Copa del Rey · Round of 128 
Our pick1–0
Sant Andreu have won three of the last five meetings with Manresa — what that history tells us
Sant Andreu arrive with the recent edge in direct meetings, but Manresa's home form and PreviaXI's model point to a tight cup upset. Expect a low-scoring, physical tie decided by small margins.
Preview written:
Match report
In the Copa del Rey Round of 128, the match finished 2-2 after extra time before being decided on penalties. Sant Andreu took the lead deep into stoppage and extra time through P. Agudin (93, assist S. Armero) and A. G. Garcia (105, assist E. Lucas). Manresa responded late with a penalty converted by D. Momoh (116, penalty) and an equaliser by R. Munells (119). No red cards were shown. The tie went to a shootout, which Sant Andreu won 4-1 on penalties.
The final scoreboard reads 2-2 (PEN), with a 1-4 penalty shootout in favour of Sant Andreu. Before kickoff the PreviaXI model had predicted 1-0 with a 44% chance for a Manresa win, 27% draw and 29% for an away win.
Goals
- 93'P. Agudin · S. Armero · Sant Andreu
- 105'A. G. Garcia · E. Lucas · Sant Andreu
- 116'D. Momoh (pen.) · Manresa
- 119'R. Munells · Manresa
Cards
- 78'J. De Leon · Sant Andreu
- 80'E. Lucas · Sant Andreu
- 114'D. Torices · Sant Andreu
- 120+1'R. Martinez Elvir · Manresa
- 120+2'A. G. Garcia · Sant Andreu
Match facts
Goals per game
| · | Scored | Conceded |
|---|---|---|
| Manresa | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Sant Andreu | 0.0 | 0.0 |
Last meetings
- 2026Sant Andreu3-1Manresa
- 2024Sant Andreu3-2Manresa
- 2024Sant Andreu0-0Manresa
- 2023Manresa1-1Sant Andreu
- 2022Manresa4-0Sant Andreu
PreviaXI model
Model confidence: Open game
- Predicted score
- 1-0
- Expected goals (model)
- 1.44 – 1.11
- Double chance
- 12 · 73%1X 71% · X2 56%
- Over 2.5 goals
- 47%Over 1.5: 73% · Over 3.5: 25%
- Both teams score
- 52%
- Clean sheet
- 33% – 24%Manresa–Sant Andreu
- Half-time result
- X · 43%1 33% · 2 24%
- Half-time / full-time
- 1/1 · 26%X/X 17% · 2/2 16%
- Expected corners
- 9.65.3 – 4.3 · Over 9.5: 49%
- Expected cards
- 4.11.9 – 2.2 · Over 3.5: 58%
- Most likely scores
- 1-113%
- 1-011%
- 2-19%
- 0-08%
- 2-08%
Statistical model based on expected goals (xG), results and match statistics from the last two seasons. For information only. How our model works →
Sant Andreu have won three of the last five meetings against Manresa.
Cup context and what’s at stake
This is a Round of 128 Copa del Rey clash between two Catalan clubs playing in different tiers: Manresa are competing in Segunda División RFEF - Group 2 while Sant Andreu play a division above in Primera División RFEF - Group 2. A win sends the victor into the first proper rounds of the cup and offers a chance for lower-league Manresa to claim a notable scalp.
Momentum and recent form
Manresa sit fifth in their group with 14 points from eight matches and a domestic form string shown as WDDWL. Sant Andreu are 15th in their group with nine points from nine games and a recent run of LDLDW. Both sides bring mixed league form into the tie — Manresa have been steady at home this season, while Sant Andreu’s results suggest they can be inconsistent on the road.
What the meetings show
The recent head-to-head record favours Sant Andreu: three wins in the last five encounters, including two friendly victories by 3-1 (2026) and 3-2 (2024). Competitive league meetings were tighter — a 0-0 in March 2024 and a 1-1 in October 2023 — and Manresa recorded a 4-0 home victory back in January 2022. The pattern is clear: Sant Andreu have had the upper hand in friendlies and several recent clashes, but league matches between these teams tend to be close and low-scoring.
Tactical outlook and match shape
Past scores suggest this cup tie will be tight. The recent competitive meetings include draws and clean sheets, pointing to disciplined defending and narrow margins. PreviaXI’s numbers also forecast a low-scoring game with Manresa marginally stronger in expected chances, so a single goal could be decisive. Expect a physical encounter where set-pieces and small tactical details matter.
Our prediction
Manresa’s home setting and a slightly higher expected-goals projection make a narrow victory plausible despite Sant Andreu’s recent head-to-head edge. Given the low-scoring tone of recent competitive meetings, this looks like a match to be decided by one goal.
Manresa 1-0 Sant Andreu
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