Copa del Rey · Round of 128 
Our pick0–1Correct result
Zamora extended their run with a 2-1 win at Coruxo in February — can the visitors make it six meetings without defeat?
Zamora travel to Coruxo in the Copa del Rey Round of 128 with recent dominance in the fixture. Their unbeaten streak in the last five meetings frames this tie, while both sides come in with mixed league form.
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Match report
Zamora beat Coruxo 2-0 in the Copa del Rey, scoring early and adding a second in the closing stages. P. Mascaro put Zamora ahead in the 8th minute, and A. Hidalgo made it 2-0 in the 90th. Neither goal had an assist listed, and there were no red cards.
The match ended with no corners for either side. Coruxo received two yellow cards and Zamora one. The result was one goal more emphatic than PreviaXI’s pre-match prediction of a 1-0 Zamora win; the model had given Zamora a 37% chance of victory, Coruxo 33%, and a draw 30%.
Goals
- 8'P. Mascaro · Zamora
- 90'A. Hidalgo · Zamora
Cards
- 33'R. Mezdrea · Coruxo
Match stats
Ratings and statistics: API-Football.
Confirmed lineups
Coruxo · 4-3-3
- 13Asier Troncoso GarridoG
- 15Juan RodríguezD
- 3Xavier CidreD
- 6Miguel Raimúndez Da SilvaD
- 4Guido FernándezD
- 22Rares MezdreaM
- 21Iker RodriguezM
- 10David AñónF
- 24Hugo MatosF
- 19Santos Fonterigo GonzálezF
- 11Ivan BreñéF
Zamora · 4-4-2
- 13Fran ArbolG
- 3Luis LuengoD
- 14Diego MorenoD
- 12José AlbertD
- 5Aleix GorjónD
- 24Eric GómezD
- 18Iago IndiasD
- 16Isaiah NavarroM
- 15Mauro Costa BuesoM
- 19Pau MascaróF
- 17Fabián UrzainF
Match facts
Goals per game
| · | Scored | Conceded |
|---|---|---|
| Coruxo | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Zamora | 0.0 | 0.0 |
Last meetings
- 2024Coruxo1-2Zamora
- 2023Zamora2-0Coruxo
- 2023Coruxo1-1Zamora
- 2022Zamora1-0Coruxo
- 2021Zamora2-0Coruxo
PreviaXI model
Model confidence: Open game
- Predicted score
- 0-1
- Expected goals (model)
- 1.10 – 1.20
- Double chance
- 12 · 70%1X 63% · X2 67%
- Over 2.5 goals
- 40%Over 1.5: 68% · Over 3.5: 20%
- Both teams score
- 47%
- Clean sheet
- 30% – 33%Coruxo–Zamora
- Half-time result
- X · 46%1 25% · 2 29%
- Half-time / full-time
- 2/2 · 22%1/1 19% · X/X 19%
- Expected corners
- 9.65.3 – 4.3 · Over 9.5: 49%
- Expected cards
- 4.11.9 – 2.2 · Over 3.5: 58%
- Most likely scores
- 1-114%
- 0-111%
- 0-011%
- 1-010%
- 1-28%
Statistical model based on expected goals (xG), results and match statistics from the last two seasons. For information only. How our model works →
Zamora’s February victory in Vigo is the freshest memory between these two clubs: on 11 February 2024 Zamora won 2-1 at Coruxo in Segunda División RFEF - Group 1. That result continued a sequence of favourable outcomes for Zamora that has become a defining feature of recent meetings.
Cup context and what’s at stake
This is a straight knockout in the Copa del Rey Round of 128. Coruxo are competing in Segunda División RFEF - Group 1, while Zamora play one tier higher in Primera División RFEF - Group 1. Beyond the prestige of a cup run, a win would be a notable scalp for either side — promotion-level Zamora as a third-tier team, and Coruxo aiming to upset a higher-division visitor.
Recent form trends
League form shows a contrast. Coruxo sit 12th in their group with eight points from eight games and a run described as LWLLD. Zamora are also 12th in their league but on 12 points from nine matches and have steadied with LDDWW. Those sequences suggest Zamora arrive with slightly better recent momentum.
Zamora’s dominance in head-to-heads
Across the last five meetings Zamora are unbeaten: four wins and one draw. Aside from the 1-1 draw in April 2023, Zamora have taken 2-0, 1-0, 2-0 and most recently a 2-1 victory at Coruxo. That consistency against the same opponent gives Zamora psychological and tactical edges heading into a one-off tie.
Tactical edges and match shape
PreviaXI’s model slightly favours the visitors and projects a tight game with low scoring. Expected goals are close, reflecting a contest where small margins and set-piece moments could decide the outcome. Coruxo will look to leverage home familiarity and set-play opportunities; Zamora will aim to control the game centrally and avoid lapses that have hurt them earlier in the season.
Our prediction
Given Zamora’s recent unbeaten record against Coruxo, their higher-division status and marginally better league form, this is the sort of cup tie where the visitors can edge a narrow win. Expect a close match with Zamora to nick it late.
Coruxo 0-1 Zamora
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