2–0 Full time Saturday 31 October

Our pick1–0Correct result

Coritiba vs Vitoria: Injury-hit visitors face a crucial test

With only a point separating them, Coritiba and Vitoria meet in a close Serie A contest. Vitoria’s long list of absences could prove decisive, especially away from home.

📍 Estádio Couto Pereira

Preview written: Fri 30 Oct 02:08

All Matchday 33 matches Full head-to-head

Match report

Coritiba beat Vitoria 2-0, with both goals coming in the second half. Pedro Rocha opened the scoring in the 58th minute. Tinga added a second in the 69th minute, assisted by Tiago Coser. There were no red cards.

Coritiba had seven shots on target to Vitoria’s one, and led the total-shot count 20-7. The expected-goals figures were 2.3 for Coritiba and 0.53 for Vitoria. Coritiba’s Tiago Cóser was the top-rated player, with a rating of 8.2. The result matched the model’s predicted 1-0 home win in direction, though Coritiba scored one more goal than predicted; its pre-match percentages were 44% for a home win, 28% for a draw and 28% for an away win.

Goals

58'Pedro Rocha · Coritiba
69'Tinga · Tiago Coser · Coritiba

Cards

62'E. Britez · Vitoria
90+4'Tissi · Coritiba

Match stats

CoritibaVitoria

49%Possession51%

20Shots7

7Shots on target1

2.30Expected goals (xG)0.53

7Corners5

20Fouls12

1Saves5

⭐ Top-rated player: Tiago Cóser (Coritiba) 8.2

Ratings and statistics: API-Football.

Confirmed lineups

Coritiba · 4-2-3-1

1Pedro MoriscoG
2TingaD
23Tiago CóserD
55Jacy MaranhãoD
26Bruno MeloD
19Sebastián GómezM
21Thiago SantosM
77Breno LopesM
10JosuéM
5Nicolas FonsecaM
32Pedro RochaF

Vitoria · 4-1-4-1

1Lucas ArcanjoG
59Gean de Jesus SoaresD
26EdenilsonD
25CacáD
2Emanuel BrítezD
95Caique GonçalvesM
33ErickM
88Zé VitorM
6Emmanuel MartínezM
12Diego TarziaM
91Renê SousaF

Match facts

Recent form

CoritibaLLDLL

VitoriaLWLDD

Last 5 league games, latest on the right

Goals per game

·	Scored	Conceded
Coritiba	1.2	1.6
Vitoria	1.1	1.4

League position

Pos	Team	P	GD	Pts
12	Coritiba	32	-12	39
14	Vitoria	32	-11	38

Last meetings

2026Vitoria4-1Coritiba
2021Vitoria0-0Coritiba
2021Coritiba1-0Vitoria
2019Vitoria1-2Coritiba
2019Coritiba1-1Vitoria

Absences

Coritiba

OutLucas Ronier · Knee Injury
DoubtfulLucas Taverna · Inactive

Vitoria

OutBaralhas · Broken Leg
OutCamutanga · Broken Leg
OutDudu · Back Injury
OutEdu · Achilles Tendon Injury
OutFabiano · Knee Injury
OutLuan Candido · Yellow Cards
OutMarinho · Red Card
OutNathan Mendes · Knee Injury
OutRamon · Leg Injury
OutRiccieli · Calf Injury

PreviaXI model

Coritiba44%Draw28%Vitoria28%

Model confidence: Open game

Predicted score: 1-0
Expected goals (model): 1.40 – 1.07
Double chance: 1X · 72%12 72% · X2 56%
Over 2.5 goals: 45%Over 1.5: 71% · Over 3.5: 24%
Both teams score: 50%
Clean sheet: 34% – 25%Coritiba–Vitoria
Half-time result: X · 44%1 33% · 2 23%
Half-time / full-time: 1/1 · 26%X/X 18% · 2/2 16%
Expected corners: 9.44.6 – 4.8 · Over 9.5: 46%
Expected cards: 4.72.1 – 2.6 · Over 3.5: 68%
Most likely scores: 1-113%
1-011%
0-09%
2-19%
0-18%

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG), results and match statistics from the last two seasons. For information only. How our model works →

A narrow gap, a major test

A single point separates Coritiba and Vitoria in Serie A, making Saturday’s meeting an important chance to create breathing room in the table. Coritiba sit 12th on 39 points after 32 matches, with Vitoria 14th on 38. The visitors arrive with a substantial injury and suspension list that could reshape the contest.

Recent struggles, contrasting away records

Neither side comes in on a strong run: Coritiba’s last five league results read LLDDL, while Vitoria’s are DDLWL. Coritiba have scored just once and conceded 12 across their past five; Vitoria have managed eight goals, but let in seven.

The home side’s recent scoring drought is a concern, but Vitoria’s away record is a bigger warning sign. They have yet to win in 16 league trips, drawing six and losing 10, and have conceded 33 goals on the road. Coritiba have taken five wins from 16 home matches.

Vitoria edged the first meeting

Vitoria won 4-1 when the teams met in May, the latest result in a run of closely spaced encounters that also includes a Coritiba win and a draw in their previous five listed meetings. That emphatic victory offers the visitors encouragement, but the circumstances are now complicated by their depleted squad.

The absences shape the contest

Vitoria are missing Baralhas and Camutanga with broken legs, alongside Dudu, Edu, Fabiano, Nathan Mendes, Ramon and Riccieli, all listed out with injuries. Luan Candido is suspended after accumulating yellow cards, while Marinho is unavailable after a red card. It is a long list affecting multiple areas of the squad, with defensive options among those absent.

Coritiba are without Lucas Ronier because of a knee injury, while Lucas Taverna is questionable. Their own losses matter, but Vitoria’s much larger group of absentees presents the bigger challenge—particularly for a side that has struggled to travel well all season.

A chance to exploit the visitors’ weakness

Coritiba’s attack has been quiet lately, so they will need more purpose in the final third to make their home advantage count. Vitoria have shown they can score, including in the first meeting, but their poor away results and shortage of available players leave little margin for error.

Our prediction

The absences and Vitoria’s winless away record tilt this toward Coritiba, even with the hosts’ recent scoring problems. A tight game looks likely, with the home side having the stronger chance to find the decisive goal.

Coritiba 1-0 Vitoria

⚑ Report a mistake Editorial policy

Serie A table All previews that day