2–0 Full time Sunday 25 October

Our pick1–0Correct result

Can Palmeiras keep their winning run going at Bragantino?

Palmeiras have lost only once in their last five league outings and have conceded just one goal in that stretch. They host RB Bragantino at Nubank Parque with a chance to extend a run that has lifted them into second place.

📍 Nubank Parque

All Matchday 32 matches

Match report

Palmeiras beat RB Bragantino 2-0 in Serie A Regular Season round 32. The first goal came from a penalty scored by Maurício Magalhães Prado in the first half's added time, at 45+11. Palmeiras doubled their lead in the 77th minute, when Agustin Giay scored with an assist from José Manuel López. No red cards were shown in the match.

Palmeiras controlled possession with 56% to RB Bragantino's 44% and took 24 shots to their opponent's 11. Their expected goals total was 3.39 against 0.44, and seven of their shots were on target compared with two. The top-rated player was A. Giay, who earned a rating of 8.2. The pre-match model had predicted a 1-0 home win with probabilities of 59% for a home win, 25% for a draw and 16% for an away win, so the final score was a larger margin than forecast.

Goals

45+11'Maurício Magalhães Prado (pen.) · Palmeiras
77'Agustin Giay · José Manuel López · Palmeiras

Cards

31'Tiago Volpi · RB Bragantino
44'Jose Herrera · RB Bragantino
62'Gustavo Gómez · Palmeiras
79'Agustin Giay · Palmeiras
81'Gabriel Girotto · RB Bragantino
81'Alix Vinicius · RB Bragantino

Match stats

PalmeirasRB Bragantino

56%Possession44%

24Shots11

7Shots on target2

3.39Expected goals (xG)0.44

10Corners9

7Fouls10

4Offsides1

2Saves4

⭐ Top-rated player: A. Giay (Palmeiras) 8.2

Ratings and statistics: API-Football.

Confirmed lineups

Palmeiras · 3-4-2-1

1Carlos MiguelG
3Bruno FuchsD
15G. GómezD
2A. BarbozaD
4A. GiayM
17Marlon FreitasM
30Lucas EvangelistaM
56ArthurM
11J. AriasM
18MaurícioM
42J. LópezF

Coach: Abel Ferreira

RB Bragantino · 4-2-3-1

18Tiago VolpiG
52Ryan TavaresD
4AlixD
2Guzmán RodríguezD
29Juninho CapixabaD
35Matheus FernandesM
5FabinhoM
32J. HerreraM
21Lucas BarbosaM
11FernandoM
9I. PittaF

Coach: Vagner Mancini

Match facts

Recent form

PalmeirasWDWWW

RB BragantinoLLDWD

Last 5 league games, latest on the right

Goals per game

·	Scored	Conceded
Palmeiras	1.7	0.7
RB Bragantino	1.3	1.2

League position

Pos	Team	P	GD	Pts
2	Palmeiras	31	+32	66
10	RB Bragantino	31	+3	41

Last meetings

2026RB Bragantino0-1Palmeiras
2025Palmeiras5-1RB Bragantino
2025RB Bragantino1-2Palmeiras
2025Palmeiras0-0RB Bragantino
2024RB Bragantino0-0Palmeiras

Absences

Palmeiras

OutAndreas Pereira · Red Card
OutJefte · Knee Injury
OutJ. Piquerez · Yellow Cards
OutVitor Roque · Inactive

RB Bragantino

OutDavi Gomes · Knee Injury
OutEric Ramires · Yellow Cards
OutH. Mosquera · Inactive
OutRodriguinho · Inactive

PreviaXI model

Palmeiras59%Draw25%RB Bragantino16%

Predicted score: 1-0
Expected goals (model): 1.72 – 0.80
Double chance: 1X · 84%12 75% · X2 41%
Over 2.5 goals: 46%
Both teams score: 46%
Expected corners: 11.87.3 – 4.5 · Over 9.5: 72%
Expected cards: 5.22.0 – 3.2 · Over 3.5: 76%

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG), results and match statistics from the last two seasons. For information only. How our model works →

Palmeiras have won four of their last five Serie A matches, scoring nine times and conceding just once, and they come into this home game with real momentum.

Palmeiras chasing the top of the table

Palmeiras sit second in the 20-team league with 66 points from 31 games and a goal difference of +32. RB Bragantino are 10th on 41 points, with a goal difference of +3. For the visitors, a trip to Sao Paulo is a chance to break into the upper half, but they arrive as the clear underdogs.

Nine goals, one conceded in five

Palmeiras have been at their best in Sao Paulo this season, winning 11 of 15 home matches and losing only once. They have kept six clean sheets at Nubank Parque and average close to two goals per home game. Bragantino have had a more uneven time on the road, winning four of 16 away matches and losing seven. In their last five, they have one win, two draws and two defeats, scoring seven and conceding seven.

Bragantino have not beaten Palmeiras in five meetings

The head-to-head record leans heavily toward the hosts. Palmeiras won 5-1 at home in October 2025 and claimed a 1-2 win in Bragantino’s own ground in May of that year. Their most recent meeting, in April 2026, ended 1-0 to Palmeiras in Bragantino’s stadium. The two other encounters in that run were goalless draws, so Bragantino have not won any of the last five.

Absences on both sides

Palmeiras will be without Andreas Pereira, who was sent off, along with Jefte, who is out with a knee injury, and J. Piquerez, who is missing after accumulating yellow cards. Vitor Roque is also unavailable. Bragantino have their own problems, with Davi Gomes out injured, Eric Ramires suspended after yellow cards, and H. Mosquera and Rodriguinho also missing.

Our prediction

PreviaXI’s model favours Palmeiras, and the football picture supports that. The hosts have the better attack and a far stronger defensive record at home, while Bragantino have struggled to score away from home and have not managed a win over Palmeiras in recent meetings. A tight, cagey game is likely, with Palmeiras’s home control and clean-sheet habit probably deciding it by the narrowest of margins.

Palmeiras 1-0 RB Bragantino

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