1–6 Full time Saturday 24 October

Our pick1–2Correct result

Willem II vs Cambuur Preview: Tilburg Side Still Chasing a First League Win

Willem II have yet to win a league match this season and sit bottom of the Eredivisie. Cambuur arrive in Tilburg unbeaten in their last five games, which makes Saturday a tough test for the hosts.

📍 Koning Willem II Stadion

All Matchday 10 matches

Match report

Cambuur won 6-1 at Willem II (final score 1-6) in Round 10 of the Eredivisie. Nicolas Binder opened the scoring in the 9th minute, assisted by Morgan Costarelli, and Ilyes Hamache doubled the lead in the 13th minute, also assisted by Costarelli. Ismaël Baouf made it 3-0 in the 18th minute, with Rafik El Arguioui providing the assist. Binder scored again in the 58th minute, assisted by Hamache, and El Arguioui found the net in the 62nd. Anass Zarrouk pulled one back for Willem II in the 82nd minute, assisted by Devin Haen, before Jason Ceka completed the scoring in the 89th minute, assisted by Wiebe Kooistra. No red cards were shown.

Possession was almost level at 52% for Willem II and 48% for Cambuur, but Cambuur had 19 shots to Willem II's 11 and 11 shots on target to 2. Cambuur's expected goals total of 1.94 comp

Goals

9'Nicolas Binder · Morgan Costarelli · Cambuur
13'Ilyes Hamache · Morgan Costarelli · Cambuur
18'Ismaël Baouf · Rafik El Arguioui · Cambuur
58'Nicolas Binder · Ilyes Hamache · Cambuur
62'Rafik El Arguioui · Cambuur
82'Anass Zarrouk · Devin Haen · Willem II
89'Jason Ceka · Wiebe Kooistra · Cambuur

Cards

45+2'Jaden Slory · Willem II
53'Hidde ter Avest · Willem II

Match stats

Willem IICambuur

52%Possession48%

11Shots19

2Shots on target11

1.08Expected goals (xG)1.94

13Corners4

17Fouls10

5Saves1

⭐ Top-rated player: N. Binder (Cambuur) 9

Ratings and statistics: API-Football.

Confirmed lineups

Willem II · 4-2-3-1

1T. DidillonG
5H. ter AvestD
3F. StamD
23M. DekkerD
24N. Tjoe-A-OnD
6C. TwigtM
52T. VilhenaM
7J. SloryM
19Uriel van AalstM
32V. van CrooijM
9D. HaenF

Coach: A. Koster

Cambuur · 4-2-3-1

1T. JansenG
16R. MuldersD
4I. BaoufD
14B. van DuijlD
28M. CostarelliD
33M. MaertensM
8N. SourenM
30J. ÇekaM
10R. El ArguiouiM
11I. HamacheM
13N. BinderF

Coach: J. Plat

Match facts

Recent form

Willem IIDLLLL

CambuurDWDWD

Last 5 league games, latest on the right

Goals per game

·	Scored	Conceded
Willem II	1.0	2.9
Cambuur	1.4	2.3

League position

Pos	Team	P	GD	Pts
14	Cambuur	9	-8	9
18	Willem II	9	-17	2

Last meetings

2025Willem II0-1Cambuur
2025Cambuur2-2Willem II
2024Willem II1-1Cambuur
2023Cambuur1-0Willem II
2022Cambuur1-1Willem II

Absences

Willem II

OutA. Culum · Foot Injury
OutT. Didillon Hodl · Hamstring Injury
OutJ. Hoogma · Knee Injury
OutA. Lachkar · Groin Injury
OutW. van der Steen · Inactive

Cambuur

OutJ. Amofa · Injury
OutW. Asselman · Injury
OutD. Bouah · Red Card
OutD. Visser · Knee Injury

PreviaXI model

Willem II34%Draw24%Cambuur42%

Predicted score: 1-2
Expected goals (model): 1.66 – 1.86
Double chance: 12 · 76%1X 58% · X2 66%
Over 2.5 goals: 68%
Both teams score: 70%
Expected corners: 9.85.3 – 4.5 · Over 9.5: 52%
Expected cards: 3.21.4 – 1.8 · Over 3.5: 40%

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG), results and match statistics from the last two seasons. For information only. How our model works →

Willem II have yet to win a league match this season, and with two points from nine games they sit bottom of the Eredivisie. Saturday’s visit of Cambuur to the Koning Willem II Stadion is the kind of fixture that can start a climb out of the relegation zone, but the visitors are in far better shape.

Cambuur’s steadier hand

Willem II have managed just one point from their last five league games, and they have conceded 13 goals in that run while scoring only five. Cambuur, sitting 14th with nine points, have not lost in their last five, winning twice and drawing three. They have scored nine times in that spell and conceded five, a sign of a side that has found its balance.

The hosts’ problems run deeper than one bad week. Willem II have conceded 26 goals this season, and nine of those came between the 61st and 75th minutes. They have also struggled to close out games early, though four of their nine goals have arrived in the final 15 minutes, showing they can still hurt a team late.

Head-to-head

Willem II have not beaten Cambuur in their last five meetings. The visitors won the most recent one 1-0 in Tilburg in December, and they took the 2023 fixture 1-0 as well. The other three games ended in draws, including a 2-2 in September, so the rivalry has been tight but never kind to the home side.

Team news

Willem II will be without A. Culum (foot injury), T. Didillon Hodl (hamstring), J. Hoogma (knee), A. Lachkar (groin) and W. van der Steen, who is inactive. Cambuur are missing J. Amofa and W. Asselman through injury, D. Visser with a knee problem, and D. Bouah, who is absent after a red card.

Our prediction

PreviaXI’s model favours Cambuur, and the football reasoning backs that up. The visitors have been the more reliable side on both ends of the pitch recently, and they have been stronger away from home than Willem II have been at their own ground. The hosts have a habit of letting goals in during the middle stages, and that could be decisive again. Still, Willem II have shown they can score late, so this should be an open game in which both sides find the net.

Willem II 1-2 Cambuur

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