Serie A power ratings

Every Serie A team ranked by the PreviaXI model. Attack = goals per game it would score against an average Serie A side, defence = goals it would concede, rating = the difference. Unlike the league table, this ignores luck in finishing and weights recent form.

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#·TeamAttackDefenceRatingGames
1 Flamengo 1.79 0.88 +0.91 31
2 Palmeiras 1.50 0.93 +0.57 31
3 Cruzeiro 1.44 1.12 +0.32 32
4 ▲1 Fluminense 1.35 1.09 +0.26 31
5 ▼1 Atletico Paranaense 1.49 1.23 +0.26 32
6 Bahia 1.48 1.25 +0.23 31
7 Santos 1.40 1.27 +0.13 31
8 Vasco DA Gama 1.38 1.25 +0.13 30
9 ▲4 Internacional 1.33 1.24 +0.09 32
10 Mirassol 1.37 1.28 +0.09 32
11 RB Bragantino 1.34 1.26 +0.08 31
12 ▼3 Botafogo 1.33 1.26 +0.07 32
13 ▼1 Atletico-MG 1.24 1.17 +0.07 31
14 Sao Paulo 1.22 1.18 +0.04 32
15 Corinthians 1.19 1.16 +0.03 31
16 Vitoria 1.11 1.32 -0.21 32
17 Gremio 1.20 1.48 -0.28 31
18 Coritiba 1.18 1.50 -0.32 31
19 Remo 1.05 1.42 -0.37 32
20 Chapecoense-sc 1.06 1.68 -0.62 30

Attack and defence in goals per game on neutral ground; lower defence is better. Games = league matches this season. Home advantage in the model: home sides score 43% more goals than away sides.

Updated Sunday 25 October. Change in rank since Saturday 24 October.