Corinthians aim to climb as Mirassol visit São Paulo

Corinthians need a response

Corinthians begin round 33 in 18th place in Brazil’s Serie A, with 33 points from 32 matches. Mirassol are 15th on 37 points, so the gap between the sides is four. Corinthians’ immediate task is to turn that difference into a chance to climb the standings, while Mirassol will look to protect their advantage at the Neo Química Arena in São Paulo.

The home side’s recent record makes the challenge clear: Corinthians have taken just one point across their last five league matches, scoring six goals and conceding 13. Their season total stands at 34 goals scored and 42 conceded. At home, they have won five, drawn four and lost seven of 16 games.

Mirassol arrive with steadier form

Mirassol have collected a more encouraging seven points from their last five matches, with six goals for and only three against. Their recent defensive record contrasts sharply with Corinthians’ 13 goals conceded over the same span.

Across the season, Mirassol have 37 goals and 45 conceded. Away from home, however, their record is less convincing: two wins, four draws and nine defeats in 15 matches. That gives Corinthians a route into the contest, even as the visitors’ recent form offers reason for confidence.

Recent meetings favour Corinthians overall

The teams have split their last two Serie A encounters: Mirassol won 2-1 in May 2026, while Corinthians claimed a 3-0 home victory in October 2025. Across the five listed meetings, Corinthians have won three and Mirassol two, with no draws. The other two Corinthians victories came in the Paulista competition.

Absences stretch both squads

Corinthians have several players listed out, including Alex Santana, A. Carrillo, M. Depay, Gabriel Paulista, Raniele and Vitinho. Kayke and Z. Labyad are listed with knee injuries, while J. Lingard is suspended after yellow cards.

For Mirassol, Negueba is out with a knee injury and Jose Aldo is questionable with a muscle injury.

A narrow home edge

Corinthians’ recent defensive struggles make a clean sheet far from certain, but their home setting and need for points give them an important incentive. Mirassol have defended better lately, though their away record has been difficult, and the statistical model leans towards a close home win.

Our prediction

Corinthians should have enough at home to edge a match that may be tight, particularly if they can avoid the defensive lapses seen in recent weeks. Mirassol’s improved recent defending should keep the contest close, but the model’s most likely score is a narrow victory for the hosts.

Corinthians 1-0 Mirassol