1

  1. 1J. ChapmanG
  2. 47C. RamsayD
  3. 22M. FraserD
  4. 53Henry FieldsonD
  5. 3D. JohnD
  6. 8R. CarrM
  7. 13A. GogićM
  8. 23C. MochrieM
  9. 88K. PhillipsM
  10. 16L. ThomasM
  11. 9Eseosa SuleF

Coach: Craig McLeish

Hibernian · 3-4-1-2

  1. 1R. SallingerG
  2. 6J. KerrD
  3. 3A. MayorD
  4. 5M. IvezićD
  5. 25F. PasslackM
  6. 8J. MulliganM
  7. 11J. NewellM
  8. 19N. CaddenM
  9. 17J. McGrathM
  10. 7O. EldingF
  11. 14M. ChaiwaF

Coach: M. Reedijk

Match facts

Recent form

ST MirrenLLLLW
HibernianLDLLL

Last 5 league games, latest on the right

Goals per game

·ScoredConceded
ST Mirren1.11.8
Hibernian1.01.6

League position

PosTeamPGDPts
6ST Mirren10-713
12Hibernian10-67

Last meetings

  • 2026Hibernian2-0ST Mirren
  • 2025ST Mirren0-3Hibernian
  • 2025Hibernian1-1ST Mirren
  • 2025ST Mirren2-2Hibernian
  • 2025ST Mirren0-0Hibernian

PreviaXI model

ST Mirren31%Draw29%Hibernian40%

Model confidence: Open game

Predicted score
0-1
Expected goals (model)
1.05 – 1.21
Double chance
12 · 71%1X 60% · X2 69%
Over 2.5 goals
39%Over 1.5: 66% · Over 3.5: 19%
Both teams score
46%
Clean sheet
30% – 35%ST Mirren–Hibernian
Half-time result
X · 46%1 24% · 2 30%
Half-time / full-time
2/2 · 23%X/X 19% · 1/1 18%
Expected corners
11.15.8 – 5.3 · Over 9.5: 67%
Expected cards
3.72.1 – 1.6 · Over 3.5: 50%
Most likely scores
  1. 1-114%
  2. 0-112%
  3. 0-011%
  4. 1-011%
  5. 1-28%

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG), results and match statistics from the last two seasons. For information only. How our model works →

Hibernian are rock bottom of the 12-team Premiership, seven points adrift after ten matches, and the pressure on them grows with every defeat. St Mirren, sixth with 13 points, are in a far more comfortable position, although their minus-seven goal difference shows they have not been convincing either.

Bottom of the table, and running out of time

Hibernian have won only twice all season and lost seven of their ten league games. They have scored ten goals and conceded sixteen, and they have yet to keep a clean sheet in the league. Each additional defeat makes the climb back up the table steeper, which is why this Wednesday fixture carries so much weight for the visitors.

Two sides in poor form

Hibernian’s recent results read loss, loss, loss, draw, loss. Away from home they have won two of their four matches, but they have also lost two. St Mirren have not fared much better, with one win in their last five league games and four defeats. Both teams have had a difficult run, and neither can afford to drift further from the top half.

Hibernian’s grip on this fixture

The head-to-head record leans towards the visitors. Hibernian have won two of the last five meetings, including a 3-0 victory at Paisley in November, and they also won 2-0 in February. St Mirren have not won any of the last five, and the other three games ended level: 1-1, 2-2 and 0-0.

Our prediction

PreviaXI’s model slightly favours Hibernian, and the numbers point to a tight, low-scoring contest rather than an open one. Neither side has been prolific this season, and the visitors have shown more sharpness in recent meetings. A narrow away win, with a single goal settling a cagey game, looks the most likely outcome.

ST Mirren 0-1 Hibernian

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