Serie A · Matchday 34 
RB Bragantino vs Santos: Recent meetings point to a tight contest
Santos won the latest meeting 2-0, but the previous three encounters brought a draw and wins for both sides. With the teams separated by three points in Serie A, their next chapter could be close again.
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All Matchday 34 matchesFull head-to-head
Match facts
Recent form
Last 5 league games, latest on the right
Goals per game
| · | Scored | Conceded |
|---|---|---|
| RB Bragantino | 1.3 | 1.2 |
| Santos | 1.5 | 1.4 |
PreviaXI model
Model confidence: Open game
- Predicted score
- 1-0
- Expected goals (model)
- 1.56 – 1.15
- Double chance
- 1X · 73%12 73% · X2 54%
- Over 2.5 goals
- 51%Over 1.5: 76% · Over 3.5: 29%
- Both teams score
- 55%
- Clean sheet
- 32% – 21%RB Bragantino–Santos
- Half-time result
- X · 42%1 35% · 2 23%
- Half-time / full-time
- 1/1 · 28%X/1 16% · X/X 16%
- Expected corners
- 11.36.5 – 4.8 · Over 9.5: 67%
- Expected cards
- 5.42.6 – 2.8 · Over 3.5: 79%
- Most likely scores
- 1-113%
- 1-010%
- 2-19%
- 2-08%
- 0-07%
Statistical model based on expected goals (xG), results and match statistics from the last two seasons. For information only. How our model works →
Why the model leans towards RB Bragantino
- Power ratings: RB Bragantino +0.07 goals per game (12th of 20 in Serie A), Santos +0.13 (8th).
- RB Bragantino's attack (1.34 goals per game) meets Santos's defence (1.27 conceded per game).
- Santos's attack (1.40) meets RB Bragantino's defence (1.27).
- Home advantage in this competition: home sides score about 43% more goals.
- Put together, the model expects 1.56 – 1.15 goals: RB Bragantino 46%, draw 27%, Santos 27%.
Key trends
- Both teams scored in 7 of Santos’s last 8 matches.
- 6 of Santos’s last 8 matches had over 2.5 goals.
Absences
RB Bragantino
- OutDavi Gomes · Knee Injury
- OutA. Hurtado · Muscle Injury
- OutRodriguinho · Knee Injury
- DoubtfulEric Ramires · Injury
- DoubtfulGustavo Marques · Inactive
Santos
- OutArthur Melo · Muscle Injury
- OutG. Escobar · Thigh Injury
- OutGabriel Brazao · Shoulder Injury
- OutJoao Schmidt · Yellow Cards
- OutLucas Verissimo · Thigh Injury
- OutNeymar · Suspended
- OutVinicius Lira · Knee Injury
- OutWillian Arao · Muscle Injury
- DoubtfulGustavo Henrique · Injury
Injury and suspension list from our data provider, updated every 6 hours. It can change before kick-off.
Chance to score
RB Bragantino
- I. Pitta10 goals in 44 games23%
- Fernando7 goals in 35 games19%
- Wallace2 goals in 8 games19%
Santos
- Gabriel Barbosa25 goals in 48 games33%
- Gabriel Menino4 goals in 25 games10%
- Á. Barreal6 goals in 48 games9%
Model estimate: each player’s season goals per minute compared with his team’s, applied to the model’s expected goals for this match and his usual minutes. Players listed as out are left out.
Season stats
| · | RB Bragantino | Santos | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| · | All | Home | All | Away |
| Won-drawn-lost | 12-8-13 | 8-3-5 | 12-11-10 | 6-4-6 |
| Goals scored per game | 1.27 | 1.69 | 1.48 | 1.62 |
| Goals conceded per game | 1.15 | 1.06 | 1.42 | 1.62 |
| xG per game | 1.48 | 1.73 | 1.37 | 1.30 |
| xG against per game | 1.32 | 0.93 | 1.29 | 1.57 |
| Scored in | 76% | 81% | 88% | 94% |
| Clean sheets | 27% | 38% | 21% | 19% |
| Failed to score | 24% | 19% | 12% | 6% |
| Both teams scored | 52% | 50% | 73% | 81% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 79% | 75% | 88% | 88% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 39% | 50% | 64% | 81% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 12% | 25% | 30% | 38% |
| Shots per game | 17.0 | 19.2 | 13.8 | 12.8 |
| Shots on target per game | 5.5 | 6.1 | 4.3 | 4.1 |
| Shots on target | 32% | 32% | 31% | 32% |
| Possession | 50% | 52% | 50% | 46% |
| Passes per game | 382.1 | 395.3 | 431.9 | 425.1 |
| Pass accuracy | 82% | 85% | 82% | 81% |
| Corners per game | 6.1 | 6.8 | 5.4 | 4.1 |
| Corners against per game | 5.6 | 4.7 | 5.3 | 6.5 |
| Cards per game | 2.6 | 2.1 | 3.2 | 2.8 |
| Fouls per game | 13.7 | 13.6 | 12.9 | 12.4 |
League matches this season (Serie A). Per-game averages; % = share of matches.
When goals come
RB Bragantino
- 0-155 / 4
- 16-305 / 8
- 31-4510 / 9
- 46-606 / 9
- 61-753 / 6
- 76-90+7 / 8
Usual formation: 4-2-3-1
Santos
- 0-152 / 4
- 16-308 / 6
- 31-4511 / 9
- 46-6011 / 4
- 61-756 / 8
- 76-90+13 / 14
Usual formation: 4-2-3-1
Goals scored (green) and conceded (orange) by 15-minute period, league matches this season.
Serie A table
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Flamengo | 33 | +40 | 73 |
| 2 |  Palmeiras | 33 | +34 | 70 |
| 3 |  Cruzeiro | 33 | +6 | 57 |
| 4 |  Fluminense | 33 | +10 | 54 |
| 5 |  Atletico Paranaense | 33 | +10 | 54 |
| 6 |  Bahia | 33 | +6 | 53 |
| 7 |  Atletico-MG | 33 | +5 | 50 |
| 8 |  Santos | 33 | +2 | 47 |
| 9 |  RB Bragantino | 33 | +4 | 44 |
| 10 |  Sao Paulo | 33 | 0 | 43 |
| 11 |  Coritiba | 33 | -10 | 42 |
| 12 |  Botafogo | 33 | -8 | 39 |
| 13 |  Vasco DA Gama | 32 | -9 | 38 |
| 14 |  Vitoria | 33 | -13 | 38 |
| 15 |  Gremio | 33 | -7 | 37 |
| 16 |  Mirassol | 33 | -10 | 37 |
| 17 |  Corinthians | 33 | -6 | 36 |
| 18 |  Internacional | 33 | -5 | 35 |
| 19 |  Remo | 33 | -15 | 29 |
| 20 |  Chapecoense-sc | 32 | -34 | 21 |
Table as of
Next matches
RB Bragantino
- Fri 20 NovVitoria – RB BragantinoSerie A
- Mon 23 NovRB Bragantino – Vasco DA GamaSerie A
- Mon 30 NovInternacional – RB BragantinoSerie A
Santos
- Thu 19 NovCoritiba – SantosSerie A
- Tue 24 NovSantos – GremioSerie A
- Mon 30 NovVitoria – SantosSerie A
Head-to-head: last 10 meetings
RB Bragantino 4 wins · 2 draws · Santos 4 wins
- 10/05/2026Santos2-0RB BragantinoSerie A
- 25/01/2026Santos0-0RB BragantinoPaulista - A1
- 28/09/2025RB Bragantino2-2SantosSerie A
- 27/04/2025Santos1-2RB BragantinoSerie A
- 02/03/2025Santos2-0RB BragantinoPaulista - A1
- 27/03/2024Santos3-1RB BragantinoPaulista - A1
- 03/03/2024RB Bragantino1-0SantosPaulista - A1
- 19/10/2023Santos1-3RB BragantinoSerie A
- 28/05/2023RB Bragantino2-0SantosSerie A
- 17/10/2022RB Bragantino0-2SantosSerie A
A narrow gap in the table
Santos’ 2-0 victory over RB Bragantino in May is the latest chapter in a rivalry that has rarely settled into a clear pattern. The sides meet again on Tuesday with Santos eighth on 47 points and Bragantino ninth on 44 after 33 matches. Three points separate them, giving this encounter a direct bearing on the battle around mid-table.
Bragantino finding goals, Santos sharing them
Bragantino have scored nine goals across their last five matches, compared with six for Santos; both teams have conceded six in that span. Bragantino’s home record offers another reason for confidence: they have won eight of 16 league games on their own ground, scoring 27 goals there.
Santos have been more productive overall, with 49 league goals to Bragantino’s 42. Their away scoring record is particularly strong, with 26 goals in 16 matches, although they have also conceded 26 on the road. The recent head-to-heads, however, suggest that neither side can assume an easy evening.
The last five meetings
Santos took the most recent league meeting 2-0, but the broader run is more balanced. Bragantino won 2-1 away in April 2025, while the September league fixture ended 2-2. The other two meetings were a 0-0 draw and a 2-0 Santos win in the Paulista competition.
That mix of close games and contrasting results makes the May scoreline an imperfect guide. Bragantino have scored in both of the last two league meetings, while Santos have kept Bragantino scoreless in two of the five encounters.
Absences weigh on Santos
Santos will be without Neymar through suspension, as well as Arthur Melo, G. Escobar, Gabriel Brazao, Joao Schmidt, Lucas Verissimo, Vinicius Lira and Willian Arao. Gustavo Henrique is questionable.
Bragantino are missing Davi Gomes, A. Hurtado and Rodriguinho, while Eric Ramires and Gustavo Marques are listed as questionable. Santos’ longer list of absences could make the challenge of repeating their latest win more difficult.
Bragantino’s home edge
Bragantino’s home scoring average of 1.7 goals per league match contrasts with Santos’ 1.6 goals per game away, but Santos have also conceded at that same rate on the road. With Bragantino producing more goals in their recent five-match stretch and holding home advantage, they have a route to control the contest, even if the head-to-head record counsels caution.
Our prediction
The recent meetings point to a competitive game, but Bragantino’s home scoring and Santos’ absences tilt the balance toward the hosts. PreviaXI’s model also favours a narrow Bragantino win, with a low-scoring result the likeliest outcome.
RB Bragantino 1-0 Santos
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