Championship · Matchday 14 
Southampton’s unbeaten run against West Brom faces a Hawthorns test
Southampton have avoided defeat in each of their last five meetings with West Brom. With only a point separating the sides in the Championship, that record adds an extra edge to a tightly poised contest.
📍 The Hawthorns
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All Matchday 14 matchesFull head-to-head
Match facts
Recent form
Last 5 league games, latest on the right
Goals per game
| · | Scored | Conceded |
|---|---|---|
| West Brom | 1.5 | 1.1 |
| Southampton | 2.2 | 1.0 |
PreviaXI model
Model confidence: Open game
- Predicted score
- 0-1
- Expected goals (model)
- 1.29 – 1.34
- Double chance
- 12 · 72%1X 63% · X2 65%
- Over 2.5 goals
- 49%Over 1.5: 75% · Over 3.5: 27%
- Both teams score
- 54%
- Clean sheet
- 26% – 27%West Brom–Southampton
- Half-time result
- X · 43%1 28% · 2 29%
- Half-time / full-time
- 2/2 · 22%1/1 20% · X/X 17%
- Expected corners
- 10.35.8 – 4.5 · Over 9.5: 57%
- Expected cards
- 3.81.9 – 1.9 · Over 3.5: 54%
- Most likely scores
- 1-113%
- 0-19%
- 1-09%
- 1-28%
- 2-18%
Statistical model based on expected goals (xG), results and match statistics from the last two seasons. For information only. How our model works →
Why the model sees a close match
- Power ratings: West Brom +0.07 goals per game (8th of 24 in Championship), Southampton +0.44 (4th).
- West Brom's attack (1.26 goals per game) meets Southampton's defence (1.25 conceded per game).
- Southampton's attack (1.69) meets West Brom's defence (1.19).
- Home advantage in this competition: home sides score about 22% more goals.
- Put together, the model expects 1.29 – 1.34 goals: West Brom 35%, draw 28%, Southampton 37%.
Key trends
- Southampton are unbeaten in the last 6 meetings with West Brom.
- Southampton are unbeaten in their last 5 matches.
Absences
West Brom
- OutT. Collyer · Injury
- OutN. Galves · Knee Injury
- OutM. Johnston · Broken Leg
Southampton
- DoubtfulC. Larin · Hamstring Injury
Injury and suspension list from our data provider, updated every 6 hours. It can change before kick-off.
Chance to score
West Brom
- I. Price6 goals in 14 games25%
- J. Morgan6 goals in 14 games24%
- A. Heggebø3 goals in 12 games13%
Southampton
- C. Larin8 goals in 13 games27%
- Léo Scienza3 goals in 13 games12%
- F. Azaz3 goals in 14 games11%
Model estimate: each player’s season goals per minute compared with his team’s, applied to the model’s expected goals for this match and his usual minutes. Players listed as out are left out.
Season stats
| · | West Brom | Southampton | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| · | All | Home | All | Away |
| Won-drawn-lost | 7-3-3 | 3-2-1 | 8-3-2 | 2-2-2 |
| Goals scored per game | 1.46 | 1.50 | 2.15 | 1.33 |
| Goals conceded per game | 1.08 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.33 |
| xG per game | 1.41 | 1.55 | 1.76 | 1.55 |
| xG against per game | 1.44 | 1.14 | 1.30 | 1.32 |
| Scored in | 85% | 83% | 92% | 100% |
| Clean sheets | 15% | 17% | 23% | 17% |
| Failed to score | 15% | 17% | 8% | 0% |
| Both teams scored | 69% | 67% | 77% | 83% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 69% | 67% | 77% | 83% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 46% | 33% | 62% | 50% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 31% | 33% | 46% | 17% |
| Shots per game | 12.2 | 14.3 | 15.5 | 16.0 |
| Shots on target per game | 3.6 | 4.2 | 4.9 | 4.8 |
| Shots on target | 30% | 29% | 32% | 30% |
| Possession | 55% | 59% | 56% | 59% |
| Passes per game | 507.3 | 553.5 | 494.4 | 506.5 |
| Pass accuracy | 85% | – | 86% | 86% |
| Corners per game | 5.8 | 6.0 | 5.4 | 5.2 |
| Corners against per game | 6.1 | 4.7 | 4.9 | 5.3 |
| Cards per game | 1.8 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 2.2 |
| Fouls per game | 9.7 | 9.7 | 8.3 | 8.3 |
League matches this season (Championship). Per-game averages; % = share of matches.
When goals come
West Brom
- 0-151 / 2
- 16-303 / 0
- 31-453 / 1
- 46-602 / 2
- 61-754 / 3
- 76-90+5 / 3
Southampton
- 0-154 / 2
- 16-302 / 3
- 31-456 / 1
- 46-604 / 2
- 61-752 / 1
- 76-90+7 / 2
Usual formation: 4-2-3-1
Goals scored (green) and conceded (orange) by 15-minute period, league matches this season.
Championship table
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Middlesbrough | 13 | +13 | 28 |
| 2 |  Swansea | 13 | +7 | 26 |
| 3 |  Wolves | 13 | +7 | 24 |
| 4 |  West Brom | 13 | +5 | 24 |
| 5 |  Southampton | 13 | +15 | 23 |
| 6 |  Birmingham | 13 | +10 | 23 |
| 7 |  Stoke City | 13 | +4 | 23 |
| 8 |  West Ham | 13 | +15 | 22 |
| 9 |  QPR | 13 | +5 | 20 |
| 10 |  Sheffield Utd | 13 | +2 | 19 |
| 11 |  Portsmouth | 13 | +1 | 19 |
| 12 |  Millwall | 13 | +2 | 18 |
| 13 |  Blackburn | 13 | -1 | 18 |
| 14 |  Bristol City | 13 | -2 | 18 |
| 15 |  Norwich | 13 | -1 | 15 |
| 16 |  Lincoln | 13 | -9 | 15 |
| 17 |  Cardiff | 13 | -1 | 14 |
| 18 |  Wrexham | 13 | -4 | 14 |
| 19 |  Bolton | 13 | -8 | 14 |
| 20 |  Charlton | 13 | -10 | 14 |
| 21 |  Watford | 13 | -11 | 11 |
| 22 |  Burnley | 13 | -8 | 9 |
| 23 |  Derby | 13 | -14 | 7 |
| 24 |  Preston | 13 | -17 | 5 |
Table as of
Next matches
West Brom
- Sat 7 NovWest Brom – MillwallChampionship
- Sat 21 NovSwansea – West BromChampionship
- Wed 25 NovBolton – West BromChampionship
Southampton
- Sat 7 NovPreston – SouthamptonChampionship
- Sat 21 NovSouthampton – DerbyChampionship
- Tue 24 NovSheffield Utd – SouthamptonChampionship
Head-to-head: last 10 meetings
West Brom 1 wins · 2 draws · Southampton 7 wins
- 11/03/2026West Brom1-1SouthamptonChampionship
- 09/12/2025Southampton3-2West BromChampionship
- 17/05/2024Southampton3-1West BromChampionship
- 12/05/2024West Brom0-0SouthamptonChampionship
- 16/02/2024West Brom0-2SouthamptonChampionship
- 11/11/2023Southampton2-1West BromChampionship
- 12/04/2021West Brom3-0SouthamptonPremier League
- 04/10/2020Southampton2-0West BromPremier League
- 17/02/2018West Brom1-2SouthamptonFA Cup
- 03/02/2018West Brom2-3SouthamptonPremier League
A point between the promotion chasers
Fourth-placed West Brom and fifth-placed Southampton meet on Tuesday with just one point between them after 13 Championship matches, making this a chance for either side to strengthen its position near the top. West Brom have 24 points and a goal difference of plus five; Southampton have 23 and a notably stronger plus-15.
Southampton arrive in stronger shape
West Brom have won seven of their 13 league matches, while Southampton have eight victories from the same number. Both sides have scored nine goals across their last five games, but Southampton have conceded only three in that run, compared with West Brom’s six.
Southampton’s recent league sequence has also been consistent, with four wins and a draw in their last five. West Brom’s last five brought three wins, a draw and a defeat. At The Hawthorns, West Brom have taken 11 points from six matches, while Southampton have won twice and drawn twice in six away fixtures.
The unbeaten head-to-head
Southampton’s recent record against West Brom is the defining thread. They have not lost any of the last five meetings, winning three and drawing two. The latest ended 1-1 at West Brom in March; before that, Southampton won 3-2 at home in December.
The pattern includes a 3-1 Southampton victory in the 2024 Championship play-off semi-final, followed by a goalless draw at The Hawthorns and a 2-0 Southampton win there earlier that year. West Brom will be eager to end that run on home soil.
West Brom absences to manage
West Brom are without T. Collyer, N. Galves and M. Johnston, all listed as missing through injury. Southampton’s C. Larin is questionable with a hamstring injury.
A narrow edge for Southampton
West Brom’s nine goals in their last five suggest they can threaten, but Southampton’s tighter recent defending and unbeaten record in this fixture offer a persuasive counterweight. The model leans only slightly towards the visitors, pointing to a close match rather than a comfortable away win.
Our prediction
Southampton’s defensive record over the last five and their recent success against West Brom make them the marginal choice. A low-scoring away victory is the likely outcome.
West Brom 0-1 Southampton
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