Major League Soccer · Matchday 31 
Our pick1–2Missed
New York Red Bulls vs Inter Miami: Can the winning run roll on?
Inter Miami head to Harrison second in the East and in good form, while the Red Bulls look to stop a slide in front of their own supporters.
📍 Sports Illustrated Stadium
Match report
Goals
- 7'Carlos Henrique Casimiro (o.g.) · New York Red Bulls
- 90+1'Emil Forsberg · Cameron Harper · New York Red Bulls
Cards
- 80'Julian Bazan · New York Red Bulls
- 90+4'Santiago Morales · Inter Miami
Match stats
⭐ Top-rated player: E. Forsberg (New York Red Bulls) 7.7
Ratings and statistics: API-Football.
Confirmed lineups
New York Red Bulls · 4-3-3
- 34E. HorvathG
- 12D. NealisD
- 26T. ParkerD
- 14J. BazánD
- 59D. PadelfordD
- 48R. DonkorM
- 15A. MehmetiM
- 37M. SofoM
- 7C. CowellF
- 16J. HallF
- 11J. RuvalcabaF
Coach: Michael Bradley
Inter Miami · 4-3-3
- 97D. St. ClairG
- 2G. LujánD
- 5CasemiroD
- 16MicaelD
- 3ReguilónD
- 7R. De PaulM
- 22D. AyalaM
- 80M. GalarzaM
- 11Riquelme FillipiF
- 9L. SuárezF
- 19G. BerterameF
Coach: Kily González
Match facts
Recent form
Last 5 league games, latest on the right
Goals per game
| · | Scored | Conceded |
|---|---|---|
| New York Red Bulls | 1.3 | 1.9 |
| Inter Miami | 2.4 | 1.7 |
League position
| Pos | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Inter Miami | 30 | +22 | 55 |
| 9 | New York Red Bulls | 30 | -17 | 36 |
Last meetings
- 2026Inter Miami2-2New York Red Bulls
- 2025New York Red Bulls1-5Inter Miami
- 2025Inter Miami4-1New York Red Bulls
- 2024Inter Miami6-2New York Red Bulls
- 2024New York Red Bulls4-0Inter Miami
Absences
New York Red Bulls
- OutA. Marcucci · Knee Injury
Inter Miami
- OutT. Allende · Knee Injury
- OutM. Falcon · Yellow Cards
- OutM. Silvetti · Injury
- DoubtfulF. Caicedo · Lower-Body Injury
PreviaXI model
- Predicted score
- 1-2
- Expected goals (model)
- 1.78 – 2.15
- Double chance
- 12 · 79%1X 53% · X2 68%
- Over 2.5 goals
- 75%
- Both teams score
- 74%
- Expected corners
- 8.84.7 – 4.1 · Over 9.5: 39%
- Expected cards
- 4.42.0 – 2.4 · Over 3.5: 64%
Statistical model based on expected goals (xG), results and match statistics from the last two seasons. For information only. How our model works →
Inter Miami and New York Red Bulls drew 2-2 in April, and goals have been plentiful between these sides for two seasons. Now Miami arrive at Sports Illustrated Stadium with momentum on their side, and the question is whether they can keep it going.
Miami’s momentum against a host in search of form
Inter Miami sit second in the Eastern Conference with 55 points from 30 matches. The Red Bulls are ninth on 36 points, with a goal difference of minus 17. For Miami, every away trip is a chance to stretch their lead over the chasing pack. For the home side, the match is about getting back into the mix before the season runs out.
Away life in Miami’s favour
Miami’s road record has been one of the strongest in the league. They have won nine of their 15 away games this season and scored 32 goals on their travels. In their last five matches overall, they have scored 12 times and conceded only five.
The Red Bulls have struggled to build momentum. They have scored six and conceded eight in their last five, and their season has yielded 10 wins and 14 defeats.
Miami’s edge in recent meetings
Miami have the better head-to-head record over the last five meetings, winning three, drawing one and losing one. Their 5-1 win in Harrison in July 2025 and their 6-2 victory in May 2024 stand out. The Red Bulls’ only win in that run was a 4-0 result in March 2024. Across those five games, Miami have scored 17 goals and conceded 10.
Absences on both sides
The Red Bulls are without A. Marcucci, who is out with a knee injury. Miami face a bigger list of absences. T. Allende is out with a knee injury, M. Silvetti is sidelined through injury, and M. Falcon is unavailable after accumulating yellow cards. F. Caicedo is a doubt with a lower-body problem.
Our prediction
PreviaXI’s model favours Inter Miami, and the numbers point to a game that could be open and high-scoring. Miami’s away attack has been consistent all season, and the Red Bulls have conceded regularly in recent weeks, so the visitors should create enough chances to edge the contest. The home side have enough threat to make it a close game, but Miami’s away form gives them the edge.
New York Red Bulls 1-2 Inter Miami
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