Premiership – Matchday 11: predictions & previews

All 6 matches of Premiership Matchday 11 (28 October 2026): the PreviaXI model's win, draw and loss probabilities and predicted score for every game, the key numbers of the round, results as they come in, and links to each preview.

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Key numbers

  • Biggest favourite: Celtic (73% to win against Dundee Utd).
  • Closest on paper: Aberdeen – Falkirk (39% vs 33%, draw 28%).
  • Most goals expected: Celtic – Dundee Utd (3.4 expected goals); fewest: ST Mirren – Hibernian (2.3).
  • Both teams to score is more likely than not in 5 of 6 matches.
  • The model expects about 17 goals in these 6 matches (2.79 per match).

All matches

Finished matches (90 min): 6 · most likely result correct: 1 (17%) · over/under 2.5 correct: 6 (100%) · both teams to score correct: 4 (67%)

·Match1X2DCO 2.5BTTSCornersCardsResult·
AberdeenFalkirk39%28%33%1272%44%50%10.35.5–4.84.42.2–2.20-1❌
CelticDundee Utd73%16%11%1X89%67%54%11.98.2–3.74.01.6–2.42-2❌
DundeeKilmarnock50%24%26%1276%58%60%9.65.1–4.53.91.5–2.43-1✅
ST JohnstoneMotherwell31%26%43%1274%52%56%8.93.6–5.33.72.2–1.52-2❌
ST MirrenHibernian31%29%40%1271%39%46%11.15.8–5.33.72.1–1.61-1❌
Heart Of MidlothianRangers41%26%33%1274%54%58%10.25.0–5.24.41.9–2.52-2❌

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