3–0 Full time Saturday 24 October

Our pick1–0Correct result

Internacional's injury crisis puts Botafogo test in spotlight

Internacional host Botafogo in Porto Alegre with a long list of absentees, while Botafogo have their own problems. Here is how the injuries could shape a tight contest.

📍 Estádio Beira Rio

All Matchday 32 matches

Match report

Internacional beat Botafogo 3-0 in Serie A Regular Season round 32. Matheus Bahia opened the scoring in the 32nd minute, and José Carlos Ferreira Júnior doubled the lead in the 42nd. Alexandro Bernabéi made it 3-0 in the 66th minute, with Alerrandro credited with the assist. No red cards were shown.

Internacional had 17 shots to Botafogo's 11, with 7 on target to 4, and an xG of 2.81 against 0.62. Botafogo held 56% of possession to Internacional's 44%, while the home side won 9 corners to 7. Botafogo also received three yellow cards, against none for Internacional. The top-rated player was A. Bernabéi with 8.2. The result differed from the PreviaXI pre-match model, which predicted a 1-0 home win, with 45% home win, 28% draw and 27% away win probabilities.

Goals

32'Matheus Bahia · Internacional
42'José Carlos Ferreira Júnior · Internacional
66'Alexandro Bernabéi · Alerrandro · Internacional

Cards

62'Álvaro Montoro · Botafogo
85'Nahuel Ferraresi · Botafogo
90'Marçal · Botafogo

Match stats

InternacionalBotafogo

44%Possession56%

17Shots11

7Shots on target4

2.81Expected goals (xG)0.62

9Corners7

15Fouls14

1Offsides0

4Saves3

⭐ Top-rated player: A. Bernabéi (Internacional) 8.2

Ratings and statistics: API-Football.

Confirmed lineups

Internacional · 4-2-3-1

22KauanG
35B. AguirreD
3G. MaripánD
18JuninhoD
6Matheus BahiaD
16RonaldoM
29Thiago MaiaM
15Bruno GomesM
10Alan PatrickM
26A. BernabéiM
9AlerrandroF

Coach: Eduardo Baptista

Botafogo · 4-2-3-1

12Gabriel BatistaG
2VitinhoD
5N. FerraresiD
21MarçalD
13Alex TellesD
25AllanM
8Danilo SantosM
6C. MedinaM
10Álvaro MontoroM
11Matheus MartinsM
9Tiquinho SoaresF

Coach: Tite

Match facts

Recent form

InternacionalWLWDL

BotafogoWLLDW

Last 5 league games, latest on the right

Goals per game

·	Scored	Conceded
Internacional	1.1	1.3
Botafogo	1.4	1.5

League position

Pos	Team	P	GD	Pts
11	Botafogo	31	-4	39
17	Internacional	31	-7	32

Last meetings

2026Botafogo2-2Internacional
2025Internacional2-0Botafogo
2025Botafogo4-0Internacional
2024Internacional0-1Botafogo
2024Botafogo1-0Internacional

Absences

Internacional

OutAnthoni · Knee Injury
OutKayky · Ankle Injury
OutG. Maripan · Muscle Injury
OutMatheus Cunha · Red Card
OutG. Mercado · Yellow Cards
OutS. Rochet · Lower Back Injury
OutR. Villagra · Yellow Cards
OutVitinho · Yellow Cards
DoubtfulAllex · Inactive
DoubtfulA. Sanabria · Inactive

Botafogo

OutJ. Barrera · Ankle Injury
OutKaio Pantaleao · Knee Injury
DoubtfulArthur Chaves · Inactive
DoubtfulL. Monzon · Inactive

PreviaXI model

Internacional45%Draw28%Botafogo27%

Predicted score: 1-0
Expected goals (model): 1.47 – 1.09
Double chance: 1X · 73%12 72% · X2 55%
Over 2.5 goals: 47%
Both teams score: 52%
Expected corners: 9.66.1 – 3.5 · Over 9.5: 48%
Expected cards: 5.22.3 – 2.9 · Over 3.5: 75%

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG), results and match statistics from the last two seasons. For information only. How our model works →

Botafogo and Internacional last met in April, when a 2-2 draw kept both sides in the thick of a difficult season. They meet again on Saturday at the Estádio Beira Rio in Porto Alegre, and the key question is less about the scoreline than about how many players Internacional can field.

A depleted home side in a crowded table

Internacional sit 17th of 20 with 32 points and a goal difference of -7. Botafogo are 11th on 39 points. A win would be a statement of resilience for the hosts, but with so many players unavailable, every selection decision becomes a headache.

Form that cuts both ways

Neither side has built real momentum. Both have won twice, drawn once and lost twice in their last five league games. Internacional have scored five and conceded six in that spell, while Botafogo have scored six and conceded seven. Over the full season, Botafogo have won 10 of 31 matches and Internacional seven.

Botafogo’s edge in recent meetings

Botafogo hold the upper hand over the last five meetings, with three wins, one draw and just one Internacional victory, a 2-0 home win in October 2025. Botafogo’s 4-0 win in May 2025 is the most emphatic result of that run, and they have scored eight goals across the five games to Internacional’s four.

Internacional’s injury list

The hosts are missing a significant group of players. Matheus Cunha is out after a red card, while Anthoni (knee), Kayky (ankle), G. Maripan (muscle) and S. Rochet (lower back) are sidelined through injury. G. Mercado, R. Villagra and Vitinho are also missing through yellow card accumulation, and Allex and A. Sanabria are doubtful. Botafogo have problems of their own: J. Barrera (ankle) and Kaio Pantaleao (knee) are out, with Arthur Chaves and L. Monzon doubtful.

Our prediction

PreviaXI’s model favours Internacional narrowly, and the football logic is clear. The home side are more likely to create openings, while Botafogo have struggled on the road, losing eight of their 15 away games this season. Internacional’s injury crisis will limit their options, so expect a tight, cagey contest rather than an open one, where a single moment of quality or a set piece could decide it.

Internacional 1-0 Botafogo

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