Liga Profesional Argentina · Clausura - 15 
Our pick1–0Missed
Belgrano and Barracas Central seek an edge in a tight Clausura race
Belgrano and Barracas Central are level on points after 14 Clausura matches, with only a small goal-difference gap between them. Home advantage and Belgrano’s stronger recent scoring offer a possible difference in a finely balanced contest.
📍 Estadio Julio César Villagra
Preview written:
All Clausura, matchday 15 matchesFull head-to-head
Match report
Belgrano Cordoba and Barracas Central drew 2-2. Lucas Passerini opened the scoring in the 27th minute, assisted by Emiliano Rigoni, then struck again three minutes after the break with Lucas Zelarayán providing the assist. Belgrano held that two-goal lead until Esteban Rolón pulled one back for Barracas in the 80th minute. Nicolás Demartini equalised in the 90+6th minute, assisted by Rafael Barrios. There were no red cards.
Barracas had more possession, 54% to 46%, and registered more shots, 21 to 12, including nine on target compared with Belgrano’s six. Belgrano had the higher expected-goals figure, 1.61 to 1.20. L. Passerini was the top-rated player, earning 9.3. The 2-2 result differed from the pre-match model’s 1-0 prediction for Belgrano, despite its 40% home-win forecast; the model gave a draw a 34% chance and an away win 26%.
Goals
- 27'Lucas Passerini · Emiliano Rigoni · Belgrano Cordoba
- 48'Lucas Passerini · Lucas Zelarayán · Belgrano Cordoba
- 80'Esteban Rolón · Barracas Central
- 90+6'Nicolás Demartini · Rafael Barrios · Barracas Central
Cards
- 31'Yonatthan Rak · Barracas Central
- 51'Santiago Longo · Belgrano Cordoba
- 74'Nicolás Demartini · Barracas Central
Match stats
⭐ Top-rated player: L. Passerini (Belgrano Cordoba) 9.3
Ratings and statistics: API-Football.
Confirmed lineups
Belgrano Cordoba · 4-2-3-1
- 25T. CardozoG
- 26Alcides BenítezD
- 14L. MoralesD
- 17Lisandro LópezD
- 16F. RiccaD
- 21A. SánchezM
- 5S. LongoM
- 24E. RigoniM
- 20F. VázquezM
- 10L. ZelarayánM
- 9L. PasseriniF
Coach: R. Zielinski
Barracas Central · 4-2-3-1
- 1J. EspínolaG
- 13R. BarriosD
- 15Y. RakD
- 31N. DemartiniD
- 17E. PereyraD
- 5D. MilocM
- 28R. BogarínM
- 33G. MaroniM
- 10I. TapiaM
- 8T. PorraM
- 77F. BrueraF
Coach: D. Ayude
Match facts
Recent form
Last 5 league games, latest on the right
Goals per game
| · | Scored | Conceded |
|---|---|---|
| Belgrano Cordoba | 1.1 | 0.8 |
| Barracas Central | 0.9 | 0.9 |
League position
| Pos | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Belgrano Cordoba | 16 | +4 | 26 |
| 5 | Belgrano Cordoba | 14 | +3 | 22 |
| 6 | Barracas Central | 14 | +2 | 22 |
| 9 | Barracas Central | 16 | 0 | 21 |
Last meetings
- 2026Barracas Central0-0Belgrano Cordoba
- 2025Barracas Central1-1Belgrano Cordoba
- 2025Belgrano Cordoba1-1Barracas Central
- 2024Barracas Central1-1Belgrano Cordoba
- 2023Belgrano Cordoba0-2Barracas Central
PreviaXI model
Model confidence: Open game
- Predicted score
- 1-0
- Expected goals (model)
- 1.05 – 0.81
- Double chance
- 1X · 74%12 66% · X2 60%
- Over 2.5 goals
- 29%Over 1.5: 56% · Over 3.5: 12%
- Both teams score
- 37%
- Clean sheet
- 45% – 35%Belgrano Cordoba–Barracas Central
- Half-time result
- X · 52%1 28% · 2 20%
- Half-time / full-time
- X/X · 25%1/1 23% · X/1 16%
- Expected corners
- 7.64.8 – 2.8 · Over 9.5: 24%
- Expected cards
- 4.62.2 – 2.4 · Over 3.5: 68%
- Most likely scores
- 0-016%
- 1-015%
- 1-114%
- 0-112%
- 2-09%
Statistical model based on expected goals (xG), results and match statistics from the last two seasons. For information only. How our model works →
Almost nothing between them
Belgrano Cordoba and Barracas Central are separated by just one place in the Clausura Group B standings, but not by points: both have 22 from 14 matches. Belgrano sit fifth with a goal difference of +3, while Barracas are sixth on +2. With the teams so closely matched, even a narrow result could prove a decisive edge.
Belgrano have the home setting at Estadio Julio César Villagra, and their overall record shows 17 wins in 34 matches. Barracas have won 11 of their 30, though both teams have been difficult to beat consistently.
Recent goals, similar resistance
Belgrano’s last five matches have brought five goals scored and five conceded. Barracas have been more productive in front of goal over the same span, scoring eight, while also letting in five. Their recent attacking output gives the visitors reason to believe they can trouble the home defence.
The longer-term numbers point to a close, potentially low-scoring game. Belgrano have conceded 27 goals across 34 matches and Barracas 26 in 30; neither side has regularly turned its matches into high-scoring affairs.
A history of close encounters
The last four meetings have all finished level: three 1-1 draws and a 0-0. Barracas’ 2-0 win in July 2023 is the only victory among the five most recent head-to-heads, underlining how often this matchup has been decided by fine margins.
Home advantage and the narrow edge
Belgrano’s home record offers a useful platform: eight wins from 16 home matches, with 21 goals scored and 14 conceded. The statistical model also leans towards the hosts, projecting a slightly stronger attacking threat. Barracas’ recent scoring form should keep the contest competitive, but the hosts have the marginal advantage.
Our prediction
A tight game looks likely, with the recent head-to-head pattern pointing towards another close score. Belgrano’s home strength gives them the edge in a matchup where chances may be limited.
Belgrano Cordoba 1-0 Barracas Central
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