Major League Soccer · Matchday 31 
Our pick1–0Correct result
Columbus Crew vs Toronto FC: one point, one edge
Columbus Crew and Toronto FC are separated by a single point, and Saturday's meeting could decide who gains the upper hand in a tight part of the table. The home side arrives with the better recent run.
📍 ScottsMiracle-Gro Field
Match report
Goals
- 16'Gonzalo Tapia · Mohamed Farsi · Columbus Crew
- 21'Malte Amundsen · Dylan Chambost · Columbus Crew
- 48'Malte Amundsen · Dylan Chambost · Columbus Crew
- 59'Brooks Lennon · Dylan Chambost · Columbus Crew
- 69'Dániel Sallói · Theo Corbeanu · Toronto FC
- 81'Josh Sargent · Emilio Aristizábal · Toronto FC
Cards
- 32'Sekou Tidiany Bangoura · Columbus Crew
- 70'Sekou Tidiany Bangoura · Columbus Crew
Match stats
⭐ Top-rated player: D. Chambost (Columbus Crew) 9.3
Ratings and statistics: API-Football.
Confirmed lineups
Columbus Crew · 4-4-2
- 28P. SchulteG
- 23M. FarsiD
- 31S. MoreiraD
- 25S. ZawadzkiD
- 18M. AmundsenD
- 21A. ZarouryM
- 17S. BangouraM
- 7D. ChambostM
- 8S. RodríguezM
- 16T. HabrouneF
- 33G. TapiaF
Coach: L. Courtois
Toronto FC · 4-4-2
- 1L. GavranG
- 22R. LaryeaD
- 13B. KuscevicD
- 12Z. MonlouisD
- 3Matheus PereiraD
- 7T. CorbeanuM
- 21J. OsorioM
- 6N. DorschM
- 10D. MihailovićM
- 9J. SargentF
- 90L. MorganF
Coach: R. Fraser
Match facts
Recent form
Last 5 league games, latest on the right
Goals per game
| · | Scored | Conceded |
|---|---|---|
| Columbus Crew | 1.5 | 1.6 |
| Toronto FC | 1.5 | 1.8 |
League position
| Pos | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Toronto FC | 30 | -9 | 36 |
| 11 | Columbus Crew | 30 | -1 | 35 |
Last meetings
- 2026Toronto FC2-1Columbus Crew
- 2025Columbus Crew1-1Toronto FC
- 2025Toronto FC1-1Columbus Crew
- 2025Columbus CrewNone-NoneToronto FC
- 2024Toronto FC0-2Columbus Crew
Absences
Columbus Crew
- OutW. Abou Ali · Knee Injury
- DoubtfulR. Camacho · Chest Injury
- DoubtfulT. Habroune · Injury
Toronto FC
- OutK. Franklin · Shoulder Injury
- OutN. Palacio · Lower-Body Injury
- OutW. Zimmerman · Ankle Injury
PreviaXI model
- Predicted score
- 1-0
- Expected goals (model)
- 1.63 – 0.94
- Double chance
- 1X · 79%12 74% · X2 47%
- Over 2.5 goals
- 47%
- Both teams score
- 49%
- Expected corners
- 9.76.6 – 3.1 · Over 9.5: 50%
- Expected cards
- 3.61.6 – 2.0 · Over 3.5: 49%
Statistical model based on expected goals (xG), results and match statistics from the last two seasons. For information only. How our model works →
Just one point separates Columbus Crew and Toronto FC, and on Saturday the winner could open a small but meaningful gap in a congested part of the table.
One point between two sides under pressure
Toronto sit 10th with 36 points, while Columbus are 11th with 35. The goal difference tells a sharper story: Toronto are nine goals adrift, Columbus only one. Neither side can afford to slip further from the top half, and three points on Saturday would change the mood around either camp.
Form pointing in different directions
Columbus are in better rhythm. Their last five league results read WWLWW, and they have scored 11 times in that run while conceding five. Toronto have collected WDWLL, with eight goals scored and nine conceded. Over the season, Columbus have won seven of their 15 home games and scored 22 goals at home. Toronto have won only three of 14 away matches, scoring 12 times on the road.
Recent meetings, few clear winners
The rivalry has been finely balanced. Toronto beat Columbus 2-1 in March, while the two sides shared 1-1 draws in 2025. Columbus’s most recent win in this fixture came in September 2024, when they won 2-0 at Toronto.
Late goals on both sides of the ledger
Late drama runs through both teams’ seasons. Toronto have scored 17 of their 46 goals between the 76th and 90th minutes, while Columbus have conceded 12 of their 47 in that same window. Whoever holds their nerve in the final quarter may well settle this one.
Toronto’s absentees and Columbus’s doubts
Toronto will be without three players: K. Franklin (shoulder), N. Palacio (lower body) and W. Zimmerman (ankle) are all ruled out. Columbus lose W. Abou Ali to a knee injury, while R. Camacho (chest) and T. Habroune (injury) are doubts heading into the game.
Our prediction
PreviaXI’s model also favours Columbus, and the numbers match what the season has shown. The home side has been the more productive team, and their defence has kept more clean sheets (six, four of them at home) than Toronto’s (four, all away). Expect a tight, cagey contest in which Columbus’s ability to protect a narrow lead should prove decisive.
Columbus Crew 1-0 Toronto FC
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