1–1 Full time Saturday 24 October

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Utrecht vs PEC Zwolle preview: Galgenwaard hosts a side that has struggled to beat them

Utrecht have not lost to PEC Zwolle in their last five Eredivisie meetings, and they host a Zwolle side still searching for form. Saturday's clash at Stadion Galgenwaard could tilt the table in the middle and bottom of the league.

📍 Stadion Galgenwaard

All Matchday 10 matches

Match report

Utrecht and PEC Zwolle drew 1-1 in round 10 of the Eredivisie Regular Season. PEC Zwolle took the lead in the 72nd minute through Elias Sörensen, assisted by Thijs Oosting. Utrecht equalised in added time, with S. van Duijn scoring in the 90+1st minute. No red cards were shown in the match.

Utrecht had the bulk of the possession at 60% and dominated the shot count, 23 to 9, with 7 corners to 2. Their expected goals total was 1.66 against 0.95 for PEC Zwolle, while both sides managed 5 shots on target. S. van Duijn was the top-rated player with 8.2. Compared with the pre-match view, the model had predicted a 2-1 Utrecht win, with probabilities of 58% for a home win, 24% for a draw and 18% for an away win, so the 1-1 draw was the second most likely outcome.

Goals

72'Elias Sörensen · Thijs Oosting · PEC Zwolle
90+1'S. van Duijn · Utrecht

Cards

26'Oualid Agougil · Utrecht
76'Gilles Van Der Wal · PEC Zwolle
87'Tobias Sommer · PEC Zwolle
89'Joris van Overeem · Utrecht

Match stats

UtrechtPEC Zwolle

60%Possession40%

23Shots9

5Shots on target5

1.66Expected goals (xG)0.95

7Corners2

11Fouls8

2Offsides2

4Saves4

⭐ Top-rated player: S. van Duijn (Utrecht) 8.2

Ratings and statistics: API-Football.

Confirmed lineups

Utrecht · 4-2-3-1

22S. PadtG
2S. HoremansD
3M. DiddenD
5N. PanagiotouD
92A. ZagréD
8J. van OvereemM
38O. AgougilM
23N. VesterlundM
10Y. CathlineM
11Ángel AlarcónM
20D. de WitF

Coach: A. Correia

PEC Zwolle · 4-2-3-1

1J. SchendelaarG
3O. AertssenD
28S. GravesD
24N. ViergeverD
33D. van der HaarD
30R. ThomasM
8T. SommerM
37Gilles van der WalM
25T. OostingM
11D. MbayoM
17S. van HooijdonkF

Coach: Henry van der Vegt

Match facts

Recent form

UtrechtDWLWW

PEC ZwolleDLLLW

Last 5 league games, latest on the right

Goals per game

·	Scored	Conceded
Utrecht	1.8	2.9
PEC Zwolle	1.1	2.4

League position

Pos	Team	P	GD	Pts
11	Utrecht	9	-10	11
15	PEC Zwolle	9	-12	7

Last meetings

2026Utrecht1-1PEC Zwolle
2025PEC Zwolle0-2Utrecht
2025PEC Zwolle3-3Utrecht
2024Utrecht1-0PEC Zwolle
2024Utrecht5-1PEC Zwolle

Absences

Utrecht

OutA. Engwanda · Hamstring Injury
OutV. Jensen · Knee Injury
OutM. Jonathans · Knee Injury
OutN. Ohio · Knee Injury
OutK. Paredes · Knee Injury
OutA. Stepanov · Ankle Injury

PEC Zwolle

OutF. Krastev · Achilles Tendon Injury
OutY. Namli · Knee Injury
DoubtfulS. Floranus · Injury

PreviaXI model

Utrecht58%Draw24%PEC Zwolle18%

Predicted score: 2-1
Expected goals (model): 2.02 – 1.06
Double chance: 1X · 82%12 76% · X2 42%
Over 2.5 goals: 59%
Both teams score: 58%
Expected corners: 10.06.4 – 3.6 · Over 9.5: 54%
Expected cards: 3.01.2 – 1.8 · Over 3.5: 36%

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG), results and match statistics from the last two seasons. For information only. How our model works →

Two sides still searching for stability

Utrecht sit 11th in the 18-team Eredivisie with 11 points from nine matches, while PEC Zwolle are 15th with seven. Neither side has yet found the consistency needed to settle in the middle of the table, and both have conceded more than they would like. A home win on Saturday would give Utrecht a useful cushion, while Zwolle need points badly to climb out of the lower reaches.

Utrecht’s unbeaten run over Zwolle

History is on the home side’s side. Utrecht have not lost to Zwolle in their last five Eredivisie meetings, winning three and drawing two. The most emphatic result was a 5-1 win at Galgenwaard in April 2024, and Utrecht also won 1-0 there in August 2024. Their most recent victory came in Zwolle in August 2025, a 2-0 win. Across those five matches, Utrecht scored 12 goals and conceded five.

The sequence has not been comfortable every time. The 3-3 draw in February 2025 showed how quickly Zwolle can hit back, and the 1-1 draw at Galgenwaard in February 2026 was the last time these two sides met.

Form: goals up front, leaks at the back

Utrecht’s recent results have been mixed but not poor. They have won three of their last five league games, drawing one and losing one, and they have scored ten goals in that spell. The problem has been defending, with 11 conceded in the same five matches.

Zwolle’s recent form is harder to watch. They have won only once in their last five, drawing one and losing three, and they have scored just six goals while conceding 14. Their five-game return underlines why they sit where they do in the table.

Knocks on both benches

Utrecht will be without six players. Four of them are knee problems: V. Jensen, M. Jonathans, N. Ohio and K. Paredes. A. Engwanda is out with a hamstring injury and A. Stepanov with an ankle problem.

Zwolle also have to manage a depleted squad. F. Krastev is out with an Achilles tendon injury and Y. Namli with a knee problem. S. Floranus is a doubt because of an injury.

Our prediction

PreviaXI’s model also favours Utrecht, and the football behind that lean makes sense. The home side have the more productive recent attack, and Zwolle have struggled to keep out goals on their travels and at home. Utrecht’s absentees will hurt, but their record against this opponent gives them a clear edge. The game could be open, with both sides capable of scoring, but Utrecht should have enough to edge a tight contest.

Utrecht 2-1 PEC Zwolle

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