Our pick0–1Correct result
Can Udinese spring a surprise against unbeaten Roma?
Udinese’s 1-0 win in the latest meeting offers a glimmer of hope, but Roma arrive third and unbeaten after nine Serie A rounds. The hosts need to halt a deep slump to trouble the favourites.
📍 Bluenergy Stadium
Preview written:
All Matchday 10 matchesFull head-to-head
Match report
AS Roma took control early at Udinese, with Bryan Cristante opening the scoring in the 10th minute, assisted by Wesley Vinícius França Lima. Rodrigo Mora, set up by Cristante, made it 2-0 in the 31st minute, before Donyell Malen (Matias Soule assist) and Evan Ndicka (Matias Soule assist) added two more by the 37th minute. Nicolo Zaniolo pulled one back for Udinese in the 50th minute, and Matteo Palma scored in the 78th after Hassane Kamara’s assist. Daniele Ghilardi, assisted by Santiago Thomas Castro, completed the 5-2 result in stoppage time.
Udinese had more total shots, 15 to 14, and corners, 7 to 4, while AS Roma led possession 54% to 46% and shots on target 9 to 7. The xG was 2.9 for Roma and 1.89 for Udinese. Bryan Cristante was the top-rated player, with 8.6. The 5-2 result was more emphatic than the model’s predicted 1-0 Roma win, with a 58% away-win forecast.
Goals
- 10'Bryan Cristante · Wesley Vinícius França Lima · AS Roma
- 31'Rodrigo Mora · Bryan Cristante · AS Roma
- 33'Donyell Malen · Matias Soule · AS Roma
- 37'Evan Ndicka · Matias Soule · AS Roma
- 50'Nicolo Zaniolo · Udinese
- 78'Matteo Palma · Hassane Kamara · Udinese
- 90+2'Daniele Ghilardi · Santiago Thomas Castro · AS Roma
Cards
- 23'Lennon Miller · Udinese
- 60'Bryan Cristante · AS Roma
Match stats
⭐ Top-rated player: B. Cristante (AS Roma) 8.6
Ratings and statistics: API-Football.
Confirmed lineups
Udinese · 3-4-2-1
- 40M. OkoyeG
- 14J. AbankwahD
- 27C. KabaseleD
- 16M. PalmaD
- 23M. VojvodaM
- 8J. KarlströmM
- 38L. MillerM
- 11H. KamaraM
- 10N. ZanioloM
- 32J. EkkelenkampM
- 9K. DavisF
Coach: K. Runjaic
AS Roma · 3-4-2-1
- 95P. GolliniG
- 87D. GhilardiD
- 5E. NdickaD
- 22HermosoD
- 20N. MolinaM
- 15M. de RoonM
- 4B. CristanteM
- 43WesleyM
- 18M. SouléM
- 86Rodrigo MoraM
- 14D. MalenF
Coach: G. Gasperini
Match facts
Recent form
Last 5 league games, latest on the right
Goals per game
| · | Scored | Conceded |
|---|---|---|
| Udinese | 1.0 | 2.0 |
| AS Roma | 2.6 | 0.9 |
League position
| Pos | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | AS Roma | 9 | +15 | 21 |
| 17 | Udinese | 9 | -9 | 5 |
Last meetings
- 2026Udinese1-0AS Roma
- 2025AS Roma2-0Udinese
- 2025Udinese1-2AS Roma
- 2024AS Roma3-0Udinese
- 2024Udinese1-2AS Roma
Absences
Udinese
- OutD. Alaba · Calf Injury
- OutV. Bayo · Thigh Injury
- OutI. Gueye · Ankle Injury
- DoubtfulN. Bertola · Muscle Injury
- DoubtfulO. Solet · Muscle Injury
- DoubtfulA. Zanoli · Muscle Injury
AS Roma
- OutM. Bah · Knee Injury
- OutP. Dybala · Calf Injury
- OutM. Kone · Muscle Injury
- OutL. Pellegrini · Thigh Injury
- OutM. Svilar · Toe Injury
PreviaXI model
Model confidence: Medium
- Predicted score
- 0-1
- Expected goals (model)
- 0.99 – 1.87
- Double chance
- X2 · 80%1X 42% · 12 78%
- Over 2.5 goals
- 55%Over 1.5: 78% · Over 3.5: 32%
- Both teams score
- 53%
- Clean sheet
- 15% – 37%Udinese–AS Roma
- Half-time result
- 2 · 43%1 18% · X 39%
- Half-time / full-time
- 2/2 · 37%X/2 18% · X/X 13%
- Expected corners
- 9.13.9 – 5.2 · Over 9.5: 43%
- Expected cards
- 3.72.0 – 1.7 · Over 3.5: 49%
- Most likely scores
- 0-111%
- 1-110%
- 0-210%
- 1-210%
- 0-36%
Statistical model based on expected goals (xG), results and match statistics from the last two seasons. For information only. How our model works →
A steep gap in the table
Udinese’s 1-0 victory over AS Roma on February 2 is the most recent meeting between these sides, and a reminder that the underdogs have beaten them before. The rematch at Bluenergy Stadium on Saturday, October 31, comes with a stark contrast in league fortunes: Roma are third on 21 points, while Udinese sit 17th with five.
Roma have taken six wins and three draws from nine matches, without a defeat. Udinese, by contrast, have won once, drawn twice and lost six times. For the home side, the challenge is clear: turn that previous head-to-head success into a response to their current troubles.
Roma’s momentum against Udinese’s slump
Roma’s recent attacking output is a major reason they enter as favourites: they have scored 11 goals across their last five matches, compared with Udinese’s one. The visitors have also conceded seven in that span, but their season-long defensive record remains strong, with only eight goals against in nine games.
Udinese have conceded 18 league goals and have not won at home, drawing once and losing four times. Their last five-match sequence has brought one goal scored and eight conceded. Roma’s latest league form includes three wins and two draws in their last five, keeping their unbeaten run intact.
A mixed recent head-to-head
The February defeat was Udinese’s only win in the last five meetings. Roma won three of the other four, including a 2-0 victory in November 2025 and a 3-0 result in September 2024. The history gives Udinese a reason to believe, but Roma have generally had the upper hand.
Absences on both sides
Udinese will be without D. Alaba, V. Bayo and I. Gueye, while N. Bertola, O. Solet and A. Zanoli are questionable. Roma are missing M. Bah, P. Dybala, M. Kone, L. Pellegrini and M. Svilar.
Roma’s late threat
Roma have scored seven of their 23 league goals in the 76th minute or later, making their late pressure a potential problem for a Udinese side that has conceded 11 times after the break. The hosts will need to stay compact and make more of their limited chances if they are to unsettle the visitors.
Our prediction
Udinese’s last win over Roma makes an upset possible, but their poor home record and lack of recent goals point to a difficult afternoon. Roma’s unbeaten start and greater attacking output give them the edge, with PreviaXI’s model also favouring the visitors.
Udinese 0-1 AS Roma

