Bundesliga · Matchday 9 
Our pick Home win Correct result
Borussia Dortmund vs SV Elversberg: unbeaten Dortmund target the top
Borussia Dortmund’s latest league match ended in a draw, leaving them second on 18 points. They face seventh-placed SV Elversberg, who arrive after a win, with five points between the sides.
📍 Signal Iduna Park
Preview written:
Match report
Final result: Borussia Dortmund 2-1 SV Elversberg.
Match statistics (home team first). Shots: 19–16; Shots on target: 6–7; Corners: 6–6; Expected goals: 1.61–1.31.
Goals
- 55' Felix Nmecha · Fábio Silva · Borussia Dortmund
- 71' Felix Nmecha · Maximilian Beier · Borussia Dortmund
- 81' Noel Futkeu · Florian Le Joncour · SV Elversberg
Cards
- 22' Felix Nmecha · Borussia Dortmund
- 59' Vincent Wagner · SV Elversberg
- 60' Fábio Silva · Borussia Dortmund
- 65' Lasse Günther · SV Elversberg
- 76' Waldemar Anton · Borussia Dortmund
Match stats
⭐ Top-rated player: F. Nmecha (Borussia Dortmund) 9.3
Ratings and statistics: API-Football.
Confirmed lineups
Borussia Dortmund · 4-3-3
- 1G. KobelG
- 22Kouakou Joane GadouD
- 3W. AntonD
- 4N. SchlotterbeckD
- 24D. SvenssonD
- 7J. BellinghamM
- 25J. VeermanM
- 8F. NmechaM
- 19K. KaretsasF
- 21Fábio SilvaF
- 17C. ChukwuemekaF
Coach: N. Kovač
SV Elversberg · 4-2-3-1
- 20N. KristofG
- 26L. SirchD
- 19L. PinckertD
- 31M. RohrD
- 21L. GüntherD
- 43F. KeidelM
- 8Ł. PorębaM
- 25L. PetkovM
- 40Francis-Ikechukwu OnyekaM
- 7M. KrattenmacherM
- 42D. MokwaF
Coach: V. Wagner
Match facts
Recent form
Last 5 league games, latest on the right
Goals per game
| · | Scored | Conceded |
|---|---|---|
| Borussia Dortmund | 1.8 | 0.8 |
| SV Elversberg | 2.0 | 2.0 |
League position
| Pos | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Borussia Dortmund | 8 | +8 | 18 |
| 7 | SV Elversberg | 8 | 0 | 13 |
PreviaXI model
Model confidence: Strong
- Expected goals (model)
- 2.44 – 0.99
- Double chance
- 1X · 87%12 82% · X2 31%
- Over 2.5 goals
- 67%Over 1.5: 86% · Over 3.5: 45%
- Both teams score
- 58%
- Clean sheet
- 37% – 9%Borussia Dortmund–SV Elversberg
- Half-time result
- 1 · 52%X 33% · 2 15%
- Half-time / full-time
- 1/1 · 47%X/1 19% · X/X 10%
- Expected corners
- 11.78.4 – 3.3 · Over 9.5: 72%
- Expected cards
- 3.61.9 – 1.7 · Over 3.5: 48%
Statistical model based on expected goals (xG), results and match statistics from the last two seasons. For information only. How our model works →
A five-point gap in the top-seven race
Borussia Dortmund’s most recent league match ended in a draw, while SV Elversberg come into this Bundesliga meeting after a victory. The result puts second against seventh after eight matches, with Dortmund on 18 points and Elversberg on 13.
Dortmund are five points above their visitors, so victory would strengthen their position near the top of the table. Elversberg have the chance to close that gap and make a statement in the qualification race. With 18 teams in the league, both sides are in the top seven, but the hosts have the stronger early platform.
Dortmund’s unbeaten run meets Elversberg’s mixed form
Dortmund have avoided defeat in all eight league matches, winning five and drawing three. Their last five brought two wins and three draws, with six goals scored and four conceded. At home, they have won three and drawn one of their four matches, scoring eight times and conceding twice.
Elversberg have four wins, one draw and three defeats. Their last five produced two wins, a draw and two losses; they scored eight goals but conceded nine. Away from home, they have one win, one draw and two defeats, with four goals scored and eight conceded.
Home control against a vulnerable defence
Dortmund have scored 14 and conceded six in the league, keeping five clean sheets. Their record at Signal Iduna Park has been particularly solid: three clean sheets in four home games, with only two goals conceded.
Elversberg have scored 16 goals, but have also let in 16 and kept one clean sheet. Their away record suggests a tougher task in Dortmund, where they will need to contain a side that has been difficult to beat and especially secure at home.
Our prediction
Dortmund’s unbeaten start, home defensive record and stronger league position point towards the hosts. Elversberg have shown they can score, but their away defensive record gives Dortmund the edge; PreviaXI’s model also favours a home win.
Borussia Dortmund 2-0 SV Elversberg
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