Premiership · Matchday 11 
Our pick2–1Correct result
Kilmarnock's uphill climb takes them to Dens Park
Kilmarnock travel to Dundee sitting 11th of 12 in the Premiership, needing points to pull clear of the bottom two. Dundee, fifth, look well placed to make the most of it.
📍 Dens Park
Preview written:
All Matchday 11 matchesFull head-to-head
Match report
Dundee won 3-1 against Kilmarnock. Joseph Bevan opened the scoring in the 32nd minute with an assist from Ethan Hamilton. Joe Hugill pulled one back from the penalty spot for Kilmarnock in the 75th minute. Ashley Hay then scored twice late, in the 83rd minute assisted by Alan Forrest and in the 90+4th minute assisted by Owen Goodman.
The numbers show Kilmarnock had more possession (54%) while total shots were level at 15 each; Dundee edged shots on target 5–3 and had a slightly higher xG (2.28–2.24). A. Hay was the top-rated player (9.1). PreviaXI had predicted 2-1 with home win chance 50%, draw 24%, away 26%.
Goals
- 32'Joseph Bevan · Ethan Hamilton · Dundee
- 75'Joe Hugill (pen.) · Kilmarnock
- 83'Ashley Hay · Alan Forrest · Dundee
- 90+4'Ashley Hay · Owen Goodman · Dundee
Cards
- 58'Cathal McCarthy · Kilmarnock
- 85'George Stanger · Kilmarnock
- 90+3'Michael-John Kamson-Kamara · Kilmarnock
Match stats
⭐ Top-rated player: A. Hay (Dundee) 9.1
Ratings and statistics: API-Football.
Confirmed lineups
Dundee · 4-4-2
- 1O. GoodmanG
- 7D. WrightD
- 4R. AstleyD
- 26J. WrightD
- 12I. SamuelsD
- 27J. BevanM
- 28C. JonesM
- 48E. HamiltonM
- 14A. ForrestM
- 11A. HayF
- 21B. FinkF
Coach: S. Pressley
Kilmarnock · 4-3-3
- 58N. MantlG
- 2J. BrandonD
- 4C. McCarthyD
- 14G. StangerD
- 21M. Schjønning-LarsenD
- 36A. TshibolaM
- 6R. DeasM
- 18T. LoweryM
- 10T. John-JulesF
- 9J. HugillF
- 11G. KiltieF
Coach: N. McCann
Match facts
Recent form
Last 5 league games, latest on the right
Goals per game
| · | Scored | Conceded |
|---|---|---|
| Dundee | 1.4 | 1.2 |
| Kilmarnock | 1.0 | 2.3 |
League position
| Pos | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Dundee | 10 | +2 | 14 |
| 11 | Kilmarnock | 10 | -13 | 8 |
Last meetings
- 2026Kilmarnock3-1Dundee
- 2026Kilmarnock2-2Dundee
- 2026Kilmarnock1-2Dundee
- 2025Dundee2-1Kilmarnock
- 2025Kilmarnock0-0Dundee
PreviaXI model
Model confidence: Medium
- Predicted score
- 2-1
- Expected goals (model)
- 1.78 – 1.25
- Double chance
- 12 · 76%1X 74% · X2 50%
- Over 2.5 goals
- 58%Over 1.5: 81% · Over 3.5: 36%
- Both teams score
- 60%
- Clean sheet
- 29% – 17%Dundee–Kilmarnock
- Half-time result
- X · 39%1 38% · 2 23%
- Half-time / full-time
- 1/1 · 31%X/1 16% · 2/2 15%
- Expected corners
- 9.65.1 – 4.5 · Over 9.5: 49%
- Expected cards
- 3.91.5 – 2.4 · Over 3.5: 54%
- Most likely scores
- 1-111%
- 2-110%
- 1-08%
- 2-08%
- 1-27%
Statistical model based on expected goals (xG), results and match statistics from the last two seasons. For information only. How our model works →
Kilmarnock’s 3-1 win over Dundee is the most recent meeting between these sides, and it is the kind of result Killie need to build on. Now they head to Dens Park on Wednesday, still in the lower reaches of the table and looking for a way out of trouble.
Killie’s way out of the bottom two
Kilmarnock have eight points from ten league games and sit 11th of 12. Dundee are fifth with 14, a six-point gap that makes this a crucial afternoon for the visitors. The bigger concern is goal difference: Kilmarnock are minus 13, the clearest sign of a side that has been leaking goals far too often. Dundee, by contrast, are level at plus 2 and have kept their heads above the midtable pack.
Form: Kilmarnock’s leaky defence
Kilmarnock have won two and lost six of their ten league matches, and they have conceded 23 goals in that time. Their away record is poor, with one win, one draw and three defeats at home in the league, and three defeats on the road. Their last five have shown a little more fight, including two wins, but the defence remains the problem.
Dundee have been steadier. They have four wins, two draws and four defeats, and their home record reads two wins, two draws and one defeat. Their last five results (a draw, two wins, a win and a defeat) suggest a side finding its rhythm at the right time.
Honours even in a tight rivalry
These sides have met five times in recent seasons, and the margins have been fine. Dundee have two wins, Kilmarnock one, with two draws. Dundee’s victories came in a 2-1 Premiership win and a 2-1 FA Cup win (1-2 at Kilmarnock), while the draws were a 2-2 and a 0-0. Kilmarnock’s 3-1 win is the most recent result, and the games have rarely been one-sided.
Our prediction
PreviaXI’s model favours Dundee, and the football backs that up. Dundee have the better home record, a stronger goal return and a more settled defence than their opponents. Kilmarnock have shown they can score, but with 23 goals conceded this season they will struggle to keep Dundee out for long. Expect a game that is competitive and open enough to produce goals, with Dundee’s home advantage proving decisive.
Dundee 2-1 Kilmarnock
⚑ Report a mistakeEditorial policy
Premiership table All previews that day
More Premiership previews
Premiership 
Aberdeen 
Falkirk Our pick1–0Missed
Aberdeen and Falkirk arrive at Pittodrie separated by a single point and a goal of difference, each hunting the edge that could define their season. Wednesday's meeting looks set to be tight.
Read preview Premiership 
Celtic 
Dundee Utd Our pick2–0Missed
Celtic have won nine of their ten Premiership games this season and sit top, while Dundee United hold fourth. The meeting at Celtic Park could widen the gap between two top-four sides with very different momentum.
Read preview Premiership 
ST Johnstone 
Motherwell Our pick0–1Missed
St Johnstone bring a mixed run to McDiarmid Park, but the sharper focus is on Motherwell, who arrive on a losing streak that has pushed them into the lower reaches of the Premiership table.
Read preview Premiership 
ST Mirren 
Hibernian Our pick0–1Missed
Hibernian sit rock bottom of the Premiership with a run of defeats weighing on them as they travel to Paisley. St Mirren, sixth, will look to take advantage.
Read preview