Copa del Rey · Round of 128 
Our pick1–0
Knockout stakes: Copa del Rey Round of 128 showdown with progression on the line
A fourth-tier SS Reyes sit second in their group and face third-tier CD Coria in a single-match Copa del Rey tie where a place in the next round carries reputational and financial upside for both clubs.
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Match report
CD Coria beat SS Reyes 2-1 after extra time in the Copa del Rey. Toper put CD Coria ahead from the penalty spot in the 34th minute. SS Reyes drew level in the 63rd minute through K. de la Llave, assisted by D. Campo. A. Lopez was sent off for SS Reyes in the 93rd minute. The tie was settled in the 119th minute, when R. Nunez scored for CD Coria.
The winner came late in extra time, giving CD Coria a 2-1 victory and sending SS Reyes out. No match statistics or top-rated player were provided. The result differed from the pre-match model’s 1-0 prediction for SS Reyes, which gave the home side a 53% chance of winning, a draw 26%, and CD Coria a 21% chance.
Goals
- 34'Toper (pen.) · CD Coria
- 63'K. de la Llave · D. Campo · SS Reyes
- 119'R. Nunez · CD Coria
Cards
- 14'A. Tovar · SS Reyes
- 26'J. C. Gonzalez Godinez · SS Reyes
- 44'E. Llorente · CD Coria
- 93'A. Lopez · SS Reyes
- 100'A. Blanco · CD Coria
- 103'F. Ruiz · SS Reyes
- 108'J. Guzman · CD Coria
- 120'R. Nunez · CD Coria
Match facts
Goals per game
| · | Scored | Conceded |
|---|---|---|
| SS Reyes | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| CD Coria | 0.0 | 0.0 |
Last meetings
- 2026CD Coria1-1SS Reyes
- 2025SS Reyes3-0CD Coria
- 2025CD Coria2-2SS Reyes
- 2024SS Reyes1-1CD Coria
PreviaXI model
Model confidence: Medium
- Predicted score
- 1-0
- Expected goals (model)
- 1.63 – 0.94
- Double chance
- 1X · 79%12 74% · X2 47%
- Over 2.5 goals
- 47%Over 1.5: 73% · Over 3.5: 26%
- Both teams score
- 50%
- Clean sheet
- 39% – 20%SS Reyes–CD Coria
- Half-time result
- X · 42%1 39% · 2 19%
- Half-time / full-time
- 1/1 · 33%X/1 18% · X/X 16%
- Most likely scores
- 1-112%
- 1-012%
- 2-010%
- 2-110%
- 0-08%
Statistical model based on expected goals (xG), results and match statistics from the last two seasons. For information only. How our model works →
What this tie means for both clubs
SS Reyes arrive as a high-performing side in Segunda División RFEF – Group 5 (2nd, 16 points from 8), while CD Coria are competing in Primera División RFEF – Group 1 (17th, 9 points from 9). For SS Reyes, a win would be a statement: beating a club from a higher division in the Copa del Rey brings prestige, momentum and the kind of exposure smaller clubs value. For CD Coria, already under pressure in their league, progression would stop the rot and provide a confidence boost away from domestic struggles.
Recent trajectory and form
SS Reyes’ league form reads WWLWL, showing they can win regularly at this level. CD Coria’s recent sequence is DWLLD in a tougher division and they sit in the lower reaches of their group. While the divisions differ, the domestic snapshots point to a confident SS Reyes side meeting a Coria team struggling for consistency.
Relevant recent meetings
The pair have met several times recently in Segunda División RFEF competition. Across the last five encounters SS Reyes have the marginal upper hand: a 3-0 home win in October 2025, two 1-1 draws and a 2-2 draw, plus a 1-1 and a 2-2 across seasons. The recent head-to-head results suggest tight contests but with SS Reyes capable of turning ties in their favour at home.
Our prediction
PreviaXI’s model sees a narrow home victory as the likeliest outcome, reflecting SS Reyes’ stronger recent form at their level, favourable head-to-head moments and higher expected goals in the matchup. The numbers suggest a low-scoring, tightly contested knockout fixture in which home advantage and finishing could decide the tie.
SS Reyes 1-0 CD Coria
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