2–3 Full time Saturday 24 October

Our pick1–2Correct result

ADO Den Haag vs Heerenveen: A Survival Test at Bingoal Stadion

ADO Den Haag have yet to keep a clean sheet this season and sit 17th in the Eredivisie. Heerenveen arrive eighth and in steadier form, with a chance to widen the gap at the bottom.

📍 Bingoal Stadion

All Matchday 10 matches

Match report

Heerenveen beat ADO Den Haag 3-2 in Round 10 of the Eredivisie. Jacob Trenskow opened the scoring in the 24th minute, assisted by Maxence Rivera. Ringo Meerveld doubled the lead in the 51st minute, assisted by Oliver Johansen Braude. Nigel Thomas pulled one back for ADO Den Haag in the 57th minute, but Trenskow restored Heerenveen's two-goal advantage in the 66th, again assisted by Rivera. Thomas scored his second in the 72nd minute, assisted by Evan Rottier, but the score finished 3-2 to Heerenveen.

ADO Den Haag had 53% of the possession, 23 shots to 15 and 8 corners to 2, while their xG of 2.9 edged Heerenveen's 2.5. Heerenveen were more clinical, though, and their goalkeeper made five saves while ADO Den Haag had seven shots on target to their five. The top-rated player was J. Trenskow of Heerenveen, with a 9.2 rating. Before kickoff, the PreviaXI model had given Heerenveen a 48% chance of winning and predicted a 1-2 scoreline, so the away win matched that view, although the margin was wider.

Goals

24'Jacob Trenskow · Maxence Rivera · Heerenveen
51'Ringo Meerveld · Oliver Johansen Braude · Heerenveen
57'Nigel Thomas · ADO Den Haag
66'Jacob Trenskow · Maxence Rivera · Heerenveen
72'Nigel Thomas · Evan Rottier · ADO Den Haag

Cards

59'Yannick Fereira Eduardo · ADO Den Haag

Match stats

ADO Den HaagHeerenveen

53%Possession47%

23Shots15

7Shots on target5

2.90Expected goals (xG)2.50

8Corners2

19Fouls7

3Offsides3

2Saves5

⭐ Top-rated player: J. Trenskow (Heerenveen) 9.2

Ratings and statistics: API-Football.

Confirmed lineups

ADO Den Haag · 4-4-2

1K. NikiémaG
5J. Jensen-AbbewD
3P. MulderD
4M. WaemD
18S. SyllaD
17J. HawkinsM
33M. ŠínM
25J. KiloM
11E. RottierM
9J. BalF
46Y. EduardoF

Coach: R. Peter

Heerenveen · 4-2-3-1

1B. KlaverboerG
45O. BraudeD
4S. KerstenD
3M. WillemsenD
19V. ZagaritisD
16M. LindayM
8N. CourtensM
20J. TrenskowM
10R. MeerveldM
7M. RiveraM
9D. VenteF

Coach: R. Veldeman

Match facts

Recent form

ADO Den HaagLLDDW

HeerenveenLDWLW

Last 5 league games, latest on the right

Goals per game

·	Scored	Conceded
ADO Den Haag	1.2	2.2
Heerenveen	1.7	1.2

League position

Pos	Team	P	GD	Pts
8	Heerenveen	9	+4	12
17	ADO Den Haag	9	-9	6

Last meetings

2021Heerenveen3-0ADO Den Haag
2020ADO Den Haag1-1Heerenveen
2020Heerenveen2-2ADO Den Haag
2019ADO Den Haag1-1Heerenveen
2019ADO Den Haag2-3Heerenveen

Absences

ADO Den Haag

OutL. Reischl · Groin Injury
DoubtfulD. Barany · Thigh Injury

Heerenveen

DoubtfulD. Proper · Hamstring Injury

PreviaXI model

ADO Den Haag25%Draw27%Heerenveen48%

Predicted score: 1-2
Expected goals (model): 1.16 – 1.65
Double chance: X2 · 75%1X 52% · 12 73%
Over 2.5 goals: 53%
Both teams score: 57%
Expected corners: 9.24.3 – 4.9 · Over 9.5: 44%
Expected cards: 3.01.4 – 1.6 · Over 3.5: 33%

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG), results and match statistics from the last two seasons. For information only. How our model works →

ADO Den Haag have yet to keep a clean sheet in nine Eredivisie matches, and that statistic captures the problem facing them as they host Heerenveen at Bingoal Stadion on Saturday. Sitting 17th of 18 with six points, they need a turnaround before the gap to safety grows any wider.

Scrambling out of the drop zone

Six points from nine games leave ADO in the relegation zone, and a goal difference of minus nine shows how often they have been caught out at the back. Heerenveen, eighth with 12 points, have a positive goal difference of four. For the hosts, every home result from here carries real weight.

Form: Heerenveen the steadier side

ADO’s only win of the season came at home, and they have collected seven goals in their last five outings while conceding nine. Heerenveen have been more productive, scoring ten and conceding five across their last five, with a run of two wins, a draw and two defeats. Their away record of one win, two draws and one defeat in four trips has been solid enough to suggest they can handle a difficult road.

Head-to-head: Heerenveen have had the upper hand

Heerenveen have won two of the last five meetings and drawn three. ADO have not beaten them in that spell, and the most recent meeting between the sides ended in a 3-0 Heerenveen win in 2021.

Team news

ADO will be without L. Reischl, who is out with a groin injury, while D. Barany is doubtful with a thigh problem. Heerenveen face a fitness question of their own over D. Proper, who is doubtful with a hamstring injury.

Our prediction

PreviaXI’s model favours Heerenveen, and the football behind that lean makes sense. Heerenveen have been the more potent attacking side and have shown more consistency on the road, while ADO’s defensive problems mean they struggle to stop opponents scoring. Expect the hosts to create chances and probably find the net, but Heerenveen’s sharper edge should be enough to take the points.

ADO Den Haag 1-2 Heerenveen

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