Liga Profesional Argentina · Clausura - 15 
Our pick1–0Missed
Can Estudiantes Halt Instituto’s Run in La Plata?
Instituto arrive in strong form and top the Clausura Group A table, while Estudiantes sit 11th. But the home side’s record at Estadio Jorge Luis Hirschi and a favourable recent head-to-head give them reason to believe.
📍 Estadio Jorge Luis Hirschi
Preview written:
All Clausura, matchday 15 matchesFull head-to-head
Match report
Estudiantes L.P. and Instituto Cordoba shared a 3-3 draw after a remarkable turnaround. Facundo Ezquel Suarez put Instituto ahead in the 3rd minute, and Leonel Mosevich, assisted by Alex Luna, made it 2-0 in the 48th. Jhon Córdoba, again set up by Luna, extended the lead in the 52nd, two minutes after Estudiantes L.P.’s Santiago Núñez was sent off. Guido Carrillo pulled one back in the 58th, assisted by Lucas Piovi, before Tiago Palacios scored in the 65th. Fabricio Pérez, assisted by Edwuin Cetre, completed the comeback with an 86th-minute equaliser.
Estudiantes L.P. had 74% possession and led Instituto Cordoba in shots on target, 8-5, and total shots, 16-9. The expected-goals figures were 2.05 to 1.16, while corners were 6-2. F. Pérez Escudero of Estudiantes L.P. was the top-rated player, with an 8.2 rating. The 3-3 result differed from the pre-match model’s 1-0 prediction for Estudiantes L.P., which assigned 43% to a home win, 30% to a draw and 27% to an away win.
Goals
- 3'Facundo Ezquel Suarez · Instituto Cordoba
- 48'Leonel Mosevich · Alex Luna · Instituto Cordoba
- 52'Jhon Córdoba · Alex Luna · Instituto Cordoba
- 58'Guido Carrillo · Lucas Piovi · Estudiantes L.P.
- 65'Tiago Palacios · Estudiantes L.P.
- 86'Fabricio Pérez · Edwuin Cetre · Estudiantes L.P.
Cards
- 12'Fernando Alarcon · Instituto Cordoba
- 19'Diego Alejandro Sosa · Instituto Cordoba
- 20'Lucas Piovi · Estudiantes L.P.
- 27'Santiago Núñez · Estudiantes L.P.
- 34'Leonel Mosevich · Instituto Cordoba
- 45+2'Alexis Castro · Estudiantes L.P.
- 50'Santiago Núñez · Estudiantes L.P.
- 61'Eros Nazareno Mancuso · Estudiantes L.P.
- 63'Hernán De La Fuente · Instituto Cordoba
- 76'Agustín Nicolás Massaccesi · Instituto Cordoba
Match stats
⭐ Top-rated player: F. Pérez Escudero (Estudiantes L.P.) 8.2
Ratings and statistics: API-Football.
Confirmed lineups
Estudiantes L.P. · 4-2-3-1
- 16F. MusleraG
- 40E. MancusoD
- 4S. NúñezD
- 5M. RojoD
- 13G. BenedettiD
- 21Lucas Ezequiel PioviM
- 22A. CastroM
- 10T. PalaciosM
- 32J. CorreaM
- 17J. BurgosM
- 9G. CarrilloF
Coach: Alexander Medina
Instituto Cordoba · 3-4-3
- 29M. LedesmaG
- 30J. GalvánD
- 26L. MosevichD
- 6F. AlarcónD
- 44G. CeratoM
- 55G. AbregúM
- 15M. GallardoM
- 3D. SosaM
- 21J. LázaroF
- 9F. SuárezF
- 10A. LunaF
Coach: Diego Flores
Match facts
Recent form
Last 5 league games, latest on the right
Goals per game
| · | Scored | Conceded |
|---|---|---|
| Estudiantes L.P. | 1.2 | 0.8 |
| Instituto Cordoba | 1.3 | 0.9 |
League position
| Pos | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Estudiantes L.P. | 16 | +12 | 31 |
| 1 | Instituto Cordoba | 14 | +11 | 32 |
| 9 | Instituto Cordoba | 16 | 0 | 21 |
| 11 | Estudiantes L.P. | 14 | -1 | 14 |
Last meetings
- 2026Instituto Cordoba0-1Estudiantes L.P.
- 2024Estudiantes L.P.3-2Instituto Cordoba
- 2023Instituto Cordoba0-0Estudiantes L.P.
PreviaXI model
Model confidence: Open game
- Predicted score
- 1-0
- Expected goals (model)
- 1.27 – 0.92
- Double chance
- 1X · 73%12 70% · X2 57%
- Over 2.5 goals
- 37%Over 1.5: 65% · Over 3.5: 18%
- Both teams score
- 44%
- Clean sheet
- 40% – 28%Estudiantes L.P.–Instituto Cordoba
- Half-time result
- X · 47%1 32% · 2 21%
- Half-time / full-time
- 1/1 · 26%X/X 21% · X/1 16%
- Expected corners
- 8.44.1 – 4.3 · Over 9.5: 34%
- Expected cards
- 6.33.1 – 3.2 · Over 3.5: 87%
- Most likely scores
- 1-114%
- 1-013%
- 0-012%
- 0-19%
- 2-09%
Statistical model based on expected goals (xG), results and match statistics from the last two seasons. For information only. How our model works →
Instituto arrive as the side to beat
Instituto Córdoba travel to La Plata with momentum and a clear lead in the Clausura Group A standings: they have 32 points from 14 matches, while Estudiantes L.P. have 14 from the same number and sit 11th. That makes Instituto the form team, but the venue and recent meetings give Estudiantes a route to trouble the visitors in this Liga Profesional Argentina round-15 fixture.
The contrast is striking. Instituto have won four of their last five, scoring 11 goals and conceding four. Estudiantes have taken a less convincing path, with eight goals scored and nine conceded across their last five. Yet Estudiantes have been much stronger at home over the season than away: nine wins in 16 home matches, compared with four in 15 on the road.
Recent form points to Instituto
Instituto’s last five results show a team carrying confidence into the trip, and their overall season record is also stronger: 16 wins in 30 matches, against Estudiantes’ 13 wins in 31. The visitors have scored 38 league goals this season; Estudiantes have 36.
The home side, however, have conceded only 10 goals in 16 home games. That defensive record offers a useful counterweight to Instituto’s recent attacking surge, particularly if Estudiantes can make their home advantage count.
Estudiantes have the recent edge
The latest three meetings have been close, and Estudiantes have avoided defeat in all of them. They won 1-0 away at Instituto in April 2026, after a 3-2 home victory in October 2024 and a goalless draw in May 2023. That sequence gives the hosts a credible basis for believing they can disrupt Instituto’s momentum again.
No listed absences
There are no absences listed for either side, leaving the focus on how the teams’ contrasting form and home-away records play out on the pitch.
Goals from both sides
Instituto’s recent output is the obvious threat: 11 goals in five matches, with their season total reaching 38. Estudiantes’ home scoring record is also notable, with 24 goals in 16 matches. Their overall tally is close to Instituto’s despite having played one more game, so the hosts have enough attacking production to make this a contest rather than simply defend.
Our prediction
Instituto’s current run makes them dangerous, but Estudiantes’ home strength and record in the recent head-to-head point towards a narrow home win. PreviaXI’s model also favours Estudiantes, with the home side’s defensive record at Estadio Jorge Luis Hirschi helping tip a likely tight match their way.
Estudiantes L.P. 1-0 Instituto Cordoba
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