Bundesliga · Matchday 9 
Our pick Home win Correct result
Stuttgart’s home vulnerability meets Bremen’s rising momentum
VfB Stuttgart have won two of their last five league matches, but Werder Bremen arrive unbeaten in seven and sitting six points higher. Stuttgart’s attacking threat faces a Bremen side that has been more consistent, though both have shown defensive weaknesses.
📍 MHP Arena
Preview written:
All Matchday 9 matches Full head-to-head
Match report
Final result: VfB Stuttgart 1-0 Werder Bremen.
Match statistics (home team first). Shots: 13–24; Shots on target: 5–5; Corners: 4–4; Expected goals: 0.76–1.28.
Goals
- 7' Maximilian Mittelstädt · Grischa Prömel · VfB Stuttgart
Cards
- 24' Niclas Füllkrug · Werder Bremen
- 45' Olivier Deman · Werder Bremen
- 53' Marco Grüll · Werder Bremen
Match stats
⭐ Top-rated player: M. Mittelstädt (VfB Stuttgart) 8.2
Ratings and statistics: API-Football.
Confirmed lineups
VfB Stuttgart · 3-4-2-1
- 41D. SeimenG
- 14L. JaquezD
- 24J. ChabotD
- 3R. HendriksD
- 18J. LewelingM
- 47Y. SpaltM
- 21G. PrömelM
- 7M. MittelstädtM
- 11B. El KhannoussM
- 10C. FührichM
- 26D. UndavF
Coach: S. Hoeneb
Werder Bremen · 4-2-3-1
- 1K. HeinG
- 13ArthurD
- 5A. PieperD
- 32M. FriedlD
- 2O. DemanD
- 14S. LynenM
- 44Y. RegeerM
- 18E. DinkçiM
- 15L. ReisM
- 17M. GrüllM
- 10N. FüllkrugF
Coach: D. Thioune
Match facts
Recent form
Last 5 league games, latest on the right
Goals per game
| · | Scored | Conceded |
|---|---|---|
| VfB Stuttgart | 1.8 | 1.9 |
| Werder Bremen | 2.1 | 1.8 |
League position
| Pos | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Werder Bremen | 8 | +3 | 15 |
| 11 | VfB Stuttgart | 8 | -1 | 9 |
Last meetings
- 2026 VfB Stuttgart 1-1 Werder Bremen
- 2025 Werder Bremen 0-4 VfB Stuttgart
- 2025 VfB Stuttgart 1-2 Werder Bremen
- 2024 Werder Bremen 2-2 VfB Stuttgart
- 2024 Werder Bremen 2-1 VfB Stuttgart
PreviaXI model
Model confidence: Medium
- Expected goals (model)
- 2.21 – 1.24
- Double chance
- 1X · 80%12 79% · X2 41%
- Over 2.5 goals
- 67%Over 1.5: 86% · Over 3.5: 45%
- Both teams score
- 64%
- Clean sheet
- 29% – 11%VfB Stuttgart–Werder Bremen
- Half-time result
- 1 · 45%X 35% · 2 20%
- Half-time / full-time
- 1/1 · 38%X/1 17% · X/X 11%
- Expected corners
- 10.66.7 – 3.9 · Over 9.5: 60%
- Expected cards
- 3.61.5 – 2.1 · Over 3.5: 48%
Statistical model based on expected goals (xG), results and match statistics from the last two seasons. For information only. How our model works →
A six-point gap in Stuttgart
VfB Stuttgart’s recent form has brought two wins and three defeats in their last five Bundesliga matches, leaving them 11th after eight games. Werder Bremen are fifth, six places and six points ahead, with four wins, three draws and one defeat. The contrast is clear: Stuttgart have struggled for consistency, while Bremen have built a steadier start.
Stuttgart’s goals, Bremen’s momentum
Stuttgart have scored eight goals in their last five league matches, but conceded seven. Their home record has been less convincing: one win and two defeats in three games, with no clean sheets. They have scored six and conceded five at the MHP Arena.
Bremen have scored 12 and conceded eight across their last five, and are unbeaten in seven league matches after winning their last two. Their away results are more mixed, with one win, two draws and a defeat in four games; they have conceded nine goals on the road and kept no clean sheets away from home.
That sets up the central contrast: Stuttgart can trouble opponents going forward, especially at home, but have yet to establish defensive security there. Bremen bring stronger league momentum and a higher position, though their away defence has also been vulnerable.
Recent meetings offer little separation
The latest meeting ended 1-1 in April. Across the last five encounters, Bremen have won twice, Stuttgart once, and two matches have been drawn.
The table’s two leading threats
Stuttgart’s home scoring gives them a route into the match, while Bremen’s two-match winning streak and seven-game unbeaten run make them the more consistent side. The visitors’ away record, however, leaves room for the hosts to exploit their defensive uncertainty.
Our prediction
Bremen’s form and league position deserve respect, but Stuttgart’s home attacking output gives them a strong platform. The numbers lean towards the hosts, with their greater expected attacking threat outweighing Bremen’s recent consistency. VfB Stuttgart 2-1 Werder Bremen
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