Aberdeen vs Falkirk: Two Points Apart, and Nothing Between Them

Aberdeen and Falkirk are separated by a single point in the Premiership table, and on Wednesday at Pittodrie the one who finds an edge may be the one who pulls clear of the chasing pack.

Almost nothing between them

Falkirk sit seventh with 12 points from 10 games, while Aberdeen are ninth on 11 points. Neither side has a better goal difference to lean on: Falkirk are level at zero, Aberdeen one behind. In a 12-team league, that is about as close as the table gets, and a single result could reshape both sides’ positions.

Form that points both ways

Aberdeen’s season has been uneven, with a W-L-L-L run early on and a recent win-draw-win spell that shows some resilience. They have scored 10 and conceded six in their last five league games, and four of their 12 goals this season have arrived between the 76th and 90th minutes, a sign they can still find a winner late.

Falkirk arrive with the better recent momentum. Their last five have brought wins in three of the last four league matches, with a 9-5 goal return across five games. Away from home, they have conceded five of their 12 goals in the final 15 minutes, so a late push from Aberdeen would be a real threat.

Three meetings, no clear edge

The recent history is finely balanced. Aberdeen and Falkirk drew 1-1 at Pittodrie in March, Falkirk won 1-0 in January, and the August fixture also went to the visitors, 1-0. Falkirk have therefore taken the last two meetings, but neither result suggested a side running away with the rivalry.

Our prediction

PreviaXI’s model favours Aberdeen by the narrowest of margins, and the balance of the numbers points to a low-scoring, cagey contest rather than an open one. Aberdeen have the home advantage and a habit of scoring late, while Falkirk have been more reliable away from home than their record suggests. Expect few clear chances and a game decided by a single moment.

Aberdeen 1-0 Falkirk