Liga Profesional Argentina · Clausura - 15 
Our pick1–0Missed
Newells Old Boys vs Union Santa Fe: recent meetings point to a close contest
Newells came from behind to beat Union 3-2 in April, but the recent head-to-head record is finely balanced. Both sides have shown defensive vulnerabilities, with Newells holding a slight home edge.
📍 Estadio Marcelo Bielsa
Preview written:
All Clausura, matchday 15 matchesFull head-to-head
Match report
Newells Old Boys and Union Santa Fe drew 1-1 in the Clausura. Union Santa Fe took the lead in the 59th minute, with Juan Pablo Ludueña scoring from Marcelo Estigarriba’s assist. Newells Old Boys levelled in the 76th minute through Ignacio Isla’s own goal. Neither side received a red card.
Union Santa Fe had the higher expected goals total, 1.24 to 0.38, and led the shots-on-target count 5-2. Newells Old Boys had more possession, 61% to 39%, while total shots were 12-6 in Union Santa Fe’s favour. L. Regiardo of Newells Old Boys was the top-rated player, with a 6.9 rating. The 1-1 draw differed from the model’s predicted 1-0 home win; its pre-match probabilities were 37% for a home win, 31% for a draw and 32% for an away win.
Goals
- 59'Juan Pablo Ludueña · Marcelo Estigarriba · Union Santa Fe
- 76'Ignacio Isla (o.g.) · Newells Old Boys
Cards
- 17'Julián Palacios · Union Santa Fe
- 43'Santiago Germán Solari Ferreyra · Newells Old Boys
- 69'Juan Pablo Ludueña · Union Santa Fe
- 69'Brahian Cuello · Union Santa Fe
- 78'Misael Aguirre · Union Santa Fe
- 78'Juan Ignacio Ramírez · Newells Old Boys
- 82'Jeronimo Russo · Newells Old Boys
- 90+4'Matías Cóccaro · Newells Old Boys
Match stats
⭐ Top-rated player: L. Regiardo (Newells Old Boys) 6.9
Ratings and statistics: API-Football.
Confirmed lineups
Newells Old Boys · 4-2-3-1
- 30J. ReinattiG
- 6M. OrtegaD
- 23N. GoiteaD
- 16L. CarrizoD
- 28J. RussoD
- 27L. GómezM
- 5L. RegiardoM
- 7W. MazzanttiM
- 20Facundo GauchM
- 32S. SolariM
- 9M. CóccaroF
Coach: F. Kudelka
Union Santa Fe · 4-4-2
- 21M. MansillaG
- 27T. RubioD
- 33I. IslaD
- 26J. LudueñaD
- 18L. AyalaD
- 20J. PalaciosM
- 17J. MosqueiraM
- 11M. Luna DialeM
- 22B. CuelloM
- 19M. EstigarribiaF
- 25C. TarragonaF
Coach: Leonardo Madelon
Match facts
Recent form
Last 5 league games, latest on the right
Goals per game
| · | Scored | Conceded |
|---|---|---|
| Newells Old Boys | 0.9 | 1.2 |
| Union Santa Fe | 1.5 | 1.4 |
League position
| Pos | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Newells Old Boys | 14 | +3 | 21 |
| 8 | Union Santa Fe | 16 | +4 | 21 |
| 10 | Union Santa Fe | 14 | -2 | 17 |
| 14 | Newells Old Boys | 16 | -12 | 15 |
Last meetings
- 2026Union Santa Fe2-3Newells Old Boys
- 2025Newells Old Boys0-1Union Santa Fe
- 2025Union Santa Fe1-1Newells Old Boys
- 2024Union Santa Fe2-0Newells Old Boys
- 2024Union Santa Fe1-3Newells Old Boys
PreviaXI model
Model confidence: Open game
- Predicted score
- 1-0
- Expected goals (model)
- 1.16 – 1.07
- Double chance
- 12 · 69%1X 68% · X2 63%
- Over 2.5 goals
- 39%Over 1.5: 66% · Over 3.5: 19%
- Both teams score
- 46%
- Clean sheet
- 34% – 31%Newells Old Boys–Union Santa Fe
- Half-time result
- X · 47%1 28% · 2 25%
- Half-time / full-time
- 1/1 · 21%X/X 20% · 2/2 18%
- Expected corners
- 9.44.7 – 4.7 · Over 9.5: 46%
- Expected cards
- 4.92.3 – 2.6 · Over 3.5: 72%
- Most likely scores
- 1-114%
- 0-012%
- 1-011%
- 0-111%
- 2-18%
Statistical model based on expected goals (xG), results and match statistics from the last two seasons. For information only. How our model works →
A narrow gap in the Clausura
Newells Old Boys and Union Santa Fe meet in Rosario on Monday with little separating them in the Clausura Group A standings. Newells are sixth on 21 points after 14 matches, while Union are 10th on 17. The hosts will look to turn that four-point advantage into a stronger finish; for Union, a win would bring them closer to their opponents.
Newells are tighter at the back
Newells have conceded only twice across their last five matches, though they scored just three goals in that spell. Union have found the net five times over their past five, but conceded nine, a worrying defensive return ahead of this trip.
Season totals underline the contrast: Newells have scored 28 and conceded 37 across 30 games, while Union have scored 47 and let in 46 over 32. Newells have also been more dependable at home, losing three of 15 league matches there. Union have lost nine of their 17 away games.
April’s five-goal swing
The most recent meeting offers a striking reminder of how quickly this fixture can turn. Union led at home in April, but Newells left with a 3-2 victory. That result followed a 1-0 Union win at Newells in November 2025, so the hosts have a chance to level the latest two-meeting sequence on their own ground.
The wider record is mixed rather than one-sided: Union won 2-0 in November 2024, while Newells claimed a 3-1 away victory in February 2024. The April thriller is the only one of the five listed meetings to produce five goals; the other four total eight between them.
Recent standings shape the stakes
The Clausura table gives Newells the better position, but neither team arrives on a long winning run in the group: Newells’ last five league results read draw, win, loss, draw, win, while Union’s are win, draw, loss, loss, loss. That makes the home side’s steadier recent defensive record particularly relevant.
A small edge for the hosts
Newells’ home record and the recent improvement in their defensive numbers make them slight favourites, but Union’s April win over them at home is a reminder that the visitors can threaten. PreviaXI’s model also leans narrowly toward Newells, with a low-scoring game the likelier shape.
Our prediction
Newells’ stronger home record and Union’s nine goals conceded in their last five point toward a narrow home win. The recent meetings also counsel caution: four of the five ended with two or fewer goals.
Newells Old Boys 1-0 Union Santa Fe
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